English Football

AI Football Tips: Premier League round 8

Following the cup drama of the Taça de Portugal, championship football returns to the forefront with maximum intensity as the Primeira Liga launches into a captivating Matchweek 9 from October 23–26. As the autumn campaign gathers full momentum, the battle for the title and coveted UEFA Champions League positions is heating up significantly. Portugal’s elite clubs face treacherous road trips and grueling tactical tests across the mainland and the Atlantic islands, where even the slightest slip-up could prove costly in the hunt for silverware.

Saturday’s action is highlighted by a high-stakes prime-time clash in Barcelos, where FC Porto must navigate a notoriously difficult away test against a resilient Gil Vicente side. On Sunday, title chasers Sporting CP return to the roar of the Estádio José Alvalade to host Académico de Viseu, while Sporting Braga makes the island trip to Madeira to battle CD Nacional, alongside an intense Minho duel between Rio Ave and FC Famalicão. The round reaches its conclusion on Monday evening as SL Benfica embarks on a testing flight across the Atlantic to face CD Santa Clara in the Azores, following Friday’s fiery opener between Vitória de Guimarães and Marítimo. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter in this thrilling Portuguese round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Premier League round 8. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-23 Premier League Ipswich Town Nottingham Forest 0.1959 0.3109 0.4932 A -0.25
2026-10-24 Premier League Aston Villa Manchester City 0.1770 0.3033 0.5197 A 1X2
2026-10-24 Premier League Arsenal Everton 0.5263 0.3013 0.1725 H No bet
2026-10-24 Premier League Coventry City Fulham 0.1972 0.3113 0.4915 A -0.25
2026-10-24 Premier League Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur 0.4170 0.3268 0.2562 H 1X2
2026-10-25 Premier League Manchester United AFC Bournemouth 0.4616 0.3185 0.2198 H 1X2
2026-10-25 Premier League Hull City Brentford 0.3108 0.3328 0.3564 A 1X2
2026-10-25 Premier League Liverpool Brighton & Hove Albion 0.3511 0.3330 0.3158 H 1X2
2026-10-25 Premier League Crystal Palace Newcastle United 0.3560 0.3328 0.3111 H 0
2026-10-25 Premier League Sunderland Leeds United 0.4708 0.3165 0.2127 H 0

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-23 Ipswich Town Nottingham Forest 67 100 2.59 1.63
2026-10-24 Aston Villa Manchester City 67 33 1.71 2.41
2026-10-24 Arsenal Everton 67 67 1.63 2.58
2026-10-24 Coventry City Fulham 33 33 1.47 3.12
2026-10-24 Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur 100 33 1.34 3.93
2026-10-25 Manchester United AFC Bournemouth 67 100 2.65 1.61
2026-10-25 Hull City Brentford 33 100 2.14 1.88
2026-10-25 Liverpool Brighton & Hove Albion 33 33 1.99 2.01
2026-10-25 Crystal Palace Newcastle United 100 67 1.67 2.48
2026-10-25 Sunderland Leeds United 0 67 1.89 2.12

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-23 Premier League Ipswich Town Nottingham Forest 2.28 1.78
2026-10-24 Premier League Aston Villa Manchester City 1.39 3.55
2026-10-24 Premier League Arsenal Everton 1.65 2.53
2026-10-24 Premier League Coventry City Fulham 1.83 2.20
2026-10-24 Premier League Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur 1.77 2.30
2026-10-25 Premier League Manchester United AFC Bournemouth 2.42 1.70
2026-10-25 Premier League Hull City Brentford 2.04 1.96
2026-10-25 Premier League Liverpool Brighton & Hove Albion 1.62 2.60
2026-10-25 Premier League Crystal Palace Newcastle United 3.29 1.44
2026-10-25 Premier League Sunderland Leeds United 1.48 3.07

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Ipswich Town Nottingham Forest 1.38 1.34 3.97 2.49 1.67
Aston Villa Manchester City 0.74 1.90 2.11 5.83 1.21
Arsenal Everton 0.88 1.71 2.41 4.54 1.28
Coventry City Fulham 0.66 2.07 1.93 7.05 1.17
Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur 1.58 1.26 4.85 2.14 1.88
Manchester United AFC Bournemouth 1.08 1.52 2.93 3.43 1.41
Hull City Brentford 1.33 1.36 3.77 2.61 1.62
Liverpool Brighton & Hove Albion 0.87 1.72 2.38 4.63 1.28
Crystal Palace Newcastle United 1.97 1.16 7.18 1.71 2.42
Sunderland Leeds United 0.62 2.17 1.85 7.83 1.15

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Ipswich Town Nottingham Forest 42.9 14.3 17.0
Aston Villa Manchester City 28.6 14.3 11.7
Arsenal Everton 28.6 14.3 11.7
Coventry City Fulham 42.9 28.6 31.1
Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur 71.4 28.6 46.3
Manchester United AFC Bournemouth 0.0 42.9 0.0
Hull City Brentford 28.6 28.6 22.0
Liverpool Brighton & Hove Albion 28.6 57.1 39.2
Crystal Palace Newcastle United 57.1 57.1 63.0
Sunderland Leeds United 28.6 14.3 11.7

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Ipswich Town Nottingham Forest 8.87 2.53 1.66
Aston Villa Manchester City 8.25 3.11 1.47
Arsenal Everton 10.35 1.74 2.34
Coventry City Fulham 8.43 2.92 1.52
Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur 9.65 2.03 1.97
Manchester United AFC Bournemouth 9.44 2.14 1.88
Hull City Brentford 8.02 3.41 1.42
Liverpool Brighton & Hove Albion 10.54 1.68 2.47
Crystal Palace Newcastle United 10.56 1.67 2.48
Sunderland Leeds United 8.49 2.86 1.54

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Brighton & Hove Albion 3.25 0.25 3.33 1.33
Manchester City 2.75 1.50 2.67 0.33
Chelsea 3.67 2.00 1.50 1.75
Brentford 2.00 0.75 1.67 1.67
Arsenal 2.33 0.67 1.00 0.75
Ipswich Town 1.33 1.33 1.75 2.75
Newcastle United 1.50 1.50 1.33 2.67
Manchester United 2.00 1.33 1.00 1.50
AFC Bournemouth 1.25 1.00 1.33 3.00
Leeds United 1.50 0.75 1.00 1.00
Crystal Palace 2.00 2.67 0.75 2.25
Liverpool 0.67 1.67 1.75 0.75
Hull City 1.33 0.67 1.00 1.25
Everton 1.25 1.00 1.00 1.00
Fulham 1.50 1.75 0.33 1.00
Aston Villa 1.00 1.67 1.00 1.50
Coventry City 1.33 2.33 0.50 1.75
Sunderland 0.33 1.33 1.25 2.50
Tottenham Hotspur 1.25 1.50 0.33 1.33
Nottingham Forest 0.00 0.75 1.67 2.00

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-23 Premier League Ipswich Town Nottingham Forest 1 1 14.1
2026-10-24 Premier League Aston Villa Manchester City 1 1 10.8
2026-10-24 Premier League Arsenal Everton 1 1 13.5
2026-10-24 Premier League Coventry City Fulham 1 1 11.9
2026-10-24 Premier League Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur 1 0 25.0
2026-10-25 Premier League Manchester United AFC Bournemouth 1 1 13.7
2026-10-25 Premier League Hull City Brentford 1 1 11.1
2026-10-25 Premier League Liverpool Brighton & Hove Albion 1 1 12.5
2026-10-25 Premier League Crystal Palace Newcastle United 1 1 12.3
2026-10-25 Premier League Sunderland Leeds United 1 1 10.9


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