AI Football Tips: J1 League round 17

Matchday 17 is upon us in J1 League! On Saturday, Sagan Tosu will host FC Tokyo at the Tosu Stadium, with an interesting historical fact that Sagan Tosu was founded in 1997 as a professional football team, while FC Tokyo has a rich history dating back to 1933 and is one of the oldest clubs in Japan. Meanwhile, Sanfrecce Hiroshima will take on Iwata at the Hiroshima Big Arch Stadium, with an intriguing historical fact that Sanfrecce Hiroshima was founded in 1994 as a professional football team, while Iwata has a rich history dating back to 1950 and is one of the oldest clubs in Japan.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for J1 League round 17.

Date Home Team Away Team Prediction
2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC Tokyo 2
2024-06-01 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Iwata 1
2024-06-01 Machida Albirex Niigata 1
2024-06-01 Shonan Bellmare Gamba Osaka 2
2024-06-01 Kashima Antlers Yokohama F. Marinos 1
2024-06-01 Urawa Reds Vissel Kobe 1
2024-06-01 Kyoto Cerezo Osaka 2
2024-06-02 Verdy Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
2024-06-02 Kawasaki Frontale Nagoya Grampus 2
2024-06-02 Kashiwa Reysol Avispa Fukuoka 1

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC Tokyo 3.48
2024-06-01 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Iwata 3.40
2024-06-01 Machida Albirex Niigata 2.80
2024-06-01 Shonan Bellmare Gamba Osaka 2.11
2024-06-01 Kashima Antlers Yokohama F. Marinos 2.97
2024-06-01 Urawa Reds Vissel Kobe 2.37
2024-06-01 Kyoto Cerezo Osaka 2.84
2024-06-02 Verdy Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2.88
2024-06-02 Kawasaki Frontale Nagoya Grampus 2.66
2024-06-02 Kashiwa Reysol Avispa Fukuoka 2.06

The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC Tokyo 2.5 4.0
2024-06-01 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Iwata 3.0 3.0
2024-06-01 Machida Albirex Niigata 2.5 3.0
2024-06-01 Shonan Bellmare Gamba Osaka 2.0 2.0
2024-06-01 Kashima Antlers Yokohama F. Marinos 2.0 3.5
2024-06-01 Urawa Reds Vissel Kobe 3.0 2.5
2024-06-01 Kyoto Cerezo Osaka 3.0 2.0
2024-06-02 Verdy Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 3.5 3.0
2024-06-02 Kawasaki Frontale Nagoya Grampus 3.0 3.0
2024-06-02 Kashiwa Reysol Avispa Fukuoka 2.0 2.0

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.00 1.29 1.50 0.75
Kashima Antlers 1.71 0.86 1.67 1.22
Machida 2.00 0.88 1.38 0.62
FC Tokyo 1.44 1.33 1.86 1.86
Urawa Reds 1.75 0.88 1.50 1.88
Yokohama F. Marinos 1.50 0.67 1.62 1.75
Vissel Kobe 1.38 1.00 1.62 0.50
Kawasaki Frontale 1.75 1.12 1.12 1.88
Sagan Tosu 1.75 1.50 1.00 2.14
Cerezo Osaka 1.50 1.38 1.25 0.88
Iwata 1.00 1.25 1.75 1.75
Shonan Bellmare 1.43 1.57 1.33 2.11
Verdy 1.38 1.38 1.25 1.50
Albirex Niigata 1.22 1.56 1.14 1.57
Nagoya Grampus 0.89 1.22 1.57 0.86
Kashiwa Reysol 1.12 1.12 1.00 1.50
Avispa Fukuoka 0.89 1.22 1.00 0.86
Gamba Osaka 1.43 0.71 0.56 0.67
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1.00 1.56 0.57 2.43
Kyoto 0.71 2.86 0.78 1.11