AI Football Tips: J1 League round 18

Matchday 18 is finally here! The Yokohama F. Marinos, one of Japan’s most successful clubs with a record 27 league titles, will face off against Machida, who has a rich history dating back to 1965 and has been a consistent presence in the top flight. Meanwhile, Sanfrecce Hiroshima will take on Verdy, who boasts a impressive trophy cabinet with 7 Emperor’s Cups and 2 J.League Cups. Other intriguing matchups include Cerezo Osaka facing off against Urawa Reds, Kyoto battling it out with Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo, and Vissel Kobe going head-to-head with Kawasaki Frontale, among others.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for J1 League round 18.

Date Home Team Away Team Prediction
2024-06-15 Yokohama F. Marinos Machida 2
2024-06-15 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Verdy 1
2024-06-15 Cerezo Osaka Urawa Reds 1
2024-06-15 Kyoto Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
2024-06-16 Vissel Kobe Kawasaki Frontale 1
2024-06-16 Avispa Fukuoka Sagan Tosu 1
2024-06-16 Kashima Antlers Albirex Niigata 1
2024-06-16 FC Tokyo Iwata 1
2024-06-16 Gamba Osaka Kashiwa Reysol 1
2024-06-16 Nagoya Grampus Shonan Bellmare 1

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-06-15 Yokohama F. Marinos Machida 2.08
2024-06-15 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Verdy 2.94
2024-06-15 Cerezo Osaka Urawa Reds 3.13
2024-06-15 Kyoto Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 3.50
2024-06-16 Vissel Kobe Kawasaki Frontale 2.69
2024-06-16 Avispa Fukuoka Sagan Tosu 2.62
2024-06-16 Kashima Antlers Albirex Niigata 2.88
2024-06-16 FC Tokyo Iwata 3.06
2024-06-16 Gamba Osaka Kashiwa Reysol 2.32
2024-06-16 Nagoya Grampus Shonan Bellmare 2.78

The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-06-15 Yokohama F. Marinos Machida 2.0 2.0
2024-06-15 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Verdy 2.5 2.0
2024-06-15 Cerezo Osaka Urawa Reds 2.5 3.0
2024-06-15 Kyoto Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 3.5 3.5
2024-06-16 Vissel Kobe Kawasaki Frontale 1.5 2.5
2024-06-16 Avispa Fukuoka Sagan Tosu 2.0 3.0
2024-06-16 Kashima Antlers Albirex Niigata 2.5 3.0
2024-06-16 FC Tokyo Iwata 2.0 3.0
2024-06-16 Gamba Osaka Kashiwa Reysol 2.0 2.0
2024-06-16 Nagoya Grampus Shonan Bellmare 1.0 3.0

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Kashima Antlers 1.88 1.00 1.67 1.22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.00 1.12 1.50 0.75
Machida 1.89 1.11 1.38 0.62
Yokohama F. Marinos 1.50 0.67 1.67 1.89
FC Tokyo 1.44 1.33 1.75 1.62
Urawa Reds 1.67 0.89 1.50 1.88
Verdy 1.78 1.56 1.25 1.50
Vissel Kobe 1.38 1.00 1.56 0.56
Kawasaki Frontale 1.78 1.11 1.12 1.88
Cerezo Osaka 1.50 1.38 1.22 0.89
Shonan Bellmare 1.38 1.62 1.33 2.11
Sagan Tosu 1.56 1.44 1.00 2.14
Albirex Niigata 1.22 1.56 1.38 1.50
Iwata 1.00 1.25 1.56 1.78
Nagoya Grampus 0.89 1.22 1.50 1.00
Avispa Fukuoka 0.89 1.22 1.12 0.75
Kashiwa Reysol 1.00 1.22 1.00 1.50
Gamba Osaka 1.43 0.71 0.70 0.70
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1.00 1.56 0.88 2.75
Kyoto 0.75 2.62 0.78 1.11