Liga MX enters the home stretch of the Apertura 2026 regular season with Jornada 15, where the battle for direct Liguilla qualification and Play-In positioning intensifies. The weekend begins on Friday with three enticing fixtures, including Puebla taking on Pumas UNAM at the Cuauhtémoc, Atlético San Luis hosting Atlas, and FC Juárez facing Querétaro. Saturday promises marquee showdowns, headlined by a blockbuster clash between reigning powerhouses Club América and Toluca, alongside Pachuca welcoming Tigres UANL, Monterrey squaring off with Tijuana, and Guadalajara (Chivas) battling Atlante.
The action wraps up on Sunday as high-flying Cruz Azul host León in the capital, while Santos Laguna take on Necaxa in Torreón. With only two rounds left before the postseason, teams can no longer afford hesitation as the race for top-six seeding reaches fever pitch. Explore our intelligent AI match predictions, probabilistic simulations, and detailed form analytics to gain an unmatched tactical overview of every Liga MX clash.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Liga MX round 15. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | P(H) | P(D) | P(A) | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Liga MX | Atlético San Luis | Atlas | 0.3722 | 0.3319 | 0.2959 | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-31 | Liga MX | Juárez | Querétaro | 0.4684 | 0.3170 | 0.2145 | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-31 | Liga MX | Puebla | Pumas UNAM | 0.5752 | 0.2843 | 0.1405 | H | +0.25 |
| 2026-10-31 | Liga MX | Pachuca | Tigres UANL | 0.5784 | 0.2831 | 0.1385 | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-11-01 | Liga MX | Monterrey | Tijuana | 0.8071 | 0.1608 | 0.0320 | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-11-01 | Liga MX | Guadalajara | Atlante | 0.6272 | 0.2628 | 0.1101 | H | No bet |
| 2026-11-01 | Liga MX | América | Toluca | 0.6412 | 0.2563 | 0.1025 | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-11-01 | Liga MX | Santos Laguna | Necaxa | 0.5762 | 0.2839 | 0.1399 | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-11-02 | Liga MX | Cruz Azul | León | 0.7470 | 0.1997 | 0.0534 | H | 1X2 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Atlético San Luis | Atlas | 71 | 50 | 3.87 | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-31 | Juárez | Querétaro | 43 | 43 | 1.44 | 3.27 |
| 2026-10-31 | Puebla | Pumas UNAM | 83 | 57 | 1.75 | 2.33 |
| 2026-10-31 | Pachuca | Tigres UANL | 100 | 62 | 1.26 | 4.86 |
| 2026-11-01 | Monterrey | Tijuana | 57 | 83 | 2.04 | 1.96 |
| 2026-11-01 | Guadalajara | Atlante | 29 | 57 | 1.41 | 3.46 |
| 2026-11-01 | América | Toluca | 57 | 57 | 2.64 | 1.61 |
| 2026-11-01 | Santos Laguna | Necaxa | 14 | 83 | 1.77 | 2.29 |
| 2026-11-02 | Cruz Azul | León | 57 | 71 | 1.68 | 2.48 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Liga MX | Atlético San Luis | Atlas | 2.17 | 1.86 |
| 2026-10-31 | Liga MX | Juárez | Querétaro | 2.24 | 1.81 |
| 2026-10-31 | Liga MX | Puebla | Pumas UNAM | 2.26 | 1.80 |
| 2026-10-31 | Liga MX | Pachuca | Tigres UANL | 1.85 | 2.18 |
| 2026-11-01 | Liga MX | Monterrey | Tijuana | 1.78 | 2.28 |
| 2026-11-01 | Liga MX | Guadalajara | Atlante | 1.49 | 3.06 |
| 2026-11-01 | Liga MX | América | Toluca | 2.12 | 1.89 |
| 2026-11-01 | Liga MX | Santos Laguna | Necaxa | 1.52 | 2.91 |
