English Football

AI Football Tips: EFL League Two round 9

The relentless grit and unforgiving competition of England’s fourth tier take center stage once again as EFL League Two rolls into a crucial slate of fixtures over the weekend of October 10. With the autumn grind firmly underway, the league table is beginning to reveal the true contenders of the 2026/27 campaign. Every fiercely contested battle on the pitch is vital, as promotion hopefuls desperately seek to string together consistent results, while ambitious underdogs fight tooth and nail to climb away from the dreaded relegation zone.

Saturday’s heavy-hitting schedule promises a wealth of drama, highlighted by an intriguing early kickoff as Oldham Athletic takes on Accrington Stanley in a fierce regional clash. The compelling afternoon matchups continue with Rotherham United hosting Gillingham in a heavyweight battle, while York City tests their mettle against a dangerous Northampton Town side. Elsewhere, Cheltenham Town welcomes Salford City, and Port Vale squares off against Grimsby Town in what promises to be a physical, tightly contested encounter. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every unpredictable clash across this thrilling League Two round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL League Two round 9. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Oldham Athletic Accrington Stanley H 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Swindon Town Crewe Alexandra H 0
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Bristol Rovers Barnet H 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Cheltenham Town Salford City A 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Crawley Town Chesterfield A 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Newport County Colchester United H 0
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Shrewsbury Town Exeter City H -0.25
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Fleetwood Town Walsall H 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Rotherham United Gillingham H 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Port Vale Grimsby Town H -0.25
2026-10-10 EFL League Two York City Northampton Town H 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Tranmere Rovers Rochdale H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-10 Oldham Athletic Accrington Stanley 50 75 2.27 1.79
2026-10-10 Swindon Town Crewe Alexandra 100 50 1.51 2.95
2026-10-10 Bristol Rovers Barnet 25 100 1.65 2.54
2026-10-10 Cheltenham Town Salford City 100 75 1.74 2.36
2026-10-10 Crawley Town Chesterfield 33 75 2.53 1.65
2026-10-10 Newport County Colchester United 75 75 2.04 1.96
2026-10-10 Shrewsbury Town Exeter City 50 25 1.70 2.44
2026-10-10 Fleetwood Town Walsall 50 50 1.74 2.36
2026-10-10 Rotherham United Gillingham 100 50 1.82 2.21
2026-10-10 Port Vale Grimsby Town 33 75 2.12 1.90
2026-10-10 York City Northampton Town 50 33 1.23 5.36
2026-10-10 Tranmere Rovers Rochdale 50 25 1.55 2.80

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Oldham Athletic Accrington Stanley 3.07 1.48
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Swindon Town Crewe Alexandra 1.45 3.23
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Bristol Rovers Barnet 2.68 1.59
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Cheltenham Town Salford City 2.31 1.76
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Crawley Town Chesterfield 3.84 1.35
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Newport County Colchester United 2.51 1.66
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Shrewsbury Town Exeter City 1.85 2.18
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Fleetwood Town Walsall 2.99 1.50
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Rotherham United Gillingham 1.90 2.11
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Port Vale Grimsby Town 3.24 1.45
2026-10-10 EFL League Two York City Northampton Town 1.29 4.48
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Tranmere Rovers Rochdale 1.72 2.39

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Oldham Athletic Accrington Stanley 1.79 1.20 6.01 1.87 2.15
Swindon Town Crewe Alexandra 1.16 1.46 3.18 3.11 1.47
Bristol Rovers Barnet 1.39 1.33 4.01 2.47 1.68
Cheltenham Town Salford City 2.10 1.14 8.14 1.61 2.63
Crawley Town Chesterfield 1.73 1.22 5.62 1.94 2.06
Newport County Colchester United 1.26 1.40 3.52 2.79 1.56
Shrewsbury Town Exeter City 0.82 1.79 2.27 5.06 1.25
Fleetwood Town Walsall 0.85 1.75 2.34 4.79 1.26
Rotherham United Gillingham 1.41 1.32 4.09 2.43 1.70
Port Vale Grimsby Town 0.77 1.86 2.17 5.51 1.22
York City Northampton Town 1.73 1.22 5.63 1.94 2.06
Tranmere Rovers Rochdale 0.98 1.61 2.65 3.92 1.34

