AI Football Tips: Süper Lig round 10

Following the fireworks of the Intercontinental Derby, Turkish football roars straight into its next upcoming round of action as the Süper Lig stages Matchweek 10 from Thursday, October 29 to Sunday, November 1. With early-season momentum and top-table supremacy on the line, Turkey’s powerhouse clubs face treacherous tests across Anatolia and Istanbul where passionate crowds make every point hard-earned.

The upcoming round gets underway on Thursday evening with title contenders Galatasaray traveling to face a physical Konyaspor side. Friday’s action is headlined in Kadıköy as Fenerbahçe welcomes an ambitious Göztepe outfit, alongside Kocaelispor hosting Çaykur Rizespor. Saturday delivers a fiery Istanbul derby as Kasımpaşa battles Beşiktaş, while Trabzonspor hosts Gaziantep FK and İstanbul Başakşehir takes on Samsunspor, before Sunday rounds out the slate with Gençlerbirliği meeting Alanyaspor. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every upcoming encounter in the Turkish Süper Lig.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Süper Lig round 10. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-30 Süper Lig Konyaspor Galatasaray 0.2751 0.3297 0.3952 A 1X2
2026-10-31 Süper Lig BB Erzurumspor Çorum Belediyespor 0.5085 0.3066 0.1849 H 0
2026-10-31 Süper Lig Kocaelispor Rizespor 0.5858 0.2802 0.1340 H 0
2026-10-31 Süper Lig Fenerbahçe Göztepe 0.6364 0.2586 0.1051 H No bet
2026-11-01 Süper Lig Amed Eyüpspor 0.7911 0.1717 0.0372 H No bet
2026-11-01 Süper Lig İstanbul Başakşehir Samsunspor 0.7120 0.2200 0.0680 H 1X2
2026-11-01 Süper Lig Trabzonspor Gaziantep FK 0.6748 0.2399 0.0853 H No bet
2026-11-01 Süper Lig Kasımpaşa Beşiktaş 0.2831 0.3307 0.3862 A 1X2
2026-11-02 Süper Lig Gençlerbirliği Alanyaspor 0.5843 0.2808 0.1350 H 0

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-30 Konyaspor Galatasaray 20 25 1.25 4.94
2026-10-31 BB Erzurumspor Çorum Belediyespor 0 60 1.41 3.44
2026-10-31 Kocaelispor Rizespor 25 60 1.62 2.61
2026-10-31 Fenerbahçe Göztepe 50 80 1.58 2.72
2026-11-01 Amed Eyüpspor 40 0 4.25 1.31
2026-11-01 İstanbul Başakşehir Samsunspor 60 25 3.86 1.35
2026-11-01 Trabzonspor Gaziantep FK 25 50 1.94 2.07
2026-11-01 Kasımpaşa Beşiktaş 75 50 2.22 1.82
2026-11-02 Gençlerbirliği Alanyaspor 80 60 3.32 1.43

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-30 Süper Lig Konyaspor Galatasaray 1.36 3.80
2026-10-31 Süper Lig BB Erzurumspor Çorum Belediyespor 1.57 2.76
2026-10-31 Süper Lig Kocaelispor Rizespor 1.51 2.98
2026-10-31 Süper Lig Fenerbahçe Göztepe 1.67 2.49
2026-11-01 Süper Lig Amed Eyüpspor 2.18 1.85
2026-11-01 Süper Lig İstanbul Başakşehir Samsunspor 1.86 2.16
2026-11-01 Süper Lig Trabzonspor Gaziantep FK 1.69 2.46
2026-11-01 Süper Lig Kasımpaşa Beşiktaş 1.57 2.76
2026-11-02 Süper Lig Gençlerbirliği Alanyaspor 1.82 2.22

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Konyaspor Galatasaray 0.93 1.65 2.54 4.17 1.32
BB Erzurumspor Çorum Belediyespor 1.37 1.34 3.95 2.51 1.66
Kocaelispor Rizespor 1.05 1.54 2.87 3.52 1.40
Fenerbahçe Göztepe 1.75 1.21 5.75 1.92 2.09
Amed Eyüpspor 1.34 1.36 3.81 2.59 1.63
İstanbul Başakşehir Samsunspor 1.63 1.25 5.08 2.07 1.93
Trabzonspor Gaziantep FK 1.47 1.30 4.33 2.32 1.76
Kasımpaşa Beşiktaş 1.28 1.38 3.61 2.72 1.58
Gençlerbirliği Alanyaspor 0.87 1.72 2.39 4.61 1.28

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Konyaspor Galatasaray 22.2 22.2 13.8
BB Erzurumspor Çorum Belediyespor 11.1 55.6 16.9
Kocaelispor Rizespor 11.1 44.4 13.8
Fenerbahçe Göztepe 55.6 55.6 60.4
Amed Eyüpspor 22.2 44.4 25.6
İstanbul Başakşehir Samsunspor 44.4 33.3 35.9
Trabzonspor Gaziantep FK 66.7 33.3 48.7
Kasımpaşa Beşiktaş 11.1 22.2 7.1
Gençlerbirliği Alanyaspor 33.3 11.1 10.5

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Konyaspor Galatasaray 9.82 1.95 2.05
BB Erzurumspor Çorum Belediyespor 8.05 3.36 1.42
Kocaelispor Rizespor 7.93 3.53 1.39
Fenerbahçe Göztepe 9.36 2.19 1.84
Amed Eyüpspor 8.90 2.50 1.67
İstanbul Başakşehir Samsunspor 10.24 1.78 2.28
Trabzonspor Gaziantep FK 8.09 3.30 1.43
Kasımpaşa Beşiktaş 11.36 1.47 3.13
Gençlerbirliği Alanyaspor 10.43 1.72 2.40

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Fenerbahçe 4.00 1.00 1.40 0.80
Trabzonspor 3.25 0.25 1.80 1.40
Amed 2.80 0.60 1.50 1.75
Göztepe 1.50 1.75 2.60 1.80
Galatasaray 2.20 1.20 2.00 1.50
Çorum Belediyespor 1.50 1.00 2.40 2.20
Beşiktaş 2.80 0.60 1.00 1.75
Kasımpaşa 1.75 1.00 1.20 1.00
İstanbul Başakşehir 2.20 1.00 0.25 2.25
Kocaelispor 1.50 0.50 1.00 1.40
Rizespor 0.75 2.50 1.60 1.00
Gaziantep FK 0.60 1.80 1.50 1.50
Alanyaspor 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.40
Samsunspor 1.00 3.00 0.75 1.50
BB Erzurumspor 1.00 1.00 0.80 1.60
Gençlerbirliği 1.20 1.40 0.25 2.75
Konyaspor 0.80 0.60 0.50 1.50
Eyüpspor 0.40 1.80 0.00 3.50

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-30 Süper Lig Konyaspor Galatasaray 1 2 7.9
2026-10-31 Süper Lig BB Erzurumspor Çorum Belediyespor 1 1 10.7
2026-10-31 Süper Lig Kocaelispor Rizespor 1 1 12.2
2026-10-31 Süper Lig Fenerbahçe Göztepe 1 1 13.0
2026-11-01 Süper Lig Amed Eyüpspor 1 0 26.9
2026-11-01 Süper Lig İstanbul Başakşehir Samsunspor 1 0 18.3
2026-11-01 Süper Lig Trabzonspor Gaziantep FK 1 0 23.2
2026-11-01 Süper Lig Kasımpaşa Beşiktaş 1 1 10.9
2026-11-02 Süper Lig Gençlerbirliği Alanyaspor 1 1 11.7


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