English Football

AI Football Tips: EFL League Two round 14

The bruising physicality, relentless parity, and high-stakes drama of England’s fourth tier take center stage as EFL League Two prepares for its next upcoming slate of fixtures in Matchweek 14 across Friday, October 30 and Saturday, October 31. With automatic promotion places and playoff positions hotly contested across a congested table, every set piece, second ball, and tactical adjustment will be crucial.

The upcoming round ignites on Friday night under the floodlights at Rodney Parade as Newport County welcomes promotion contenders Chesterfield. Saturday kicks off with a pair of televised lunchtime showdowns featuring Port Vale against Rochdale and Grimsby Town hosting York City. The afternoon schedule delivers fierce battles across the division, headlined by Swindon Town facing Rotherham United, Colchester United battling Walsall, Crewe Alexandra welcoming Barnet, Fleetwood Town meeting Bristol Rovers, and Salford City hosting Exeter City. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every upcoming encounter in EFL League Two.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL League Two round 14. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-30 EFL League Two Newport County Chesterfield 0.1934 0.3099 0.4967 A 1X2
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Grimsby Town York City 0.5481 0.2941 0.1578 H -0.25
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Port Vale Rochdale 0.6880 0.2331 0.0790 H 1X2
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Accrington Stanley Northampton Town 0.4961 0.3101 0.1938 H 1X2
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Crewe Alexandra Barnet 0.2052 0.3141 0.4807 A -0.25
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Fleetwood Town Bristol Rovers 0.3615 0.3326 0.3060 H 0
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Tranmere Rovers Cheltenham Town 0.5563 0.2912 0.1524 H 1X2
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Colchester United Walsall 0.4471 0.3216 0.2314 H 0
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Oldham Athletic Crawley Town 0.4847 0.3131 0.2022 H 1X2
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Salford City Exeter City 0.5880 0.2793 0.1327 H 1X2
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Shrewsbury Town Gillingham 0.6964 0.2286 0.0750 H 1X2
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Swindon Town Rotherham United 0.2755 0.3298 0.3947 A 0

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-30 Newport County Chesterfield 67 67 1.84 2.20
2026-10-31 Grimsby Town York City 33 83 2.27 1.79
2026-10-31 Port Vale Rochdale 20 50 2.38 1.73
2026-10-31 Accrington Stanley Northampton Town 67 40 1.31 4.23
2026-10-31 Crewe Alexandra Barnet 83 100 1.19 6.22
2026-10-31 Fleetwood Town Bristol Rovers 50 33 2.33 1.75
2026-10-31 Tranmere Rovers Cheltenham Town 67 83 2.06 1.95
2026-10-31 Colchester United Walsall 60 67 1.89 2.12
2026-10-31 Oldham Athletic Crawley Town 50 80 2.25 1.80
2026-10-31 Salford City Exeter City 33 17 1.52 2.91
2026-10-31 Shrewsbury Town Gillingham 33 67 1.85 2.18
2026-10-31 Swindon Town Rotherham United 83 33 2.54 1.65

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-30 EFL League Two Newport County Chesterfield 2.18 1.85
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Grimsby Town York City 2.36 1.73
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Port Vale Rochdale 3.26 1.44
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Accrington Stanley Northampton Town 2.17 1.86
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Crewe Alexandra Barnet 1.61 2.65
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Fleetwood Town Bristol Rovers 3.14 1.47
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Tranmere Rovers Cheltenham Town 3.02 1.49
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Colchester United Walsall 2.19 1.84
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Oldham Athletic Crawley Town 2.46 1.68
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Salford City Exeter City 2.24 1.81
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Shrewsbury Town Gillingham 2.02 1.98
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Swindon Town Rotherham United 2.27 1.79

