AI Football Tips: Ligue 1 round 3

The intensity in France’s Ligue 1 reaches a new peak as Journée 3 gets underway on September 4–6. With the summer transfer window officially closed—highlighted by champions Paris Saint-Germain integrating marquee signings Maghnes Akliouche and Ferrán Torres, alongside Olympique Lyonnais unleashing Belgian striker Loïs Openda—teams across the country are eager to stake their claim in the title race.

A packed weekend of fixtures opens on September 4–6, headlined by a fierce Côte d’Azur derby as Olympique de Marseille hosts rival OGC Nice to a roaring Stade Vélodrome. Meanwhile, a high-caliber clash features RC Lens taking on Olympique Lyonnais at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, titleholders Paris Saint-Germain welcoming Toulouse FC to Parc des Princes, and AS Monaco visiting Le Mans FC. Explore our AI-driven statistical predictions and match previews for this week’s full slate.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Ligue 1 round 3. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-09-03 Ligue 1 Toulouse Lille A 1X2
2026-09-04 Ligue 1 Olympique Lyonnais Auxerre H 1X2
2026-09-04 Ligue 1 PSG Monaco H No bet
2026-09-05 Ligue 1 Lens Lorient H No bet
2026-09-05 Ligue 1 Le Havre Brest H 0
2026-09-05 Ligue 1 Nice Le Mans H 1X2
2026-09-06 Ligue 1 Troyes Strasbourg H +0.25
2026-09-06 Ligue 1 Angers SCO Rennes A 1X2
2026-09-06 Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille Paris H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-09-03 Toulouse Lille 37 26 2.47 1.68
2026-09-04 Olympique Lyonnais Auxerre 50 53 1.60 2.65
2026-09-04 PSG Monaco 35 63 1.74 2.34
2026-09-05 Lens Lorient 47 32 2.18 1.85
2026-09-05 Le Havre Brest 53 53 2.86 1.54
2026-09-05 Nice Le Mans 44 100 2.02 1.98
2026-09-06 Troyes Strasbourg 0 68 5.56 1.22
2026-09-06 Angers SCO Rennes 37 47 1.84 2.19
2026-09-06 Olympique Marseille Paris 58 63 2.70 1.59

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-09-03 Ligue 1 Toulouse Lille 4.08 1.32
2026-09-04 Ligue 1 Olympique Lyonnais Auxerre 1.43 3.34
2026-09-04 Ligue 1 PSG Monaco 1.65 2.53
2026-09-05 Ligue 1 Lens Lorient 3.18 1.46
2026-09-05 Ligue 1 Le Havre Brest 9.38 1.12
2026-09-05 Ligue 1 Nice Le Mans 4.18 1.31
2026-09-06 Ligue 1 Troyes Strasbourg 1000.00 1.00
2026-09-06 Ligue 1 Angers SCO Rennes 2.22 1.82
2026-09-06 Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille Paris 4.99 1.25

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
PSG 2.41 0.71 1.95 1.15
Lens 2.37 0.89 1.78 1.33
Le Mans 2.00 2.00 2.00 3.00
Olympique Marseille 2.58 1.05 1.00 1.53
Rennes 1.85 1.15 1.71 1.94
Monaco 1.94 1.28 1.53 1.63
Strasbourg 1.78 1.11 1.47 1.89
Lille 1.44 1.06 1.68 1.05
Olympique Lyonnais 1.72 1.06 1.42 1.16
Toulouse 1.32 1.47 1.41 1.41
Paris 1.72 1.50 1.00 1.21
Brest 1.67 1.39 1.00 1.89
Lorient 1.78 1.50 0.89 1.37
Auxerre 1.06 1.11 1.05 1.95
Nice 1.00 1.22 1.00 2.00
Metz 0.88 1.88 1.00 2.59
Le Havre 1.05 1.05 0.72 1.50
Nantes 1.12 1.69 0.65 1.47
Angers SCO 0.95 1.26 0.78 1.61
Troyes 0.00 0.00 2.00 1.00

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score
2026-09-03 Ligue 1 Toulouse Lille 1 1
2026-09-04 Ligue 1 Olympique Lyonnais Auxerre 2 1
2026-09-04 Ligue 1 PSG Monaco 2 1
2026-09-05 Ligue 1 Lens Lorient 2 1
2026-09-05 Ligue 1 Le Havre Brest 1 1
2026-09-05 Ligue 1 Nice Le Mans 1 1
2026-09-06 Ligue 1 Troyes Strasbourg 1 0
2026-09-06 Ligue 1 Angers SCO Rennes 1 2
2026-09-06 Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille Paris 2 1


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