AI Football Tips: Superettan round 28

The bitter Scandinavian chill tightens its grip across Sweden as the Superettan enters a nail-biting, decisive Round 28 over the weekend of October 23–25. With only three fixtures remaining in the 2026 campaign, the championship battle, the fight for automatic promotion to the Allsvenskan, and the desperate scrap against relegation to Ettan have reached their absolute climax. There is zero margin for error left, turning every single tackle and goal into an all-or-nothing affair.

Saturday’s action delivers immense drama, headlined by title contenders Östers IF navigating a treacherous away test against a resilient IK Brage, while IFK Värnamo battles Sandvikens IF in a high-stakes encounter, and Östersunds FK takes on Nordic United FC. On Sunday, historic giants Helsingborgs IF face a vital home test against Ljungskile SK, alongside Norrby IF meeting IFK Norrköping, following Friday’s curtain-raiser between IK Oddevold and GIF Sundsvall. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter in this thrilling Superettan round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Superettan round 28. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-23 Superettan Oddevold GIF Sundsvall 0.6586 0.2480 0.0934 H No bet
2026-10-24 Superettan Värnamo Sandviken 0.3798 0.3313 0.2889 H 1X2
2026-10-24 Superettan Östersunds FK United Nordic 0.5245 0.3018 0.1737 H 1X2
2026-10-24 Superettan Brage Öster 0.4562 0.3197 0.2241 H 1X2
2026-10-25 Superettan Norrby Norrköping 0.2627 0.3279 0.4093 A 1X2
2026-10-25 Superettan Helsingborg Ljungskile 0.3424 0.3333 0.3244 H -0.25
2026-10-26 Superettan Örebro Falkenberg 0.4144 0.3272 0.2583 H -0.25
2026-10-27 Superettan Landskrona Varberg 0.4770 0.3150 0.2080 H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-23 Oddevold GIF Sundsvall 67 15 4.25 1.31
2026-10-24 Värnamo Sandviken 67 62 1.72 2.39
2026-10-24 Östersunds FK United Nordic 50 58 1.71 2.42
2026-10-24 Brage Öster 77 69 1.61 2.65
2026-10-25 Norrby Norrköping 69 46 1.27 4.68
2026-10-25 Helsingborg Ljungskile 62 69 1.36 3.77
2026-10-26 Örebro Falkenberg 58 92 1.30 4.28
2026-10-27 Landskrona Varberg 62 64 1.67 2.49

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-23 Superettan Oddevold GIF Sundsvall 2.38 1.72
2026-10-24 Superettan Värnamo Sandviken 2.24 1.81
2026-10-24 Superettan Östersunds FK United Nordic 1.79 2.26
2026-10-24 Superettan Brage Öster 2.05 1.95
2026-10-25 Superettan Norrby Norrköping 1.91 2.10
2026-10-25 Superettan Helsingborg Ljungskile 2.02 1.98
2026-10-26 Superettan Örebro Falkenberg 1.60 2.66
2026-10-27 Superettan Landskrona Varberg 1.73 2.36

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Oddevold GIF Sundsvall 1.69 1.23 5.41 1.99 2.01
Värnamo Sandviken 1.19 1.44 3.28 3.01 1.50
Östersunds FK United Nordic 0.64 2.10 1.91 7.31 1.16
Brage Öster 1.65 1.24 5.19 2.04 1.96
Norrby Norrköping 1.25 1.40 3.50 2.80 1.55
Helsingborg Ljungskile 1.05 1.54 2.87 3.53 1.40
Örebro Falkenberg 1.05 1.54 2.85 3.56 1.39
Landskrona Varberg 1.19 1.44 3.28 3.00 1.50

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Oddevold GIF Sundsvall 42.3 34.6 34.0
Värnamo Sandviken 32.0 38.5 29.5
Östersunds FK United Nordic 25.0 28.0 18.0
Brage Öster 38.5 30.8 28.5
Norrby Norrköping 44.4 29.6 31.2
Helsingborg Ljungskile 40.7 25.9 25.9
Örebro Falkenberg 28.0 42.3 28.5
Landskrona Varberg 42.3 40.0 38.1

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Oddevold GIF Sundsvall 9.65 2.03 1.97
Värnamo Sandviken 10.74 1.62 2.61
Östersunds FK United Nordic 10.73 1.62 2.60
Brage Öster 11.29 1.48 3.07
Norrby Norrköping 12.19 1.32 4.08
Helsingborg Ljungskile 10.68 1.64 2.57
Örebro Falkenberg 8.91 2.49 1.67
Landskrona Varberg 10.54 1.68 2.47

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Falkenberg 1.85 1.23 2.15 1.62
Norrköping 2.14 0.71 1.85 0.62
Varberg 1.64 1.14 1.82 1.36
Landskrona 1.54 1.08 1.85 1.31
Sandviken 2.08 1.54 1.23 1.38
Brage 1.92 1.92 1.23 1.92
Öster 1.62 1.31 1.54 1.85
Oddevold 1.58 1.25 1.50 1.50
United Nordic 1.77 1.69 1.08 1.17
Östersunds FK 1.42 0.92 1.33 1.08
Helsingborg 1.46 1.54 1.21 1.93
Ljungskile 1.29 1.36 1.38 1.38
Värnamo 1.25 1.50 1.23 2.08
Norrby 1.54 1.46 0.79 1.29
Örebro 0.75 1.25 1.46 2.00
GIF Sundsvall 0.85 2.08 0.38 2.23

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-23 Superettan Oddevold GIF Sundsvall 1 1 13.7
2026-10-24 Superettan Värnamo Sandviken 1 1 14.0
2026-10-24 Superettan Östersunds FK United Nordic 1 1 10.4
2026-10-24 Superettan Brage Öster 1 1 13.2
2026-10-25 Superettan Norrby Norrköping 1 1 13.9
2026-10-25 Superettan Helsingborg Ljungskile 1 1 13.0
2026-10-26 Superettan Örebro Falkenberg 1 1 12.4
2026-10-27 Superettan Landskrona Varberg 1 1 12.0


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