| 2026-11-02 | Liga MX | Cruz Azul | León | 2.03 | 1.97 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético San Luis | Atlas | 1.41 | 1.32 | 4.11 | 2.42 | 1.70 |
| Juárez | Querétaro | 0.86 | 1.74 | 2.35 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| Puebla | Pumas UNAM | 1.46 | 1.30 | 4.32 | 2.33 | 1.75 |
| Pachuca | Tigres UANL | 1.16 | 1.46 | 3.19 | 3.10 | 1.48 |
| Monterrey | Tijuana | 1.63 | 1.24 | 5.09 | 2.07 | 1.94 |
| Guadalajara | Atlante | 0.78 | 1.84 | 2.19 | 5.40 | 1.23 |
| América | Toluca | 1.52 | 1.28 | 4.57 | 2.23 | 1.81 |
| Santos Laguna | Necaxa | 1.15 | 1.47 | 3.14 | 3.15 | 1.47 |
| Cruz Azul | León | 1.05 | 1.54 | 2.85 | 3.55 | 1.39 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético San Luis | Atlas | 28.6 | 42.9 | 33.2 |
| Juárez | Querétaro | 28.6 | 23.1 | 19.5 |
| Puebla | Pumas UNAM | 21.4 | 28.6 | 18.2 |
| Pachuca | Tigres UANL | 50.0 | 35.7 | 44.4 |
| Monterrey | Tijuana | 46.2 | 21.4 | 27.8 |
| Guadalajara | Atlante | 35.7 | 21.4 | 22.3 |
| América | Toluca | 21.4 | 35.7 | 22.3 |
| Santos Laguna | Necaxa | 28.6 | 28.6 | 23.5 |
| Cruz Azul | León | 35.7 | 14.3 | 15.5 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético San Luis | Atlas | 9.85 | 1.94 | 2.06 |
| Juárez | Querétaro | 10.29 | 1.76 | 2.31 |
| Puebla | Pumas UNAM | 10.26 | 1.77 | 2.29 |
| Pachuca | Tigres UANL | 9.61 | 2.05 | 1.95 |
| Monterrey | Tijuana | 11.88 | 1.37 | 3.69 |
| Guadalajara | Atlante | 13.92 | 1.15 | 7.66 |
| América | Toluca | 11.27 | 1.49 | 3.05 |
| Santos Laguna | Necaxa | 10.95 | 1.56 | 2.77 |
| Cruz Azul | León | 11.48 | 1.44 | 3.25 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América | 1.86 | 0.86 | 3.00 | 1.86 |
| Cruz Azul | 2.43 | 1.71 | 2.14 | 1.57 |
| Toluca | 2.57 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.14 |
| Atlas | 1.50 | 2.12 | 2.17 | 1.50 |
| Monterrey | 1.86 | 1.14 | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Pachuca | 1.67 | 2.17 | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Tijuana | 1.75 | 0.88 | 1.33 | 1.83 |
| Guadalajara | 1.57 | 1.00 | 1.43 | 0.71 |
| León | 1.86 | 1.43 | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Pumas UNAM | 1.43 | 1.71 | 1.43 | 1.57 |
| Santos Laguna | 1.43 | 0.43 | 1.43 | 2.43 |
| Atlético San Luis | 1.29 | 1.57 | 1.43 | 1.57 |
| Querétaro | 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| Puebla | 1.17 | 1.67 | 1.12 | 1.38 |
| Necaxa | 1.12 | 1.88 | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| Tigres UANL | 1.50 | 1.17 | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Atlante | 1.00 | 1.43 | 1.00 | 1.43 |
| Juárez | 0.71 | 1.71 | 0.57 | 3.00 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Liga MX | Atlético San Luis | Atlas | 1 | 1 | 10.8 |
| 2026-10-31 | Liga MX | Juárez | Querétaro | 1 | 1 | 11.4 |
| 2026-10-31 | Liga MX | Puebla | Pumas UNAM | 1 | 1 | 14.4 |
| 2026-10-31 | Liga MX | Pachuca | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 11.8 |
| 2026-11-01 | Liga MX | Monterrey | Tijuana | 1 | 1 | 13.7 |
| 2026-11-01 | Liga MX | Guadalajara | Atlante | 1 | 1 | 12.8 |
| 2026-11-01 | Liga MX | América | Toluca | 1 | 1 | 14.0 |
| 2026-11-01 | Liga MX | Santos Laguna | Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 14.2 |
| 2026-11-02 | Liga MX | Cruz Azul | León | 1 | 1 | 12.4 |


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