AI Football Tips: Serie B round 8

The tactical chess matches, unrelenting grit, and fierce parochial pride of Italian football return to the spotlight as Serie B dives into an enthralling Matchday 8 across the weekend of October 23–25. As the autumn campaign gathers serious pace, the grueling marathon for promotion to the top flight is beginning to separate the genuine contenders from the chasing pack. Storied clubs and ambitious provincial sides are scrapping for every blade of grass, knowing that consistency through these testing weeks is vital to surviving one of Europe’s most unforgiving leagues.

Sunday’s action culminates in a monumental showdown at the Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, where promotion heavyweights Hellas Verona go head-to-head with a high-flying Pisa side in a match dripping with Serie A ambitions. Earlier that afternoon, southern giants Palermo return to the deafening roar of the Stadio Renzo Barbera to host Carrarese. Saturday’s schedule delivers high drama of its own, featuring historic titans Sampdoria making a tricky alpine road trip to battle FC Südtirol, alongside a fiery Emilia-Romagna derby between Modena and Cesena, while US Cremonese welcomes Juve Stabia. The weekend is kicked off on Friday night under the lights as Empoli battles L.R. Vicenza. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every electrifying encounter in this gripping Serie B round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Serie B round 8. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-23 Serie B Empoli Vicenza 0.2834 0.3307 0.3859 A 0
2026-10-24 Serie B Avellino Calcio Padova 0.4043 0.3286 0.2670 H -0.25
2026-10-24 Serie B Modena Cesena 0.7426 0.2023 0.0551 H 1X2
2026-10-24 Serie B Cremonese Juve Stabia 0.2650 0.3283 0.4067 A +0.5
2026-10-24 Serie B Virtus Entella Mantova 0.5007 0.3088 0.1905 H 1X2
2026-10-24 Serie B Südtirol Sampdoria 0.1010 0.2551 0.6439 A 0
2026-10-24 Serie B Catanzaro Ascoli 0.2299 0.3212 0.4488 A 0
2026-10-24 Serie B Arezzo Benevento 0.2686 0.3288 0.4026 A -0.25
2026-10-25 Serie B Palermo Carrarese 0.6005 0.2743 0.1253 H No bet
2026-10-25 Serie B Hellas Verona Pisa 0.4561 0.3197 0.2241 H -0.25

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-23 Empoli Vicenza 33 75 2.63 1.61
2026-10-24 Avellino Calcio Padova 75 67 1.58 2.71
2026-10-24 Modena Cesena 67 67 1.61 2.64
2026-10-24 Cremonese Juve Stabia 33 75 1.21 5.77
2026-10-24 Virtus Entella Mantova 100 100 2.47 1.68
2026-10-24 Südtirol Sampdoria 25 75 1.23 5.34
2026-10-24 Catanzaro Ascoli 50 33 1.20 6.07
2026-10-24 Arezzo Benevento 67 0 1.20 5.89
2026-10-25 Palermo Carrarese 67 33 1.38 3.61
2026-10-25 Hellas Verona Pisa 75 33 2.64 1.61

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-23 Serie B Empoli Vicenza 2.27 1.79
2026-10-24 Serie B Avellino Calcio Padova 2.69 1.59
2026-10-24 Serie B Modena Cesena 1.75 2.33
2026-10-24 Serie B Cremonese Juve Stabia 1.47 3.13
2026-10-24 Serie B Virtus Entella Mantova 2.22 1.82
2026-10-24 Serie B Südtirol Sampdoria 1.50 3.01
2026-10-24 Serie B Catanzaro Ascoli 1.50 3.02
2026-10-24 Serie B Arezzo Benevento 1.64 2.56
2026-10-25 Serie B Palermo Carrarese 2.03 1.97
2026-10-25 Serie B Hellas Verona Pisa 2.55 1.65

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Empoli Vicenza 0.83 1.77 2.30 4.94 1.25
Avellino Calcio Padova 1.68 1.23 5.38 1.99 2.01
Modena Cesena 1.45 1.31 4.25 2.36 1.74
Cremonese Juve Stabia 0.85 1.74 2.35 4.74 1.27
Virtus Entella Mantova 1.58 1.26 4.86 2.13 1.88
Südtirol Sampdoria 0.91 1.67 2.49 4.30 1.30
Catanzaro Ascoli 0.66 2.07 1.93 7.05 1.17
Arezzo Benevento 0.71 1.96 2.04 6.22 1.19
Palermo Carrarese 0.98 1.60 2.66 3.90 1.35
Hellas Verona Pisa 1.16 1.45 3.20 3.08 1.48

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Empoli Vicenza 14.3 14.3 8.1
Avellino Calcio Padova 57.1 42.9 63.5
Modena Cesena 42.9 0.0 0.0
Cremonese Juve Stabia 28.6 14.3 15.5
Virtus Entella Mantova 14.3 14.3 8.1
Südtirol Sampdoria 0.0 42.9 0.0
Catanzaro Ascoli 14.3 14.3 8.1
Arezzo Benevento 28.6 0.0 0.0
Palermo Carrarese 42.9 28.6 39.6
Hellas Verona Pisa 28.6 42.9 39.6

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Empoli Vicenza 8.23 3.14 1.47
Avellino Calcio Padova 9.32 2.22 1.82
Modena Cesena 9.04 2.40 1.72
Cremonese Juve Stabia 8.68 2.68 1.59
Virtus Entella Mantova 9.54 2.09 1.92
Südtirol Sampdoria 9.05 2.39 1.72
Catanzaro Ascoli 9.99 1.88 2.14
Arezzo Benevento 11.03 1.55 2.83
Palermo Carrarese 10.46 1.71 2.41
Hellas Verona Pisa 9.91 1.91 2.09

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Palermo 2.00 0.67 2.50 1.25
Hellas Verona 2.50 1.25 1.33 2.33
Pisa 1.50 1.75 2.67 0.67
Mantova 1.75 1.25 2.00 1.00
Avellino 2.25 1.00 1.00 1.33
Modena 1.67 1.33 1.75 1.00
Virtus Entella 1.33 1.67 1.50 0.75
Benevento 1.80 1.20 0.50 0.50
Südtirol 1.00 0.25 1.67 1.67
Vicenza 1.33 2.00 1.25 2.25
Cesena 1.25 1.25 1.00 1.33
Ascoli 1.50 0.75 0.67 0.67
Juve Stabia 1.33 1.33 1.00 1.00
Catanzaro 1.00 1.50 1.20 2.20
Arezzo 1.00 2.33 1.25 1.75
Empoli 1.00 1.67 1.00 1.50
Sampdoria 1.33 1.67 0.75 2.50
Cremonese 1.00 1.33 0.75 1.50
Carrarese 0.75 1.25 1.00 0.67
Calcio Padova 0.75 1.25 1.00 1.67

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-23 Serie B Empoli Vicenza 0 0 16.0
2026-10-24 Serie B Avellino Calcio Padova 1 1 14.4
2026-10-24 Serie B Modena Cesena 1 1 13.2
2026-10-24 Serie B Cremonese Juve Stabia 1 1 10.3
2026-10-24 Serie B Virtus Entella Mantova 1 0 17.8
2026-10-24 Serie B Südtirol Sampdoria 1 1 10.9
2026-10-24 Serie B Catanzaro Ascoli 1 1 9.9
2026-10-24 Serie B Arezzo Benevento 1 1 10.6
2026-10-25 Serie B Palermo Carrarese 1 1 12.8
2026-10-25 Serie B Hellas Verona Pisa 1 1 13.8


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