The pinnacle of tactical mastery, world-class drama, and legendary atmospheres returns to center stage as Serie A delivers an electrifying Matchday 7 over the weekend of October 16–19. With the autumn season settling in, the battle for the Scudetto and coveted UEFA Champions League positions is heating up to a fever pitch. Italy’s traditional giants are eager to assert their supremacy and build crucial momentum, while fearless challengers prepare to test the established order in one of Europe’s most demanding leagues.
Sunday’s schedule is nothing short of breathtaking, headlined by a colossal heavyweight showdown in Turin as Juventus welcomes Lazio to the Allianz Stadium in a match brimming with top-four ramifications. The drama reaches boiling point at the San Siro as AC Milan collides with Atalanta in a fiery, high-octane Lombardy clash. The thrills begin on Saturday with reigning powerhouses Inter Milan navigating a treacherous away test against Bologna, while AS Roma hosts Genoa at the Stadio Olimpico and Napoli travels to take on Venezia. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every electrifying encounter across this premier Serie A round.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Serie A round 7. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Serie A | Frosinone | Sassuolo | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-17 | Serie A | Venezia | Napoli | H | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-17 | Serie A | Bologna | Inter Milan | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-17 | Serie A | Roma | Genoa | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-18 | Serie A | Udinese | Lecce | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-18 | Serie A | Fiorentina | Como | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-18 | Serie A | AC Milan | Atalanta | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-18 | Serie A | Juventus | Lazio | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-19 | Serie A | Monza | Cagliari | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-19 | Serie A | Parma | Torino | A | 0 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Frosinone | Sassuolo | 33 | 100 | 1.15 | 7.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | Venezia | Napoli | 33 | 67 | 1.48 | 3.09 |
| 2026-10-17 | Bologna | Inter Milan | 67 | 50 | 1.34 | 3.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | Roma | Genoa | 67 | 50 | 1.41 | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-18 | Udinese | Lecce | 67 | 0 | 1.33 | 4.06 |
| 2026-10-18 | Fiorentina | Como | 67 | 75 | 1.56 | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-18 | AC Milan | Atalanta | 0 | 50 | 1.18 | 6.65 |
| 2026-10-18 | Juventus | Lazio | 33 | 33 | 1.74 | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | Monza | Cagliari | 100 | 33 | 2.30 | 1.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | Parma | Torino | 67 | 100 | 1.18 | 6.57 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Serie A | Frosinone | Sassuolo | 1.32 | 4.10 |
| 2026-10-17 | Serie A | Venezia | Napoli | 2.71 | 1.59 |
| 2026-10-17 | Serie A | Bologna | Inter Milan | 2.05 | 1.95 |
| 2026-10-17 | Serie A | Roma | Genoa | 1.16 | 7.14 |
| 2026-10-18 | Serie A | Udinese | Lecce | 1.17 | 7.02 |
| 2026-10-18 | Serie A | Fiorentina | Como | 2.65 | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-18 | Serie A | AC Milan | Atalanta | 1.14 | 8.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | Serie A | Juventus | Lazio | 1.85 | 2.17 |
| 2026-10-19 | Serie A | Monza | Cagliari | 2.27 | 1.79 |
| 2026-10-19 | Serie A | Parma | Torino | 1.49 | 3.03 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | Sassuolo | 1.12 | 1.48 | 3.07 | 3.23 | 1.45 |
| Venezia | Napoli | 0.93 | 1.65 | 2.54 | 4.19 | 1.31 |
| Bologna | Inter Milan | 1.24 | 1.41 | 3.45 | 2.85 | 1.54 |
| Roma | Genoa | 1.18 | 1.44 | 3.25 | 3.03 | 1.49 |
| Udinese | Lecce | 0.80 | 1.81 | 2.23 | 5.21 | 1.24 |
| Fiorentina | Como | 1.85 | 1.19 | 6.36 | 1.81 | 2.23 |
| AC Milan | Atalanta | 1.00 | 1.58 | 2.73 | 3.77 | 1.36 |
| Juventus | Lazio | 0.64 | 2.11 | 1.90 | 7.32 | 1.16 |
| Monza | Cagliari | 1.03 | 1.55 | 2.80 | 3.63 | 1.38 |
| Parma | Torino | 1.12 | 1.49 | 3.06 | 3.25 | 1.44 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | Sassuolo | 33.3 | 16.7 | 18.8 |
| Venezia | Napoli | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Bologna | Inter Milan | 16.7 | 83.3 | 40.6 |
| Roma | Genoa | 33.3 | 33.3 | 34.1 |
| Udinese | Lecce | 16.7 | 50.0 | 26.8 |
| Fiorentina | Como | 16.7 | 16.7 | 9.9 |
| AC Milan | Atalanta | 33.3 | 33.3 | 34.1 |
| Juventus | Lazio | 0.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 |
| Monza | Cagliari | 50.0 | 16.7 | 26.8 |
| Parma | Torino | 16.7 | 16.7 | 9.9 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | Sassuolo | 11.36 | 1.47 | 3.13 |
| Venezia | Napoli | 9.67 | 2.02 | 1.98 |
| Bologna | Inter Milan | 10.32 | 1.75 | 2.33 |
| Roma | Genoa | 8.35 | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Udinese | Lecce | 9.84 | 1.94 | 2.06 |
| Fiorentina | Como | 10.25 | 1.78 | 2.29 |
| AC Milan | Atalanta | 8.77 | 2.61 | 1.62 |
| Juventus | Lazio | 10.00 | 1.87 | 2.15 |
| Monza | Cagliari | 9.28 | 2.24 | 1.81 |
| Parma | Torino | 7.94 | 3.51 | 1.40 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan | 3.75 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Roma | 2.67 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| AC Milan | 2.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Lazio | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| Napoli | 1.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Sassuolo | 2.00 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Como | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Frosinone | 1.67 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Juventus | 1.67 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Monza | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.25 | 2.75 |
| Udinese | 0.67 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| Atalanta | 1.75 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Fiorentina | 0.67 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.67 |
| Torino | 1.00 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Cagliari | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 0.33 |
| Lecce | 1.33 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Genoa | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Bologna | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Venezia | 0.67 | 2.67 | 1.00 | 2.67 |
| Parma | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 2.33 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Serie A | Frosinone | Sassuolo | 1 | 1 | 9.5 |
| 2026-10-17 | Serie A | Venezia | Napoli | 0 | 1 | 16.0 |
| 2026-10-17 | Serie A | Bologna | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 14.3 |
| 2026-10-17 | Serie A | Roma | Genoa | 2 | 1 | 9.4 |
| 2026-10-18 | Serie A | Udinese | Lecce | 1 | 1 | 12.4 |
| 2026-10-18 | Serie A | Fiorentina | Como | 0 | 0 | 15.6 |
| 2026-10-18 | Serie A | AC Milan | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 9.4 |
| 2026-10-18 | Serie A | Juventus | Lazio | 1 | 1 | 14.1 |
| 2026-10-19 | Serie A | Monza | Cagliari | 1 | 1 | 14.9 |
| 2026-10-19 | Serie A | Parma | Torino | 1 | 1 | 13.0 |