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Newport County Chesterfield 0.82 1.78 2.28 5.01 1.25
Grimsby Town York City 1.54 1.27 4.67 2.19 1.84
Port Vale Rochdale 1.19 1.44 3.29 2.99 1.50
Accrington Stanley Northampton Town 1.72 1.22 5.58 1.95 2.05
Crewe Alexandra Barnet 1.63 1.24 5.10 2.06 1.94
Fleetwood Town Bristol Rovers 0.91 1.68 2.48 4.34 1.30
Tranmere Rovers Cheltenham Town 1.17 1.45 3.21 3.07 1.48
Colchester United Walsall 0.50 2.53 1.65 10.99 1.10
Oldham Athletic Crawley Town 1.65 1.24 5.23 2.03 1.97
Salford City Exeter City 0.41 2.96 1.51 15.44 1.07
Shrewsbury Town Gillingham 1.10 1.50 2.99 3.34 1.43
Swindon Town Rotherham United 0.82 1.79 2.27 5.05 1.25

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Newport County Chesterfield 38.5 30.8 32.2
Grimsby Town York City 30.8 46.2 37.3
Port Vale Rochdale 9.1 38.5 10.8
Accrington Stanley Northampton Town 53.8 36.4 47.4
Crewe Alexandra Barnet 23.1 41.7 27.1
Fleetwood Town Bristol Rovers 23.1 30.8 20.8
Tranmere Rovers Cheltenham Town 23.1 38.5 25.3
Colchester United Walsall 16.7 16.7 8.7
Oldham Athletic Crawley Town 16.7 36.4 18.0
Salford City Exeter City 30.8 15.4 14.4
Shrewsbury Town Gillingham 30.8 30.8 26.7
Swindon Town Rotherham United 38.5 30.8 32.2

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Newport County Chesterfield 7.95 3.49 1.40
Grimsby Town York City 11.33 1.47 3.11
Port Vale Rochdale 9.11 2.35 1.74
Accrington Stanley Northampton Town 9.85 1.94 2.06
Crewe Alexandra Barnet 10.81 1.60 2.66
Fleetwood Town Bristol Rovers 9.17 2.31 1.76
Tranmere Rovers Cheltenham Town 9.50 2.11 1.90
Colchester United Walsall 9.93 1.90 2.11
Oldham Athletic Crawley Town 9.78 1.97 2.03
Salford City Exeter City 11.05 1.54 2.85
Shrewsbury Town Gillingham 9.69 2.01 1.99
Swindon Town Rotherham United 11.47 1.45 3.24

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Barnet 2.14 1.43 2.40 1.40
Chesterfield 2.29 1.29 1.17 1.33
Salford City 1.17 0.50 2.29 1.57
Accrington Stanley 2.00 1.17 1.43 1.29
York City 2.29 0.71 1.00 1.83
Cheltenham Town 2.00 1.43 1.33 2.00
Walsall 1.67 1.00 1.33 0.83
Grimsby Town 1.33 1.00 1.57 1.43
Gillingham 1.14 1.29 1.67 1.50
Rotherham United 1.86 2.14 0.67 1.33
Newport County 1.67 0.83 0.86 1.57
Crewe Alexandra 1.83 1.17 0.71 1.29
Tranmere Rovers 1.50 1.00 1.00 1.43
Shrewsbury Town 1.17 1.00 1.29 2.00
Bristol Rovers 1.57 1.14 0.83 2.00
Oldham Athletic 1.83 1.17 0.50 1.83
Rochdale 1.43 1.86 0.83 1.50
Fleetwood Town 1.17 0.67 1.14 1.86
Crawley Town 1.00 2.00 1.20 1.80
Swindon Town 1.67 1.00 0.43 1.43
Colchester United 1.00 0.60 0.86 1.86
Exeter City 1.14 0.29 0.33 0.83
Northampton Town 0.67 0.50 0.80 1.00
Port Vale 0.80 0.20 0.33 1.83

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-30 EFL League Two Newport County Chesterfield 1 1 13.8
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Grimsby Town York City 1 1 13.1
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Port Vale Rochdale 1 1 14.9
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Accrington Stanley Northampton Town 1 1 13.4
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Crewe Alexandra Barnet 1 1 12.0
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Fleetwood Town Bristol Rovers 1 1 15.0
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Tranmere Rovers Cheltenham Town 1 1 14.4
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Colchester United Walsall 1 1 13.7
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Oldham Athletic Crawley Town 0 0 15.7
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Salford City Exeter City 1 1 13.9
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Shrewsbury Town Gillingham 1 1 13.9
2026-10-31 EFL League Two Swindon Town Rotherham United 1 1 14.4


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