English Football

AI Football Tips: Premier League round 5

The world’s most-watched football league returns with blockbuster intensity as the Premier League charges into Matchday 5 across the weekend of September 18–20. With the title race establishing its early frontrunners and contenders vying for critical Champions League qualification momentum, every point is fiercely contested in England’s relentless top flight.

The action kicks off with an electrifying Friday night London derby as Brentford hosts Chelsea at the Gtech Community Stadium, setting the stage for a jam-packed weekend. Saturday serves up major tests for title hopefuls, with Arsenal traveling to the south coast to face an ambitious Brighton & Hove Albion, while Manchester City welcomes Sunderland to the Etihad Stadium. The drama continues on Sunday with Liverpool journeying to face AFC Bournemouth and Manchester United visiting Fulham at Craven Cottage. Explore our AI-driven match predictions, detailed player and team statistics, and data analytics for every fixture across this thrilling matchweek.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Premier League round 5. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-09-18 Premier League Brentford Chelsea H 0
2026-09-19 Premier League Tottenham Hotspur Aston Villa H 1X2
2026-09-19 Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion Arsenal H +0.5
2026-09-19 Premier League Everton Ipswich Town H 1X2
2026-09-19 Premier League Newcastle United Hull City H 1X2
2026-09-19 Premier League Nottingham Forest Coventry City H 1X2
2026-09-20 Premier League AFC Bournemouth Liverpool H +0.25
2026-09-20 Premier League Leeds United Crystal Palace H 1X2
2026-09-20 Premier League Manchester City Sunderland H No bet
2026-09-20 Premier League Fulham Manchester United A 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-09-18 Brentford Chelsea 50 100 1.55 2.83
2026-09-19 Tottenham Hotspur Aston Villa 0 0 5.10 1.24
2026-09-19 Brighton & Hove Albion Arsenal 50 0 5.13 1.24
2026-09-19 Everton Ipswich Town 50 100 1.42 3.38
2026-09-19 Newcastle United Hull City 100 50 2.43 1.70
2026-09-19 Nottingham Forest Coventry City 0 0 6.40 1.19
2026-09-20 AFC Bournemouth Liverpool 100 50 1.34 3.90
2026-09-20 Leeds United Crystal Palace 100 50 1.73 2.37
2026-09-20 Manchester City Sunderland 50 100 2.47 1.68
2026-09-20 Fulham Manchester United 100 50 1.19 6.35

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-09-18 Premier League Brentford Chelsea 2.24 1.81
2026-09-19 Premier League Tottenham Hotspur Aston Villa 1000.00 1.00
2026-09-19 Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion Arsenal 1000.00 1.00
2026-09-19 Premier League Everton Ipswich Town 1.42 3.38
2026-09-19 Premier League Newcastle United Hull City 5.96 1.20
2026-09-19 Premier League Nottingham Forest Coventry City 1000.00 1.00
2026-09-20 Premier League AFC Bournemouth Liverpool 1.14 7.92
2026-09-20 Premier League Leeds United Crystal Palace 1.59 2.70
2026-09-20 Premier League Manchester City Sunderland 4.70 1.27
2026-09-20 Premier League Fulham Manchester United 1.05 22.20

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Brighton & Hove Albion 2.5 0.5 4.0 2.0
Chelsea 3.0 2.5 2.0 2.0
Manchester City 1.5 0.5 2.5 0.5
Arsenal 2.5 0.5 1.5 0.0
Leeds United 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.5
Newcastle United 2.0 2.0 1.5 2.0
Brentford 2.0 0.5 1.5 1.5
Manchester United 2.5 1.5 1.0 2.0
Ipswich Town 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.5
AFC Bournemouth 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.0
Crystal Palace 1.5 3.5 1.5 2.0
Liverpool 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0
Hull City 1.0 0.0 1.5 1.0
Everton 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.5
Fulham 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.5
Nottingham Forest 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.5
Sunderland 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.5
Aston Villa 0.5 1.5 0.0 2.0
Coventry City 0.0 3.0 0.0 2.0
Tottenham Hotspur 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.5

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score
2026-09-18 Premier League Brentford Chelsea 2 1
2026-09-19 Premier League Tottenham Hotspur Aston Villa 1 0
2026-09-19 Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion Arsenal 1 0
2026-09-19 Premier League Everton Ipswich Town 2 1
2026-09-19 Premier League Newcastle United Hull City 1 1
2026-09-19 Premier League Nottingham Forest Coventry City 1 0
2026-09-20 Premier League AFC Bournemouth Liverpool 2 3
2026-09-20 Premier League Leeds United Crystal Palace 2 1
2026-09-20 Premier League Manchester City Sunderland 1 1
2026-09-20 Premier League Fulham Manchester United 3 2


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