Top-tier drama and high-stakes tactical battles return to France as Ligue 1 McDonald’s kicks off Journée 4 from September 11–13. Following an explosive round of matches that saw away teams make history, clubs across the division are locking in for a crucial autumn stretch.
Action gets underway with a Friday night blockbuster on September 11 as Stade Rennais FC hosts Olympique de Marseille at Roazhon Park. On Saturday, September 12, flawless league leaders AS Monaco (9 points)—fresh off their statement 2–1 victory over PSG—travel to face high-scoring RC Strasbourg, while surprising Paris FC welcomes Olympique Lyonnais. The weekend concludes on Sunday, September 13, as Paris Saint-Germain visits Stade Brestois 29 eager to bounce back, alongside LOSC Lille hosting ESTAC Troyes. Let me guide you through our AI-driven predictions and statistical breakdowns for this week’s matches.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Ligue 1 round 4. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ligue 1 | Rennes | Olympique Marseille | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | Monaco | H | +0.25 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Le Havre | Angers SCO | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Auxerre | Nice | H | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Lorient | Toulouse | H | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Paris | Olympique Lyonnais | H | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Ligue 1 | Lille | Troyes | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-13 | Ligue 1 | Le Mans | Lens | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-13 | Ligue 1 | Brest | PSG | A | No bet |
⚽ Get Access to Our Top Football Picks
Powered by AI and betting expertise, our carefully selected tips are available through Tipsterr —where you can see our tracked profit.
Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Rennes | Olympique Marseille | 74 | 29 | 1.81 | 2.24 |
| 2026-09-12 | Strasbourg | Monaco | 53 | 67 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-12 | Le Havre | Angers SCO | 58 | 41 | 1.85 | 2.17 |
| 2026-09-12 | Auxerre | Nice | 39 | 61 | 2.19 | 1.84 |
| 2026-09-12 | Lorient | Toulouse | 76 | 59 | 1.79 | 2.27 |
| 2026-09-12 | Paris | Olympique Lyonnais | 47 | 50 | 2.14 | 1.88 |
| 2026-09-13 | Lille | Troyes | 53 | 100 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-13 | Le Mans | Lens | 100 | 65 | 1.53 | 2.89 |
| 2026-09-13 | Brest | PSG | 44 | 53 | 1.67 | 2.49 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ligue 1 | Rennes | Olympique Marseille | 1.71 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | Monaco | 3.71 | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Le Havre | Angers SCO | 3.10 | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Auxerre | Nice | 2.89 | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Lorient | Toulouse | 1.66 | 2.51 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Paris | Olympique Lyonnais | 4.16 | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-13 | Ligue 1 | Lille | Troyes | 2.40 | 1.71 |
| 2026-09-13 | Ligue 1 | Le Mans | Lens | 1.51 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-13 | Ligue 1 | Brest | PSG | 1.49 | 3.03 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSG | 2.33 | 0.78 | 2.00 | 1.12 |
| Lens | 2.22 | 0.78 | 1.65 | 1.41 |
| Rennes | 1.84 | 1.11 | 1.76 | 1.82 |
| Olympique Marseille | 2.44 | 1.22 | 1.00 | 1.53 |
| Strasbourg | 1.59 | 0.94 | 1.78 | 1.83 |
| Monaco | 1.94 | 1.28 | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Le Mans | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Olympique Lyonnais | 1.89 | 0.89 | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| Lille | 1.53 | 1.00 | 1.63 | 1.05 |
| Paris | 1.71 | 1.53 | 1.16 | 1.32 |
| Lorient | 1.88 | 1.47 | 0.95 | 1.37 |
| Toulouse | 1.32 | 1.42 | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| Brest | 1.75 | 1.38 | 1.00 | 1.84 |
| Troyes | 1.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Nice | 1.12 | 1.35 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Auxerre | 1.06 | 1.11 | 0.94 | 1.94 |
| Metz | 0.88 | 1.88 | 1.06 | 2.75 |
| Angers SCO | 1.00 | 1.26 | 0.76 | 1.65 |
| Le Havre | 1.11 | 1.11 | 0.65 | 1.59 |
| Nantes | 1.12 | 1.69 | 0.65 | 1.47 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ligue 1 | Rennes | Olympique Marseille | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | Monaco | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Le Havre | Angers SCO | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Auxerre | Nice | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Lorient | Toulouse | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Ligue 1 | Paris | Olympique Lyonnais | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Ligue 1 | Lille | Troyes | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Ligue 1 | Le Mans | Lens | 1 | 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | Ligue 1 | Brest | PSG | 1 | 2 |
Leave a Reply
You must be logged in to post a comment.