AI Football Tips: Serie B round 6

The tactical chess matches and fierce regional rivalries of Italian football are back in the spotlight as Serie B prepares for a crucial weekend of fixtures from October 9–11. As the autumn mist settles over the peninsula, the grueling marathon for promotion to the top flight is beginning to reveal the true contenders. Historic heavyweights and ambitious provincial clubs alike are desperately fighting for every inch on the pitch, fully aware that stringing together positive results now is essential to surviving one of Europe’s most tactically demanding divisions.

This weekend’s compelling slate of matches is highlighted by an absolute blockbuster on Saturday, as promotion hopefuls Empoli welcome southern giants Palermo in a clash that could have massive implications at the top of the table. The intense Saturday schedule also features a determined Cremonese side traveling to face a resilient Arezzo, while Benevento takes on Cesena in a classic Serie B battle. The drama carries into Sunday with a heavyweight showdown between Modena and Hellas Verona, alongside an intriguing test for Padova as they host Carrarese. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter across this thrilling Italian Serie B round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Serie B round 6. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-10-09 Serie B Avellino Sampdoria A 0
2026-10-10 Serie B Südtirol Ascoli A 0
2026-10-10 Serie B Benevento Cesena H 1X2
2026-10-10 Serie B Empoli Palermo A 1X2
2026-10-10 Serie B Virtus Entella Juve Stabia H 1X2
2026-10-10 Serie B Vicenza Pisa A 0
2026-10-10 Serie B Arezzo Cremonese A -0.25
2026-10-11 Serie B Catanzaro Mantova A 0
2026-10-11 Serie B Calcio Padova Carrarese H 1X2
2026-10-11 Serie B Modena Hellas Verona A +0.5

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-09 Avellino Sampdoria 67 67 1.59 2.68
2026-10-10 Südtirol Ascoli 33 50 1.28 4.62
2026-10-10 Benevento Cesena 100 100 2.14 1.88
2026-10-10 Empoli Palermo 0 100 1.52 2.91
2026-10-10 Virtus Entella Juve Stabia 100 67 1.52 2.90
2026-10-10 Vicenza Pisa 100 50 1.97 2.03
2026-10-10 Arezzo Cremonese 100 50 1.69 2.46
2026-10-11 Catanzaro Mantova 0 100 1.55 2.81
2026-10-11 Calcio Padova Carrarese 50 50 1.24 5.23
2026-10-11 Modena Hellas Verona 50 100 1.64 2.57

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-09 Serie B Avellino Sampdoria 1.46 3.18
2026-10-10 Serie B Südtirol Ascoli 1.37 3.72
2026-10-10 Serie B Benevento Cesena 1.94 2.06
2026-10-10 Serie B Empoli Palermo 1.76 2.32
2026-10-10 Serie B Virtus Entella Juve Stabia 1.51 2.94
2026-10-10 Serie B Vicenza Pisa 4.88 1.26
2026-10-10 Serie B Arezzo Cremonese 2.87 1.53
2026-10-11 Serie B Catanzaro Mantova 1.64 2.55
2026-10-11 Serie B Calcio Padova Carrarese 1.34 3.91
2026-10-11 Serie B Modena Hellas Verona 1.74 2.36

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Avellino Sampdoria 1.09 1.50 2.99 3.35 1.43
Südtirol Ascoli 0.69 2.01 1.99 6.59 1.18
Benevento Cesena 1.15 1.46 3.15 3.14 1.47
Empoli Palermo 0.64 2.12 1.89 7.45 1.15
Virtus Entella Juve Stabia 1.26 1.39 3.53 2.78 1.56
Vicenza Pisa 1.26 1.39 3.53 2.78 1.56
Arezzo Cremonese 1.00 1.58 2.73 3.77 1.36
Catanzaro Mantova 0.94 1.64 2.57 4.10 1.32
Calcio Padova Carrarese 0.56 2.33 1.75 9.18 1.12
Modena Hellas Verona 1.28 1.38 3.61 2.72 1.58

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Avellino Sampdoria 60.0 20.0 48.7
Südtirol Ascoli 0.0 0.0 0.0
Benevento Cesena 0.0 0.0 0.0
Empoli Palermo 0.0 60.0 0.0
Virtus Entella Juve Stabia 20.0 20.0 19.9
Vicenza Pisa 20.0 40.0 35.9
Arezzo Cremonese 20.0 20.0 19.9
Catanzaro Mantova 0.0 20.0 0.0
Calcio Padova Carrarese 40.0 0.0 0.0
Modena Hellas Verona 20.0 0.0 0.0

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Avellino Sampdoria 8.64 2.71 1.58
Südtirol Ascoli 9.74 1.99 2.01
Benevento Cesena 10.07 1.85 2.18
Empoli Palermo 9.25 2.26 1.79
Virtus Entella Juve Stabia 9.72 2.00 2.00
Vicenza Pisa 10.91 1.57 2.74
Arezzo Cremonese 10.02 1.87 2.15
Catanzaro Mantova 9.14 2.33 1.75
Calcio Padova Carrarese 10.49 1.70 2.43
Modena Hellas Verona 9.72 2.00 2.00

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Hellas Verona 2.67 1.00 1.00 2.00
Palermo 2.00 0.67 2.00 1.50
Mantova 2.33 1.00 1.50 1.00
Südtirol 1.33 0.33 2.50 1.00
Pisa 1.00 2.00 2.50 1.00
Modena 1.00 1.00 2.00 0.67
Ascoli 1.67 0.67 1.00 1.00
Vicenza 2.00 1.50 1.00 2.33
Virtus Entella 1.50 2.00 1.33 0.67
Cesena 1.33 1.33 1.50 1.00
Avellino 1.67 1.00 1.00 1.50
Benevento 1.67 1.33 0.50 0.50
Arezzo 1.50 3.50 1.00 2.00
Cremonese 1.00 1.33 1.00 1.50
Catanzaro 1.00 0.00 1.00 2.25
Calcio Padova 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.67
Sampdoria 1.50 1.50 0.67 2.00
Empoli 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.67
Juve Stabia 0.50 2.00 1.00 1.00
Carrarese 0.33 1.33 0.50 1.00

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-09 Serie B Avellino Sampdoria 1 1 11.4
2026-10-10 Serie B Südtirol Ascoli 1 1 12.2
2026-10-10 Serie B Benevento Cesena 1 1 14.5
2026-10-10 Serie B Empoli Palermo 1 1 12.4
2026-10-10 Serie B Virtus Entella Juve Stabia 0 2 15.9
2026-10-10 Serie B Vicenza Pisa 1 0 25.3
2026-10-10 Serie B Arezzo Cremonese 0 2 22.4
2026-10-11 Serie B Catanzaro Mantova 2 0 12.9
2026-10-11 Serie B Calcio Padova Carrarese 1 1 11.4
2026-10-11 Serie B Modena Hellas Verona 1 1 11.4


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