The race for the MLS Cup Playoffs reaches a fever pitch as Major League Soccer returns from the international break with a massive slate of fixtures across the weekend of October 10–11. With Decision Day looming just over the horizon, the pressure is palpable in every stadium across North America. Teams in both the Eastern and Western Conferences are leaving nothing to chance, desperate to secure vital points to guarantee postseason seeding, lock in home-field advantage, or claw their way above the elusive playoff line before time runs out.
Saturday’s action-packed schedule is headlined by a fierce iteration of the Canadian Classique as Toronto FC battles CF Montréal. The heavy-hitting matchups continue throughout the afternoon, with the New York Red Bulls welcoming expansion side San Diego FC to Red Bull Arena, while Inter Miami CF takes on D.C. United and Orlando City SC hosts the Columbus Crew in pivotal Eastern Conference clashes. Out West, LAFC looks to make a statement against Vancouver Whitecaps FC under the lights, leading into a tense Sunday showdown between St. Louis City SC and the LA Galaxy. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every encounter across this crucial MLS weekend.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for MLS round 28. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | MLS | Chicago Fire | Vancouver Whitecaps | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Toronto | Montreal Impact | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Chicago Fire | New York City | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Charlotte | FC Dallas | A | 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Orlando City | Columbus Crew | A | +0.25 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Inter Miami | DC United | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | New York RB | San Diego | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Philadelphia Union | Real Salt Lake | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Austin | Nashville SC | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Minnesota United | Houston Dynamo | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Sporting KC | Portland Timbers | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Colorado Rapids | SJ Earthquakes | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Los Angeles FC | Vancouver Whitecaps | A | -0.25 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago Fire | Vancouver Whitecaps | 67 | 55 | 1.59 | 2.69 |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles FC | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | 55 | 1.49 | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-10 | Chicago Fire | New York City | 67 | 69 | 1.57 | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-10 | Toronto | Montreal Impact | 100 | 46 | 1.31 | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-10 | Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | 77 | 79 | 1.38 | 3.63 |
| 2026-10-10 | Charlotte | FC Dallas | 64 | 57 | 1.50 | 2.99 |
| 2026-10-10 | Orlando City | Columbus Crew | 69 | 85 | 2.06 | 1.95 |
| 2026-10-10 | Inter Miami | DC United | 92 | 58 | 1.38 | 3.63 |
| 2026-10-10 | New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders | 54 | 54 | 1.38 | 3.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | New York RB | San Diego | 54 | 54 | 1.45 | 3.23 |
| 2026-10-10 | Philadelphia Union | Real Salt Lake | 54 | 77 | 1.69 | 2.46 |
| 2026-10-11 | Austin | Nashville SC | 69 | 31 | 1.67 | 2.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | Minnesota United | Houston Dynamo | 54 | 38 | 1.64 | 2.56 |
| 2026-10-11 | Sporting KC | Portland Timbers | 77 | 69 | 1.43 | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-11 | Colorado Rapids | SJ Earthquakes | 38 | 69 | 1.66 | 2.52 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | MLS | Chicago Fire | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.87 | 2.16 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Toronto | Montreal Impact | 1.35 | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Chicago Fire | New York City | 1.76 | 2.31 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | 1.33 | 4.08 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Charlotte | FC Dallas | 1.65 | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Orlando City | Columbus Crew | 1.54 | 2.85 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Inter Miami | DC United | 1.48 | 3.08 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders | 1.89 | 2.13 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | New York RB | San Diego | 1.59 | 2.69 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Philadelphia Union | Real Salt Lake | 1.57 | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Austin | Nashville SC | 2.03 | 1.97 |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Minnesota United | Houston Dynamo | 1.85 | 2.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Sporting KC | Portland Timbers | 1.46 | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Colorado Rapids | SJ Earthquakes | 1.72 | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Los Angeles FC | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.94 | 2.06 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.29 | 1.38 | 3.62 | 2.72 | 1.58 |
| Toronto | Montreal Impact | 1.54 | 1.27 | 4.65 | 2.20 | 1.83 |
| Chicago Fire | New York City | 1.39 | 1.33 | 4.03 | 2.46 | 1.68 |
| Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | 1.62 | 1.25 | 5.07 | 2.07 | 1.93 |
| Charlotte | FC Dallas | 1.25 | 1.40 | 3.48 | 2.83 | 1.55 |
| Orlando City | Columbus Crew | 1.43 | 1.32 | 4.17 | 2.39 | 1.72 |
| Inter Miami | DC United | 2.02 | 1.15 | 7.53 | 1.67 | 2.49 |
