AI Football Tips: Serie B Brazil round 38

The 2026 Brasileirão Série B season reaches its ultimate climax as clubs battle in Rodada 38 from Wednesday, November 11 through Saturday, November 14 to decide the championship title, coveted Série A promotion places, and final relegation fates. The concluding round gets underway on Wednesday evening as Londrina host Náutico at the Estádio VGD, followed on Thursday by Ponte Preta facing Operário-PR at the Moisés Lucarelli and São Bernardo taking on Athletic Club at the Estádio 1º de Maio.

All eyes then turn to Saturday afternoon for a pulse-pounding, simultaneous 16:30 Brasília kickoff where destiny is sealed across seven stadiums. Marquee promotion deciders include Sport Recife welcoming Goiás to a boiling Ilha do Retiro, América Mineiro battling Avaí at the Arena da Independência, Fortaleza hosting Vila Nova at the Castelão, and Criciúma clashing with Grêmio Novorizontino at the Heriberto Hülse, alongside tense duels featuring CRB against Ceará, Juventude facing Botafogo-SP, and Atlético Goianiense taking on Cuiabá. With 90 minutes remaining to define an entire year of competition, precision analytics are indispensable. Leverage our advanced AI match forecasts, live probabilistic simulations, and detailed performance metrics to navigate every second of the thrilling Série B season finale.

1X2 Match Projections

We let our algorithms crunch the numbers, dig into recent team stats, and do the heavy lifting so you don’t have to! Here is our 1X2 outlook for Serie B Brazil at a glance.

Date Home Team Away Team 1X2 Pick
2026-11-11 Londrina Náutico 2
2026-11-12 Ponte Preta Operário PR 2
2026-11-12 São Bernardo Athletic Club 1
2026-11-14 América Mineiro Avaí 2
2026-11-14 Atlético GO Cuiabá 1
2026-11-14 Juventude Botafogo SP 1
2026-11-14 CRB Ceará 1
2026-11-14 Criciúma Novorizontino 2
2026-11-14 Fortaleza Vila Nova X
2026-11-14 Sport Recife Goiás 1

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-11-11 Londrina Náutico 44 56 2.58 1.63
2026-11-12 Ponte Preta Operário PR 56 56 2.37 1.73
2026-11-12 São Bernardo Athletic Club 56 61 1.87 2.14
2026-11-14 América Mineiro Avaí 44 50 2.74 1.58
2026-11-14 Atlético GO Cuiabá 44 33 2.24 1.80
2026-11-14 Juventude Botafogo SP 17 28 2.05 1.96
2026-11-14 CRB Ceará 61 50 1.92 2.09
2026-11-14 Criciúma Novorizontino 22 44 2.26 1.80
2026-11-14 Fortaleza Vila Nova 56 33 2.34 1.75
2026-11-14 Sport Recife Goiás 67 44 2.08 1.93

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-11-11 Serie B Brazil Londrina Náutico 2.63 1.61
2026-11-12 Serie B Brazil Ponte Preta Operário PR 2.85 1.54
2026-11-12 Serie B Brazil São Bernardo Athletic Club 1.96 2.04
2026-11-14 Serie B Brazil América Mineiro Avaí 2.28 1.78
2026-11-14 Serie B Brazil Atlético GO Cuiabá 2.19 1.84
2026-11-14 Serie B Brazil Juventude Botafogo SP 2.60 1.62
2026-11-14 Serie B Brazil CRB Ceará 1.54 2.86
2026-11-14 Serie B Brazil Criciúma Novorizontino 1.76 2.32
2026-11-14 Serie B Brazil Fortaleza Vila Nova 2.43 1.70
2026-11-14 Serie B Brazil Sport Recife Goiás 1.99 2.01

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Londrina Náutico 1.09 1.51 2.98 3.36 1.42
Ponte Preta Operário PR 1.44 1.31 4.20 2.38 1.73
São Bernardo Athletic Club 0.71 1.96 2.04 6.24 1.19
América Mineiro Avaí 0.57 2.29 1.77 8.84 1.13
Atlético GO Cuiabá 1.08 1.51 2.95 3.39 1.42
Juventude Botafogo SP 0.97 1.61 2.64 3.94 1.34
CRB Ceará 0.95 1.63 2.58 4.07 1.33
Criciúma Novorizontino 0.71 1.98 2.02 6.35 1.19
Fortaleza Vila Nova 1.65 1.24 5.22 2.03 1.97
Sport Recife Goiás 0.97 1.61 2.65 3.93 1.34

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Londrina Náutico 27.0 27.0 28.4
Ponte Preta Operário PR 21.6 35.1 29.3
São Bernardo Athletic Club 32.4 24.3 30.3
América Mineiro Avaí 21.6 8.1 7.7
Atlético GO Cuiabá 21.6 13.5 12.5
Juventude Botafogo SP 8.1 18.9 6.8
CRB Ceará 21.6 18.9 17.0
Criciúma Novorizontino 27.0 24.3 25.9
Fortaleza Vila Nova 24.3 29.7 28.1
Sport Recife Goiás 16.2 16.2 11.3

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Londrina Náutico 10.64 1.65 2.54
Ponte Preta Operário PR 9.58 2.07 1.94
São Bernardo Athletic Club 10.33 1.75 2.34
América Mineiro Avaí 10.68 1.64 2.57
Atlético GO Cuiabá 11.31 1.48 3.08
Juventude Botafogo SP 9.71 2.00 2.00
CRB Ceará 11.22 1.50 3.00
Criciúma Novorizontino 11.44 1.45 3.21
Fortaleza Vila Nova 10.66 1.65 2.55
Sport Recife Goiás 9.80 1.96 2.04

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Novorizontino 1.84 0.89 1.72 0.83
CRB 1.83 1.11 1.26 1.63
Vila Nova 1.89 0.79 0.94 1.28
São Bernardo 1.22 1.17 1.58 1.11
Sport Recife 1.67 1.06 1.05 1.21
Operário PR 1.42 1.26 1.22 1.44
Juventude 1.56 0.44 1.11 0.95
Atlético GO 1.50 0.83 0.95 1.05
Botafogo SP 1.63 1.21 0.78 0.89
Londrina 1.39 1.28 1.05 1.84
Fortaleza 1.50 0.89 0.89 0.89
Athletic Club 1.32 1.16 1.06 1.22
Náutico 1.05 1.05 1.11 1.61
Goiás 1.00 0.95 1.11 1.28
Criciúma 1.17 0.56 0.89 1.11
Ceará 1.16 1.16 0.89 1.39
Avaí 1.00 1.00 0.89 1.56
Cuiabá 1.11 0.74 0.72 1.00
América Mineiro 0.78 1.22 0.68 1.74
Ponte Preta 0.72 1.56 0.42 2.68

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-11-11 Serie B Brazil Londrina Náutico 1 1 15.0
2026-11-12 Serie B Brazil Ponte Preta Operário PR 1 1 14.3
2026-11-12 Serie B Brazil São Bernardo Athletic Club 1 1 15.0
2026-11-14 Serie B Brazil América Mineiro Avaí 1 1 14.8
2026-11-14 Serie B Brazil Atlético GO Cuiabá 1 1 14.3
2026-11-14 Serie B Brazil Juventude Botafogo SP 0 0 16.0
2026-11-14 Serie B Brazil CRB Ceará 1 1 14.4
2026-11-14 Serie B Brazil Criciúma Novorizontino 1 1 14.0
2026-11-14 Serie B Brazil Fortaleza Vila Nova 0 0 19.3
2026-11-14 Serie B Brazil Sport Recife Goiás 1 1 14.6


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