English Football

AI Football Tips: EFL League One round 8

The relentless battle for Championship promotion continues as EFL League One gears up for another critical weekend of action in late September. With the season’s early stages giving way to the grueling autumn schedule, the table is beginning to take shape. Every match is now a fiercely contested battle as promotion hopefuls seek to cement their place at the summit, while others desperately fight to pull themselves away from the dreaded relegation zone in one of England’s most competitive divisions.

This weekend’s slate of fixtures promises intense drama and high-stakes football across the country. Heavyweights like Charlton Athletic and Barnsley will be looking to secure vital points to bolster their promotion campaigns, while dangerous sides like Peterborough United and Blackpool aim to make a statement of intent. With several tight, unpredictable matchups on the horizon—including crucial tests for Lincoln City and Stockport County—fans can expect a thrilling showcase of third-tier football. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every encounter across this unmissable League One weekend.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL League One round 8. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-09-26 EFL League One Bradford City Barnsley A +0.5
2026-09-26 EFL League One Notts County Blackpool H -0.25
2026-09-26 EFL League One Milton Keynes Dons Bromley H 1X2
2026-09-26 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle Burton Albion H 1X2
2026-09-26 EFL League One Cambridge United AFC Wimbledon H 1X2
2026-09-26 EFL League One Mansfield Town Leyton Orient H 1X2
2026-09-26 EFL League One Stockport County Peterborough United H No bet
2026-09-26 EFL League One Wycombe Wanderers Reading A 0

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-09-26 Bradford City Barnsley 33 33 1.70 2.43
2026-09-26 Notts County Blackpool 67 100 1.66 2.52
2026-09-26 Milton Keynes Dons Bromley 67 67 2.01 1.99
2026-09-26 Plymouth Argyle Burton Albion 33 67 1.67 2.50
2026-09-26 Cambridge United AFC Wimbledon 100 33 1.94 2.07
2026-09-26 Mansfield Town Leyton Orient 67 33 1.77 2.30
2026-09-26 Stockport County Peterborough United 100 33 2.62 1.62
2026-09-26 Wycombe Wanderers Reading 100 50 1.42 3.39

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-09-26 EFL League One Bradford City Barnsley 1.72 2.40
2026-09-26 EFL League One Notts County Blackpool 1.89 2.12
2026-09-26 EFL League One Milton Keynes Dons Bromley 2.29 1.77
2026-09-26 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle Burton Albion 1.72 2.39
2026-09-26 EFL League One Cambridge United AFC Wimbledon 1.50 3.02
2026-09-26 EFL League One Mansfield Town Leyton Orient 2.24 1.81
2026-09-26 EFL League One Stockport County Peterborough United 1.32 4.08
2026-09-26 EFL League One Wycombe Wanderers Reading 1.51 2.97

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Bradford City Barnsley 0.34 3.51 1.40 22.17 1.05
Notts County Blackpool 0.41 2.97 1.51 15.57 1.07
Milton Keynes Dons Bromley 1.04 1.54 2.84 3.57 1.39
Plymouth Argyle Burton Albion 1.73 1.21 5.66 1.93 2.07
Cambridge United AFC Wimbledon 1.75 1.21 5.76 1.91 2.09
Mansfield Town Leyton Orient 0.67 2.05 1.96 6.86 1.17
Stockport County Peterborough United 1.51 1.28 4.52 2.25 1.80
Wycombe Wanderers Reading 0.92 1.66 2.51 4.24 1.31

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Bradford City Barnsley 14.3 42.9 17.8
Notts County Blackpool 14.3 42.9 17.8
Milton Keynes Dons Bromley 28.6 57.1 40.6
Plymouth Argyle Burton Albion 28.6 14.3 12.2
Cambridge United AFC Wimbledon 28.6 28.6 22.9
Mansfield Town Leyton Orient 0.0 42.9 0.0
Stockport County Peterborough United 42.9 14.3 17.8
Wycombe Wanderers Reading 57.1 33.3 45.6

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Bradford City Barnsley 9.31 2.22 1.82
Notts County Blackpool 10.90 1.58 2.73
Milton Keynes Dons Bromley 14.04 1.14 8.04
Plymouth Argyle Burton Albion 6.79 6.13 1.19
Cambridge United AFC Wimbledon 8.27 3.09 1.48
Mansfield Town Leyton Orient 5.68 12.95 1.08
Stockport County Peterborough United 10.37 1.74 2.36
Wycombe Wanderers Reading 11.95 1.36 3.78

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Reading 3.25 1.25 0.50 1.00
Stockport County 3.00 2.33 1.75 0.75
Oxford United 2.00 1.00 2.33 1.33
Plymouth Argyle 2.00 1.00 2.00 1.75
Blackpool 2.25 1.75 1.33 2.00
Sheffield Wednesday 1.75 0.75 2.00 1.00
Leyton Orient 1.25 2.00 2.67 0.33
Burton Albion 2.25 1.50 1.00 2.00
Cambridge United 2.00 1.67 1.50 1.25
Luton Town 1.25 1.00 2.33 3.33
Wycombe Wanderers 1.67 2.00 1.50 2.00
Stevenage 1.67 1.67 1.50 0.75
Huddersfield Town 2.33 0.67 1.00 1.00
Mansfield Town 2.33 1.00 0.75 2.50
Leicester City 1.00 2.00 1.50 1.25
Milton Keynes Dons 0.67 0.67 1.50 2.00
Doncaster Rovers 1.00 1.33 1.25 1.25
Bromley 0.75 2.25 1.67 3.00
Notts County 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.50
Barnsley 1.00 2.00 1.00 1.33
Bradford City 1.33 0.67 0.75 0.50
Wigan Athletic 0.75 2.00 0.67 1.33
AFC Wimbledon 0.50 0.00 1.00 2.33
Peterborough United 0.75 1.25 0.33 2.33

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score
2026-09-26 EFL League One Bradford City Barnsley 1 1
2026-09-26 EFL League One Notts County Blackpool 1 1
2026-09-26 EFL League One Milton Keynes Dons Bromley 2 2
2026-09-26 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle Burton Albion 10 0
2026-09-26 EFL League One Cambridge United AFC Wimbledon 1 2
2026-09-26 EFL League One Mansfield Town Leyton Orient 1 1
2026-09-26 EFL League One Stockport County Peterborough United 3 1
2026-09-26 EFL League One Wycombe Wanderers Reading 1 1


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