AI Football Tips: Ligue 2 round 11

The promotion battle in France’s second tier heats up as Ligue 2 prepares for its next upcoming round of fixtures in Matchweek 11, running from Friday, October 30 to Monday, November 2. Packed with historic former Ligue 1 champions and ambitious challengers, the division demands tactical discipline and physical resilience across every venue.

Friday evening kicks off the round with a busy multi-game multiplex, headlined by FC Nantes hosting Clermont Foot, FC Metz welcoming Pau FC, Grenoble Foot 38 battling Dijon FCO, and Rodez AF taking on USL Dunkerque. Saturday’s action delivers three massive showdowns with promotion implications as En Avant Guingamp locks horns with AS Saint-Étienne, Stade de Reims faces FC Sochaux-Montbéliard, and FC Annecy hosts Montpellier HSC, before Monday night concludes the round with Red Star FC welcoming AS Nancy Lorraine. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every upcoming encounter in Ligue 2.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Ligue 2 round 11. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Laval Boulogne 0.4702 0.3166 0.2132 H -0.25
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Nantes Clermont 0.7974 0.1674 0.0351 H No bet
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Grenoble Foot 38 Dijon 0.1457 0.2874 0.5669 A -0.25
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Metz Pau 0.3620 0.3325 0.3055 H 1X2
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Rodez Dunkerque 0.6998 0.2268 0.0735 H 1X2
2026-10-31 Ligue 2 Annecy Montpellier 0.4392 0.3231 0.2377 H 0
2026-10-31 Ligue 2 Reims Sochaux 0.6208 0.2656 0.1136 H 1X2
2026-10-31 Ligue 2 Guingamp Saint-Étienne 0.2479 0.3253 0.4268 A 1X2
2026-11-02 Ligue 2 Red Star Nancy 0.4293 0.3249 0.2458 H -0.25

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-30 Laval Boulogne 80 20 1.22 5.53
2026-10-30 Nantes Clermont 40 100 2.12 1.90
2026-10-30 Grenoble Foot 38 Dijon 50 100 1.63 2.59
2026-10-30 Metz Pau 100 50 1.27 4.66
2026-10-30 Rodez Dunkerque 60 50 2.01 1.99
2026-10-31 Annecy Montpellier 75 40 1.56 2.79
2026-10-31 Reims Sochaux 100 60 1.33 4.06
2026-10-31 Guingamp Saint-Étienne 80 60 1.47 3.11
2026-11-02 Red Star Nancy 25 40 1.75 2.33

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Laval Boulogne 1.80 2.25
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Nantes Clermont 2.35 1.74
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Grenoble Foot 38 Dijon 2.02 1.98
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Metz Pau 1.44 3.25
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Rodez Dunkerque 1.72 2.40
2026-10-31 Ligue 2 Annecy Montpellier 1.86 2.17
2026-10-31 Ligue 2 Reims Sochaux 1.67 2.49
2026-10-31 Ligue 2 Guingamp Saint-Étienne 1.42 3.36
2026-11-02 Ligue 2 Red Star Nancy 1.95 2.05

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Laval Boulogne 0.81 1.80 2.25 5.12 1.24
Nantes Clermont 1.18 1.44 3.25 3.04 1.49
Grenoble Foot 38 Dijon 0.90 1.68 2.46 4.39 1.29
Metz Pau 1.06 1.53 2.88 3.50 1.40
Rodez Dunkerque 1.57 1.26 4.82 2.14 1.87
Annecy Montpellier 0.95 1.63 2.60 4.04 1.33
Reims Sochaux 1.39 1.33 4.01 2.47 1.68
Guingamp Saint-Étienne 1.52 1.28 4.57 2.23 1.81
Red Star Nancy 0.98 1.60 2.67 3.88 1.35

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Laval Boulogne 10.0 20.0 6.9
Nantes Clermont 20.0 10.0 6.9
Grenoble Foot 38 Dijon 20.0 30.0 19.4
Metz Pau 30.0 30.0 27.7
Rodez Dunkerque 70.0 10.0 22.3
Annecy Montpellier 30.0 10.0 10.2
Reims Sochaux 40.0 40.0 43.8
Guingamp Saint-Étienne 50.0 30.0 41.7
Red Star Nancy 40.0 10.0 13.4

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Laval Boulogne 9.54 2.09 1.92
Nantes Clermont 10.83 1.59 2.68
Grenoble Foot 38 Dijon 9.16 2.31 1.76
Metz Pau 9.22 2.27 1.78
Rodez Dunkerque 10.18 1.81 2.24
Annecy Montpellier 10.73 1.62 2.61
Reims Sochaux 8.41 2.93 1.52
Guingamp Saint-Étienne 7.58 4.10 1.32
Red Star Nancy 9.06 2.38 1.72

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Saint-Étienne 2.60 0.40 2.00 1.20
Reims 2.60 1.80 1.40 0.60
Dijon 2.00 2.00 1.40 1.60
Rodez 1.60 2.20 1.60 2.20
Metz 2.40 1.40 0.80 1.40
Annecy 1.25 1.25 1.50 1.17
Dunkerque 1.33 1.17 1.50 2.25
Pau 1.33 1.00 1.25 1.00
Red Star 0.50 1.25 1.83 1.17
Montpellier 1.20 0.40 1.40 0.80
Laval 1.40 2.00 1.20 2.20
Guingamp 1.60 1.80 1.00 1.20
Nancy 1.00 0.60 1.40 1.00
Nantes 1.00 1.80 1.20 1.60
Grenoble Foot 38 0.50 1.25 1.17 2.00
Clermont 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00
Sochaux 0.80 1.40 0.80 1.00
Boulogne 0.80 1.00 0.60 0.40

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Laval Boulogne 1 1 10.8
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Nantes Clermont 1 1 14.9
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Grenoble Foot 38 Dijon 1 1 14.0
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Metz Pau 1 1 12.0
2026-10-30 Ligue 2 Rodez Dunkerque 1 1 12.1
2026-10-31 Ligue 2 Annecy Montpellier 1 1 14.6
2026-10-31 Ligue 2 Reims Sochaux 1 1 13.0
2026-10-31 Ligue 2 Guingamp Saint-Étienne 1 1 13.6
2026-11-02 Ligue 2 Red Star Nancy 1 1 14.3


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