AI Football Tips: Eliteserien round 26

The intensity in Norway reaches fever pitch as the Eliteserien enters Matchweek 26 on November 7 and 8, with the title race and European spots hanging on every single touch in the season’s final sprint. Saturday opens at Nordmøre Stadion as Kristiansund BK battle Vålerenga, before traditional giants Rosenborg BK take the pitch at Lerkendal Stadion against IK Start aiming to solidify their position near the summit.

Sunday delivers a massive Arctic test as leaders FK Bodø/Glimt travel north to face Tromsø IL in the high-stakes Slaget om Nord-Norge at Romssa Arena. Meanwhile, Fredrikstad FK square off against title contenders SK Brann, Molde FK visit Sandefjord Fotball, and Viking FK host KFUM Oslo in Stavanger, alongside crucial relegation fixtures featuring Lillestrøm SK against Aalesunds FK and HamKam against Sarpsborg 08. With autumn conditions and championship tension testing nerve and tactics, delve into our advanced AI algorithms, predictive models, and comprehensive performance metrics to navigate the Eliteserien.

1X2 Match Projections

We let our algorithms crunch the numbers, dig into recent team stats, and do the heavy lifting so you don’t have to! Here is our 1X2 outlook for Eliteserien at a glance.

Date Home Team Away Team 1X2 Pick
2026-11-07 Kristiansund Vålerenga 2
2026-11-07 Rosenborg Start 1
2026-11-08 Tromsø FK Bodo – Glimt 2
2026-11-08 Lillestrøm Aalesund 1
2026-11-08 HamKam Sarpsborg 08 2
2026-11-08 Viking KFUM 1
2026-11-08 Sandefjord Molde 2
2026-11-08 Fredrikstad Brann 2

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Eliteserien round 26. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-11-07 Eliteserien Kristiansund Vålerenga 0.2023 0.3131 0.4846 A 1X2
2026-11-07 Eliteserien Rosenborg Start 0.6908 0.2316 0.0776 H No bet
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Tromsø FK Bodo – Glimt 0.1190 0.2697 0.6113 A No bet
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Lillestrøm Aalesund 0.5296 0.3002 0.1702 H 1X2
2026-11-08 Eliteserien HamKam Sarpsborg 08 0.2283 0.3208 0.4509 A 1X2
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Viking KFUM 0.7921 0.1710 0.0369 H No bet
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Sandefjord Molde 0.2322 0.3218 0.4459 A 1X2
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Fredrikstad Brann 0.3228 0.3332 0.3439 A -0.25

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-11-07 Kristiansund Vålerenga 67 50 1.49 3.04
2026-11-07 Rosenborg Start 58 67 1.41 3.45
2026-11-08 Tromsø FK Bodo – Glimt 33 50 1.82 2.22
2026-11-08 Lillestrøm Aalesund 67 83 1.44 3.26
2026-11-08 HamKam Sarpsborg 08 58 58 1.87 2.15
2026-11-08 Viking KFUM 75 75 1.43 3.30
2026-11-08 Sandefjord Molde 25 83 1.36 3.79
2026-11-08 Fredrikstad Brann 67 75 1.60 2.67

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-11-07 Eliteserien Kristiansund Vålerenga 1.39 3.55
2026-11-07 Eliteserien Rosenborg Start 1.18 6.41
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Tromsø FK Bodo – Glimt 1.73 2.37
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Lillestrøm Aalesund 1.29 4.46
2026-11-08 Eliteserien HamKam Sarpsborg 08 1.51 2.97
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Viking KFUM 1.18 6.45
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Sandefjord Molde 1.53 2.89
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Fredrikstad Brann 1.71 2.42

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Kristiansund Vålerenga 1.61 1.25 5.02 2.09 1.92
Rosenborg Start 1.48 1.29 4.40 2.29 1.77
Tromsø FK Bodo – Glimt 1.27 1.39 3.55 2.77 1.57
Lillestrøm Aalesund 1.52 1.28 4.58 2.22 1.82
HamKam Sarpsborg 08 0.96 1.62 2.62 3.99 1.33
Viking KFUM 2.29 1.11 9.83 1.50 2.99
Sandefjord Molde 1.45 1.31 4.25 2.36 1.74
Fredrikstad Brann 1.26 1.39 3.54 2.77 1.56

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Kristiansund Vålerenga 40.0 40.0 34.0
Rosenborg Start 48.0 28.0 29.5
Tromsø FK Bodo – Glimt 32.0 16.0 12.5
Lillestrøm Aalesund 44.0 48.0 42.2
HamKam Sarpsborg 08 20.0 24.0 11.7
Viking KFUM 64.0 44.0 51.9
Sandefjord Molde 36.0 52.0 38.5
Fredrikstad Brann 36.0 44.0 33.7

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Kristiansund Vålerenga 12.35 1.30 4.31
Rosenborg Start 10.26 1.77 2.29
Tromsø FK Bodo – Glimt 8.42 2.93 1.52
Lillestrøm Aalesund 13.05 1.22 5.53
HamKam Sarpsborg 08 10.13 1.82 2.21
Viking KFUM 9.97 1.89 2.12
Sandefjord Molde 10.13 1.82 2.21
Fredrikstad Brann 10.74 1.62 2.61

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Viking 3.67 1.08 1.54 1.00
FK Bodo – Glimt 2.85 0.77 2.00 1.08
Molde 2.69 1.15 2.00 2.00
Rosenborg 2.33 1.17 1.62 1.31
Brann 1.77 1.54 1.83 1.83
Aalesund 2.08 2.62 1.33 1.92
Tromsø 1.83 0.83 1.62 2.15
Vålerenga 2.08 1.54 1.33 2.17
Lillestrøm 1.83 1.58 1.08 1.08
HamKam 1.42 2.00 1.38 2.23
KFUM 1.31 1.23 1.25 2.08
Sarpsborg 08 1.23 1.54 1.33 1.58
Fredrikstad 1.17 1.25 1.15 2.23
Kristiansund 1.33 1.67 1.00 2.38
Sandefjord 0.83 1.00 1.23 1.69
Start 1.15 1.54 0.92 2.92

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-11-07 Eliteserien Kristiansund Vålerenga 1 1 9.9
2026-11-07 Eliteserien Rosenborg Start 1 2 9.6
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Tromsø FK Bodo – Glimt 1 1 13.2
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Lillestrøm Aalesund 1 1 10.8
2026-11-08 Eliteserien HamKam Sarpsborg 08 1 1 11.1
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Viking KFUM 1 2 9.0
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Sandefjord Molde 1 1 12.1
2026-11-08 Eliteserien Fredrikstad Brann 1 1 13.6


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