The penultimate round of the Liga MX Apertura 2026 regular season ignites with Jornada 16 from November 6 to 8, where teams fight down to the wire for direct Liguilla berths and Play-In positioning. The round commences on Friday evening with Necaxa taking on Tijuana, Atlético San Luis hosting FC Juárez, and Atlante squaring off against Santos Laguna. Saturday brings high-drama marquee matchups, headlined by the fiery Clásico Capitalino as Pumas UNAM welcome archrivals Club América to the Estadio Olímpico Universitario, while northern giants Tigres UANL clash with Cruz Azul, Toluca battle Monterrey, and Atlas play Pachuca.

Sunday caps off an electrifying weekend with Querétaro hosting Puebla before Guadalajara (Chivas) visit León in a high-stakes encounter. With only one game remaining following this weekend before the knockout bracket is locked, every counterattack and refereeing decision carries tournament-defining consequences. Explore our advanced AI match forecasts, statistical simulations, and in-depth performance analytics to gain a decisive tactical perspective on every Jornada 16 encounter in Liga MX.

1X2 Match Projections

We let our algorithms crunch the numbers, dig into recent team stats, and do the heavy lifting so you don’t have to! Here is our 1X2 outlook for Liga MX at a glance.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Liga MX round 16. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.