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Oldham Athletic Accrington Stanley 25.0 55.6 37.6
Swindon Town Crewe Alexandra 33.3 22.2 22.3
Bristol Rovers Barnet 22.2 42.9 27.7
Cheltenham Town Salford City 44.4 33.3 39.6
Crawley Town Chesterfield 42.9 33.3 38.5
Newport County Colchester United 22.2 12.5 9.0
Shrewsbury Town Exeter City 22.2 22.2 15.5
Fleetwood Town Walsall 33.3 12.5 13.2
Rotherham United Gillingham 22.2 22.2 15.5
Port Vale Grimsby Town 14.3 33.3 14.9
York City Northampton Town 50.0 28.6 38.5
Tranmere Rovers Rochdale 22.2 33.3 22.3

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Oldham Athletic Accrington Stanley 10.61 1.66 2.52
Swindon Town Crewe Alexandra 9.04 2.40 1.71
Bristol Rovers Barnet 10.12 1.83 2.21
Cheltenham Town Salford City 10.67 1.64 2.56
Crawley Town Chesterfield 8.78 2.59 1.63
Newport County Colchester United 10.84 1.59 2.68
Shrewsbury Town Exeter City 10.21 1.79 2.26
Fleetwood Town Walsall 11.70 1.40 3.48
Rotherham United Gillingham 8.46 2.89 1.53
Port Vale Grimsby Town 9.37 2.19 1.84
York City Northampton Town 9.00 2.42 1.70
Tranmere Rovers Rochdale 9.87 1.93 2.07

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Barnet 2.50 1.25 2.33 1.67
York City 3.00 0.75 1.00 1.75
Cheltenham Town 2.25 1.50 1.40 1.60
Chesterfield 2.00 1.40 1.25 1.25
Bristol Rovers 2.25 0.75 1.00 2.20
Grimsby Town 1.60 0.80 1.25 1.50
Salford City 1.00 0.40 2.00 2.00
Accrington Stanley 1.80 1.20 1.00 2.00
Walsall 1.25 0.50 1.50 0.75
Tranmere Rovers 1.75 0.75 1.00 1.80
Newport County 2.00 1.00 0.80 1.60
Colchester United 1.25 0.75 1.25 2.25
Gillingham 1.20 0.80 1.25 1.25
Crewe Alexandra 1.60 1.00 0.75 0.50
Rotherham United 1.75 1.50 0.80 1.20
Oldham Athletic 1.75 1.50 0.50 1.75
Rochdale 1.60 1.20 0.50 1.25
Fleetwood Town 1.00 0.75 1.00 1.40
Shrewsbury Town 1.50 1.25 0.60 1.80
Swindon Town 2.25 1.00 0.00 1.80
Crawley Town 0.33 2.00 1.25 1.75
Exeter City 0.80 0.20 0.25 1.25
Northampton Town 0.50 0.50 0.33 1.33
Port Vale 0.67 0.33 0.25 2.00

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Oldham Athletic Accrington Stanley 1 0 14.4
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Swindon Town Crewe Alexandra 1 1 10.7
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Bristol Rovers Barnet 1 1 14.5
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Cheltenham Town Salford City 1 0 18.2
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Crawley Town Chesterfield 2 0 16.6
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Newport County Colchester United 0 0 14.9
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Shrewsbury Town Exeter City 1 1 12.8
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Fleetwood Town Walsall 1 1 14.0
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Rotherham United Gillingham 1 0 12.8
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Port Vale Grimsby Town 1 1 14.7
2026-10-10 EFL League Two York City Northampton Town 1 1 12.8
2026-10-10 EFL League Two Tranmere Rovers Rochdale 1 1 13.4


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