AI Football Tips: Ligue 1 round 18

Get ready for a thrilling round of Ligue 1 action as we head into matchday 18! Ligue 1, known for its passionate fanbases and unpredictable turns, is set to deliver another unforgettable weekend of football drama. This round kicks off with a fiery clash between **Montpellier** and **Monaco** on January 17th, both teams eager to secure a crucial victory. The prediction leans towards an exciting encounter with the potential for both sides to score! And as we close out this action-packed round, a late match sees **Marseille** take on **Strasbourg** on January 19th. This clash promises a battle of contrasting styles and could be a deciding factor in the race for continental qualification.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Ligue 1 round 18. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2025-01-17 Ligue 1 Montpellier Monaco A 1X2
2025-01-17 Ligue 1 Lille Nice H 1X2
2025-01-18 Ligue 1 Lens Paris S-G H +0.5
2025-01-18 Ligue 1 Rennes Brest H 1X2
2025-01-18 Ligue 1 Lyon Toulouse H 1X2
2025-01-19 Ligue 1 Saint-Étienne Nantes H -0.25
2025-01-19 Ligue 1 Angers Auxerre H -0.25
2025-01-19 Ligue 1 Reims Le Havre H 1X2
2025-01-19 Ligue 1 Marseille Strasbourg H 1X2

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2025-01-17 Montpellier Monaco 89 75
2025-01-17 Lille Nice 50 56
2025-01-18 Lens Paris S-G 25 62
2025-01-18 Rennes Brest 56 75
2025-01-18 Lyon Toulouse 50 38
2025-01-19 Saint-Étienne Nantes 25 44
2025-01-19 Angers Auxerre 62 75
2025-01-19 Reims Le Havre 44 38
2025-01-19 Marseille Strasbourg 62 78

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target
2025-01-17 Montpellier Monaco 78 62 1.43
2025-01-17 Lille Nice 75 67 1.41
2025-01-18 Lens Paris S-G 25 75 2.00
2025-01-18 Rennes Brest 33 62 2.09
2025-01-18 Lyon Toulouse 50 25 2.67
2025-01-19 Saint-Étienne Nantes 25 78 1.95
2025-01-19 Angers Auxerre 62 75 1.45
2025-01-19 Reims Le Havre 67 38 1.92
2025-01-19 Marseille Strasbourg 75 78 1.31

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2025-01-17 Montpellier Monaco 3.32
2025-01-17 Lille Nice 3.06
2025-01-18 Lens Paris S-G 2.75
2025-01-18 Rennes Brest 3.02
2025-01-18 Lyon Toulouse 2.82
2025-01-19 Saint-Étienne Nantes 2.57
2025-01-19 Angers Auxerre 3.62
2025-01-19 Reims Le Havre 2.82
2025-01-19 Marseille Strasbourg 3.62

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Paris S-G 2.89 0.78 2.50 1.00
Marseille 1.75 1.50 2.78 0.89
Nice 2.62 1.12 1.56 1.56
Strasbourg 1.75 1.12 1.78 2.22
Lyon 2.00 1.38 1.44 1.22
Monaco 1.56 1.11 1.75 1.00
Brest 2.11 1.11 0.88 2.50
Lille 1.75 1.25 1.33 0.67
Auxerre 1.56 0.78 1.25 2.38
Rennes 1.89 0.78 0.75 2.25
Reims 1.22 1.67 1.50 1.25
Lens 1.00 1.00 1.44 0.89
Nantes 1.25 1.38 1.11 1.78
Angers 1.38 2.25 0.89 1.00
Toulouse 1.22 1.00 1.00 1.25
Saint-Étienne 1.25 1.00 0.67 3.22
Montpellier 1.44 2.44 0.38 2.50
Le Havre 0.67 2.33 0.88 1.88

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2025-01-17 Montpellier Monaco 2.80 2.50
2025-01-17 Lille Nice 2.65 2.80
2025-01-18 Lens Paris S-G 2.80 2.95
2025-01-18 Rennes Brest 1.90 3.45
2025-01-18 Lyon Toulouse 3.70 2.60
2025-01-19 Saint-Étienne Nantes 2.50 2.60
2025-01-19 Angers Auxerre 2.85 3.55
2025-01-19 Reims Le Havre 2.40 2.15
2025-01-19 Marseille Strasbourg 2.75 3.50