| New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders | 1.31 | 1.37 | 3.69 | 2.66 | 1.60 |
| New York RB | San Diego | 0.94 | 1.64 | 2.56 | 4.12 | 1.32 |
| Philadelphia Union | Real Salt Lake | 0.89 | 1.70 | 2.44 | 4.46 | 1.29 |
| Austin | Nashville SC | 0.95 | 1.64 | 2.57 | 4.10 | 1.32 |
| Minnesota United | Houston Dynamo | 1.04 | 1.55 | 2.82 | 3.60 | 1.39 |
| Sporting KC | Portland Timbers | 1.85 | 1.19 | 6.36 | 1.81 | 2.23 |
| Colorado Rapids | SJ Earthquakes | 0.92 | 1.66 | 2.50 | 4.27 | 1.31 |
| Los Angeles FC | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.29 | 1.38 | 3.64 | 2.70 | 1.59 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34.6 | 42.3 | 34.9 |
| Toronto | Montreal Impact | 25.9 | 37.0 | 24.5 |
| Chicago Fire | New York City | 34.6 | 37.0 | 31.3 |
| Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | 25.9 | 26.9 | 18.5 |
| Charlotte | FC Dallas | 29.6 | 37.0 | 27.5 |
| Orlando City | Columbus Crew | 37.0 | 40.7 | 35.7 |
| Inter Miami | DC United | 33.3 | 11.5 | 10.6 |
| New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders | 33.3 | 22.2 | 19.5 |
| New York RB | San Diego | 48.1 | 44.4 | 46.6 |
| Philadelphia Union | Real Salt Lake | 29.6 | 33.3 | 25.1 |
| Austin | Nashville SC | 33.3 | 25.9 | 22.4 |
| Minnesota United | Houston Dynamo | 40.7 | 14.8 | 16.2 |
| Sporting KC | Portland Timbers | 37.0 | 48.1 | 40.7 |
| Colorado Rapids | SJ Earthquakes | 29.6 | 55.6 | 38.2 |
| Los Angeles FC | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32.1 | 42.3 | 32.8 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | Vancouver Whitecaps | 8.22 | 3.15 | 1.46 |
| Toronto | Montreal Impact | 9.13 | 2.34 | 1.75 |
| Chicago Fire | New York City | 8.69 | 2.67 | 1.60 |
| Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | 10.24 | 1.78 | 2.28 |
| Charlotte | FC Dallas | 10.98 | 1.56 | 2.80 |
| Orlando City | Columbus Crew | 8.84 | 2.55 | 1.65 |
| Inter Miami | DC United | 10.14 | 1.82 | 2.22 |
| New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders | 11.12 | 1.52 | 2.91 |
| New York RB | San Diego | 8.43 | 2.92 | 1.52 |
| Philadelphia Union | Real Salt Lake | 10.32 | 1.75 | 2.33 |
| Austin | Nashville SC | 10.03 | 1.86 | 2.16 |
| Minnesota United | Houston Dynamo | 9.17 | 2.31 | 1.76 |
| Sporting KC | Portland Timbers | 10.40 | 1.72 | 2.38 |
| Colorado Rapids | SJ Earthquakes | 9.09 | 2.36 | 1.73 |
| Los Angeles FC | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9.62 | 2.05 | 1.96 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 2.69 | 2.00 | 2.07 | 1.71 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 2.33 | 0.93 | 2.18 | 1.09 |
| FC Cincinnati | 2.83 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.86 |
| Nashville SC | 2.93 | 0.86 | 1.08 | 0.69 |
| Philadelphia Union | 1.77 | 1.00 | 2.21 | 2.21 |
| FC Dallas | 1.92 | 1.54 | 1.79 | 1.57 |
| SJ Earthquakes | 1.79 | 1.57 | 1.85 | 1.31 |
| St. Louis City | 2.15 | 1.31 | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| Portland Timbers | 2.21 | 1.79 | 1.31 | 2.00 |
| Orlando City | 1.77 | 1.31 | 1.79 | 3.36 |
| Chicago Fire | 1.83 | 1.17 | 1.71 | 1.71 |
| Charlotte | 1.86 | 1.00 | 1.62 | 1.85 |
| San Diego | 2.29 | 1.71 | 1.15 | 1.77 |
| New England Revolution | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.36 | 1.64 |
| Los Angeles FC | 1.92 | 0.85 | 1.20 | 1.27 |
| New York City | 1.86 | 1.50 | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| Minnesota United | 1.08 | 1.23 | 1.86 | 2.36 |
| Real Salt Lake | 1.93 | 1.43 | 1.00 | 1.85 |
| Toronto | 2.07 | 2.00 | 0.77 | 1.77 |
| Columbus Crew | 1.36 | 1.14 | 1.54 | 2.08 |
| Colorado Rapids | 1.92 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 1.86 |
| LA Galaxy | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.36 | 1.86 |
| DC United | 1.29 | 1.79 | 1.33 | 1.42 |
| Austin | 1.46 | 1.15 | 1.14 | 2.29 |
| Seattle Sounders | 1.64 | 1.43 | 0.92 | 1.15 |
| New York RB | 1.38 | 2.00 | 1.14 | 1.79 |
| Montreal Impact | 1.36 | 1.29 | 1.15 | 2.77 |
| Houston Dynamo | 1.21 | 0.86 | 1.31 | 1.54 |
| Sporting KC | 1.38 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.79 |
| Atlanta United FC | 1.46 | 1.77 | 0.93 | 1.57 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | MLS | Chicago Fire | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 | 1 | 13.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Toronto | Montreal Impact | 1 | 1 | 9.9 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Chicago Fire | New York City | 1 | 1 | 14.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | 1 | 1 | 8.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Charlotte | FC Dallas | 1 | 1 | 12.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Orlando City | Columbus Crew | 1 | 1 | 13.5 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Inter Miami | DC United | 1 | 1 | 9.6 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders | 1 | 1 | 12.6 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | New York RB | San Diego | 1 | 1 | 13.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | MLS | Philadelphia Union | Real Salt Lake | 1 | 1 | 10.9 |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Austin | Nashville SC | 0 | 1 | 14.9 |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Minnesota United | Houston Dynamo | 1 | 1 | 13.7 |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Sporting KC | Portland Timbers | 1 | 1 | 11.4 |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Colorado Rapids | SJ Earthquakes | 1 | 1 | 13.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | MLS | Los Angeles FC | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 | 1 | 12.4 |


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