English Football

AI Football Tips: Premier League round 1

The world’s most watched league returns in spectacular fashion as the 2026/27 Premier League season kicks off for Matchweek 1 on August 21–23. Following an extended post-World Cup summer break filled with headline transfers—highlighted by Arsenal landing midfielder Bruno Guimarães for £75m and Liverpool securing Barcelona defender Ronald Araujo—the battle for English supremacy promises breathtaking drama.

Opening weekend action begins on Friday, August 21, as Arsenal hosts Coventry City under the lights at Emirates Stadium. On Saturday, August 22, Manchester United travels to face Hull City, while Tottenham Hotspur visits Brentford. The marquee battle arrives on Sunday, August 23, when Newcastle United collides with Liverpool at St James’ Park, alongside champions Manchester City hosting AFC Bournemouth, before Chelsea faces Fulham on Monday. Dive into our AI-driven statistical predictions and match previews for this week’s opening fixtures.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Premier League round 1. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-08-22 Premier League Everton Crystal Palace H -0.25
2026-08-22 Premier League Nottingham Forest Leeds United H -0.25
2026-08-22 Premier League Brentford Tottenham Hotspur H -0.25
2026-08-23 Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion Aston Villa H -0.25
2026-08-23 Premier League Manchester City AFC Bournemouth H No bet
2026-08-23 Premier League Newcastle United Liverpool H +0.5
2026-08-24 Premier League Fulham Chelsea H +0.25

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-08-22 Everton Crystal Palace 53 53 1.68 2.47
2026-08-22 Nottingham Forest Leeds United 47 63 1.97 2.03
2026-08-22 Brentford Tottenham Hotspur 58 53 1.79 2.26
2026-08-23 Brighton & Hove Albion Aston Villa 58 63 1.94 2.06
2026-08-23 Manchester City AFC Bournemouth 47 68 1.87 2.15
2026-08-23 Newcastle United Liverpool 79 68 1.30 4.37
2026-08-24 Fulham Chelsea 53 68 2.04 1.96

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-08-22 Premier League Everton Crystal Palace 1.52 2.92
2026-08-22 Premier League Nottingham Forest Leeds United 3.60 1.38
2026-08-22 Premier League Brentford Tottenham Hotspur 1.94 2.06
2026-08-23 Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion Aston Villa 2.54 1.65
2026-08-23 Premier League Manchester City AFC Bournemouth 2.56 1.64
2026-08-23 Premier League Newcastle United Liverpool 1.18 6.43
2026-08-24 Premier League Fulham Chelsea 2.24 1.81

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Manchester City 2.37 0.74 1.68 1.11
Arsenal 2.16 0.58 1.58 0.84
Manchester United 2.05 1.26 1.58 1.37
Liverpool 1.79 1.05 1.53 1.74
AFC Bournemouth 1.53 1.05 1.53 1.79
Chelsea 1.37 1.32 1.68 1.42
Aston Villa 1.68 1.16 1.26 1.42
Brentford 1.74 1.11 1.16 1.63
Newcastle United 1.89 1.58 0.89 1.32
Brighton & Hove Albion 1.58 1.05 1.16 1.37
Leeds United 1.53 1.11 1.05 1.84
Nottingham Forest 1.05 1.21 1.47 1.47
Tottenham Hotspur 1.16 1.63 1.37 1.37
Fulham 1.58 1.05 0.89 1.63
Everton 1.37 1.42 1.11 1.21
West Ham United 1.42 1.58 1.00 1.84
Sunderland 1.32 1.05 0.89 1.47
Crystal Palace 1.00 1.21 1.16 1.47
Burnley 0.95 1.53 1.05 2.42
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.00 1.79 0.42 1.79

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score
2026-08-22 Premier League Everton Crystal Palace 2 1
2026-08-22 Premier League Nottingham Forest Leeds United 1 1
2026-08-22 Premier League Brentford Tottenham Hotspur 1 1
2026-08-23 Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion Aston Villa 1 1
2026-08-23 Premier League Manchester City AFC Bournemouth 2 1
2026-08-23 Premier League Newcastle United Liverpool 2 2
2026-08-24 Premier League Fulham Chelsea 2 1


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