AI Football Tips: Serie A round 21

Get ready for a thrilling Round 21 in Serie A! The Italian giants are set to clash once again, and the anticipation is palpable. This season, Serie A has seen some truly memorable moments, with unexpected twists and turns keeping fans on the edge of their seats. The race for glory will continue to intensify as every point matters. Kick off the round with a captivating duel between Como and Udinese on January 20th. Will it be home advantage or an away triumph? This match promises to be a nail-biter, with both teams eager to secure victory. The final fixture of Round 21 sees the excitement build toward the climax of this epic encounter. Who will emerge victorious in this clash of titans?
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Serie A round 21. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2025-01-17 Serie A Roma Genoa H 1X2
2025-01-18 Serie A Bologna Monza H 1X2
2025-01-18 Serie A Juventus Milan H -0.25
2025-01-18 Serie A Atalanta Napoli H -0.25
2025-01-19 Serie A Fiorentina Torino H 1X2
2025-01-19 Serie A Cagliari Lecce H 1X2
2025-01-19 Serie A Parma Venezia H -0.25
2025-01-19 Serie A Hellas Verona Lazio A 1X2
2025-01-19 Serie A Inter Empoli H No bet
2025-01-20 Serie A Como Udinese H 1X2

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2025-01-17 Roma Genoa 60 33
2025-01-18 Bologna Monza 33 44
2025-01-18 Juventus Milan 50 78
2025-01-18 Atalanta Napoli 78 50
2025-01-19 Fiorentina Torino 78 50
2025-01-19 Cagliari Lecce 40 30
2025-01-19 Parma Venezia 70 70
2025-01-19 Hellas Verona Lazio 80 60
2025-01-19 Inter Empoli 60 50
2025-01-20 Como Udinese 44 60

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target
2025-01-17 Roma Genoa 40 22 3.21
2025-01-18 Bologna Monza 56 56 1.80
2025-01-18 Juventus Milan 50 78 1.57
2025-01-18 Atalanta Napoli 89 30 1.68
2025-01-19 Fiorentina Torino 67 50 1.71
2025-01-19 Cagliari Lecce 30 20 4.00
2025-01-19 Parma Venezia 90 50 1.43
2025-01-19 Hellas Verona Lazio 40 60 2.00
2025-01-19 Inter Empoli 60 80 1.43
2025-01-20 Como Udinese 67 70 1.46

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2025-01-17 Roma Genoa 2.50
2025-01-18 Bologna Monza 2.28
2025-01-18 Juventus Milan 2.70
2025-01-18 Atalanta Napoli 3.26
2025-01-19 Fiorentina Torino 2.90
2025-01-19 Cagliari Lecce 2.30
2025-01-19 Parma Venezia 3.05
2025-01-19 Hellas Verona Lazio 3.10
2025-01-19 Inter Empoli 3.20
2025-01-20 Como Udinese 2.90

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Inter 2.30 1.20 2.78 0.56
Atalanta 2.89 1.33 1.64 0.82
Lazio 1.90 1.40 1.50 1.40
Fiorentina 1.78 1.22 1.60 0.90
Juventus 1.50 0.90 1.70 0.80
Napoli 1.50 0.60 1.70 0.60
Bologna 1.33 0.89 1.70 1.70
Milan 1.50 0.60 1.56 1.44
Roma 2.00 1.00 0.80 1.60
Parma 1.60 1.80 0.90 1.70
Hellas Verona 1.10 2.20 1.30 2.20
Udinese 1.10 1.30 1.20 1.50
Como 1.44 1.67 0.82 1.64
Torino 0.70 1.00 1.30 1.50
Cagliari 0.80 1.80 1.10 1.50
Empoli 0.40 1.10 1.50 1.40
Monza 0.91 1.45 1.00 1.33
Venezia 1.10 1.30 0.70 2.00
Genoa 0.91 1.45 0.78 1.22
Lecce 0.90 1.70 0.50 1.50

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2025-01-17 Roma Genoa 2.45 1.80
2025-01-18 Bologna Monza 2.30 1.80
2025-01-18 Juventus Milan 1.80 3.20
2025-01-18 Atalanta Napoli 2.40 2.25
2025-01-19 Fiorentina Torino 2.70 1.75
2025-01-19 Cagliari Lecce 2.65 2.40
2025-01-19 Parma Venezia 3.90 2.65
2025-01-19 Hellas Verona Lazio 2.15 2.50
2025-01-19 Inter Empoli 2.60 2.55
2025-01-20 Como Udinese 2.40 2.10