AI Football Tips: Eredivisie round 18

Get ready for a thrilling round of Eredivisie action! The intensity is rising as we head into match day 18, where every point counts. This season, the Eredivisie has seen some incredible comebacks and unexpected twists, proving that anything can happen on the pitch. The battle lines are drawn, and the anticipation is palpable. First up, we have a clash of titans as **Twente** takes on **Willem II** on January 12th. The hosts will be looking to secure a home victory, while Willem II will be aiming to spoil their party. Will it be a nail-biting finish or a decisive win for either side? The final fixture sees **Feyenoord** face off against **Utrecht**, also on January 12th. This match promises to be a test of both teams’ mettle, with the coveted victory hanging in the balance. Will it be an underdog story or will one team dominate their opponent?
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Eredivisie round 18. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date	League	Home Team	Away Team	Prediction	Asian
2025-01-10	Eredivisie	Fortuna Sittard	Go Ahead Eag	H	0
2025-01-11	Eredivisie	Heracles Almelo	Sparta R’dam	H	0
2025-01-11	Eredivisie	Ajax	RKC Waalwijk	H	No bet
2025-01-11	Eredivisie	Zwolle	NEC Nijmegen	A	0
2025-01-11	Eredivisie	PSV Eindhoven	AZ Alkmaar	H	No bet
2025-01-12	Eredivisie	Twente	Willem II	H	No bet
2025-01-12	Eredivisie	Groningen	Almere City	H	1X2
2025-01-12	Eredivisie	Feyenoord	Utrecht	H	1X2
2025-01-12	Eredivisie	NAC Breda	Heerenveen	H	-0.25

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Home +2.5(%)	Away +2.5 (%)
2025-01-10	Fortuna Sittard	Go Ahead Eag	75	62
2025-01-11	Heracles Almelo	Sparta R’dam	62	38
2025-01-11	Ajax	RKC Waalwijk	62	75
2025-01-11	Zwolle	NEC Nijmegen	62	50
2025-01-11	PSV Eindhoven	AZ Alkmaar	88	62
2025-01-12	Twente	Willem II	38	25
2025-01-12	Groningen	Almere City	25	50
2025-01-12	Feyenoord	Utrecht	50	75
2025-01-12	NAC Breda	Heerenveen	62	78

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	BTS Home (%)	BTS Away (%)	BTS Target
2025-01-10	Fortuna Sittard	Go Ahead Eag	38	50	2.29
2025-01-11	Heracles Almelo	Sparta R’dam	75	62	1.45
2025-01-11	Ajax	RKC Waalwijk	38	75	1.78
2025-01-11	Zwolle	NEC Nijmegen	50	12	3.20
2025-01-11	PSV Eindhoven	AZ Alkmaar	38	50	2.29
2025-01-12	Twente	Willem II	50	50	2.00
2025-01-12	Groningen	Almere City	25	12	5.33
2025-01-12	Feyenoord	Utrecht	62	88	1.33
2025-01-12	NAC Breda	Heerenveen	50	33	2.40

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Goal Avg.
2025-01-10	Fortuna Sittard	Go Ahead Eag	3.00
2025-01-11	Heracles Almelo	Sparta R’dam	2.68
2025-01-11	Ajax	RKC Waalwijk	3.56
2025-01-11	Zwolle	NEC Nijmegen	2.68
2025-01-11	PSV Eindhoven	AZ Alkmaar	3.38
2025-01-12	Twente	Willem II	2.50
2025-01-12	Groningen	Almere City	1.94
2025-01-12	Feyenoord	Utrecht	3.18
2025-01-12	NAC Breda	Heerenveen	2.97

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team	Home Goals	Home Conceded	Away Goals	Away Conceded
PSV Eindhoven	4.00	0.38	3.00	1.11
Feyenoord	2.12	1.12	2.56	1.33
Ajax	2.50	0.62	1.89	1.22
Utrecht	1.89	2.22	2.12	1.00
Twente	2.12	0.75	1.67	1.67
AZ Alkmaar	2.11	1.11	1.50	0.88
Go Ahead Eag	2.22	1.33	1.25	1.88
Fortuna Sittard	1.62	1.25	1.33	1.67
NEC Nijmegen	1.78	1.11	0.88	1.75
Willem II	1.44	1.11	1.00	1.12
NAC Breda	1.38	1.12	0.89	2.00
Heracles Almelo	1.62	1.62	0.62	2.50
RKC Waalwijk	1.00	2.00	1.12	2.88
Heerenveen	1.62	0.50	0.44	3.00
Zwolle	1.38	1.38	0.56	1.67
Groningen	1.12	0.62	0.62	2.62
Sparta R’dam	0.78	1.78	0.88	1.25
Almere City	0.89	2.44	0.25	1.88

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Median Home	Median Away
2025-01-10	Fortuna Sittard	Go Ahead Eag	1.85	2.75
2025-01-11	Heracles Almelo	Sparta R’dam	2.25	2.65
2025-01-11	Ajax	RKC Waalwijk	2.45	3.45
2025-01-11	Zwolle	NEC Nijmegen	2.80	2.10
2025-01-11	PSV Eindhoven	AZ Alkmaar	3.65	2.05
2025-01-12	Twente	Willem II	2.95	2.10
2025-01-12	Groningen	Almere City	2.00	1.95
2025-01-12	Feyenoord	Utrecht	2.80	2.40
2025-01-12	NAC Breda	Heerenveen	1.80	2.00