English Football

AI Football Tips: Premier League round 6

The crisp autumn air will be buzzing with anticipation as another round of Premier League action kicks off this weekend. With every goal scored and tackle contested, the race for glory intensifies as teams battle to etch their names into Premier League folklore.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Premier League round 6.

Date Home Team Away Team Prediction
2024-09-28 Newcastle Utd Manchester City 1
2024-09-28 Arsenal Leicester City 1
2024-09-28 Brentford West Ham 1
2024-09-28 Chelsea Brighton 1
2024-09-28 Everton Crystal Palace 1
2024-09-28 Nott’ham Forest Fulham 1
2024-09-28 Wolves Liverpool 2
2024-09-29 Ipswich Town Aston Villa 1
2024-09-29 Manchester Utd Tottenham 1
2024-09-30 Bournemouth Southampton 1

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-09-28 Newcastle Utd Manchester City 2.65
2024-09-28 Arsenal Leicester City 2.90
2024-09-28 Brentford West Ham 3.02
2024-09-28 Chelsea Brighton 2.60
2024-09-28 Everton Crystal Palace 2.95
2024-09-28 Nott’ham Forest Fulham 2.08
2024-09-28 Wolves Liverpool 3.12
2024-09-29 Ipswich Town Aston Villa 2.62
2024-09-29 Manchester Utd Tottenham 2.80
2024-09-30 Bournemouth Southampton 3.18

The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-09-28 Newcastle Utd Manchester City 2.55 2.75
2024-09-28 Arsenal Leicester City 2.75 3.05
2024-09-28 Brentford West Ham 3.55 2.50
2024-09-28 Chelsea Brighton 2.35 2.85
2024-09-28 Everton Crystal Palace 3.05 2.85
2024-09-28 Nott’ham Forest Fulham 2.10 2.05
2024-09-28 Wolves Liverpool 3.10 3.15
2024-09-29 Ipswich Town Aston Villa 2.20 3.05
2024-09-29 Manchester Utd Tottenham 3.00 2.60
2024-09-30 Bournemouth Southampton 3.15 3.20

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Manchester City 2.50 0.67 1.90 0.85
Liverpool 1.80 0.67 2.20 0.95
Manchester Utd 1.90 1.10 1.87 1.40
Tottenham 2.20 0.83 1.20 1.40
Bournemouth 1.95 1.20 1.57 1.70
Aston Villa 1.67 0.77 1.70 1.35
Chelsea 1.70 0.65 1.53 1.50
Brighton 1.57 1.03 1.55 1.30
Southampton 1.20 2.13 1.65 1.55
Fulham 1.83 0.97 0.65 1.40
Brentford 2.20 1.35 0.77 2.70
Newcastle Utd 1.05 1.50 1.53 1.87
Crystal Palace 1.60 1.40 0.85 2.00
Nott’ham Forest 1.15 0.95 1.33 0.67
West Ham 1.30 2.40 1.10 1.40
Arsenal 1.65 1.10 0.77 1.33
Everton 1.15 1.90 1.00 1.73
Wolves 1.55 1.55 0.57 1.30
Leicester City 0.70 1.23 0.90 2.15
Ipswich Town 0.45 1.75 0.73 2.43