The ferocious competition, rich tradition, and relentless drama of English football return to center stage as EFL League One unleashes a blockbuster Saturday of action on October 17. With the 2026/27 campaign entering the thick of the autumn grind, the battle for automatic promotion to the Championship and the coveted playoff places is heating up dramatically. Historic giants and ambitious contenders are scrapping for every single point, fully aware that building momentum now is vital to surviving one of the most demanding divisions in the sport.
Saturday’s schedule ignites with a fiery lunchtime clash broadcast to the nation, as Milton Keynes Dons hosts regional rivals Luton Town in an emotionally charged encounter. The 3:00 PM kickoffs promise even more theater, headlined by a heavyweight showdown at Home Park where Plymouth Argyle welcomes Huddersfield Town, while Wigan Athletic goes head-to-head with Reading in a battle of former top-flight regulars. Meanwhile, historic Hillsborough will be rocking as Sheffield Wednesday battles AFC Wimbledon, alongside Leyton Orient meeting Blackpool and Peterborough United taking on Burton Albion. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every electrifying clash in this thrilling League One round.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL League One round 11. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | EFL League One | Mansfield Town | Oxford United | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Peterborough United | Burton Albion | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Milton Keynes Dons | Luton Town | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Barnsley | Cambridge United | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Leyton Orient | Blackpool | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Bradford City | Stevenage | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Stockport County | Bromley | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Leicester City | Doncaster Rovers | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Plymouth Argyle | Huddersfield Town | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Wycombe Wanderers | Notts County | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Wigan Athletic | Reading | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Sheffield Wednesday | AFC Wimbledon | H | 1X2 |
⚽ Get Access to Our Top Football Picks
Powered by AI and betting expertise, our carefully selected tips are available through Tipsterr —where you can see our tracked profit.
Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Mansfield Town | Oxford United | 75 | 75 | 1.64 | 2.56 |
| 2026-10-17 | Peterborough United | Burton Albion | 50 | 40 | 2.07 | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | Milton Keynes Dons | Luton Town | 75 | 100 | 2.05 | 1.95 |
| 2026-10-17 | Barnsley | Cambridge United | 75 | 100 | 1.87 | 2.15 |
| 2026-10-17 | Leyton Orient | Blackpool | 60 | 75 | 2.32 | 1.76 |
| 2026-10-17 | Bradford City | Stevenage | 25 | 50 | 1.67 | 2.49 |
| 2026-10-17 | Stockport County | Bromley | 80 | 75 | 2.45 | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | Leicester City | Doncaster Rovers | 50 | 50 | 2.08 | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | Plymouth Argyle | Huddersfield Town | 40 | 80 | 1.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-10-17 | Wycombe Wanderers | Notts County | 100 | 75 | 1.95 | 2.06 |
| 2026-10-17 | Wigan Athletic | Reading | 25 | 75 | 2.47 | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | Sheffield Wednesday | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 60 | 1.30 | 4.32 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | EFL League One | Mansfield Town | Oxford United | 2.07 | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Peterborough United | Burton Albion | 1.93 | 2.08 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Milton Keynes Dons | Luton Town | 2.02 | 1.98 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Barnsley | Cambridge United | 1.68 | 2.48 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Leyton Orient | Blackpool | 1.83 | 2.21 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Bradford City | Stevenage | 1.84 | 2.19 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Stockport County | Bromley | 2.05 | 1.95 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Leicester City | Doncaster Rovers | 1.75 | 2.34 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Plymouth Argyle | Huddersfield Town | 1.61 | 2.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Wycombe Wanderers | Notts County | 1.86 | 2.16 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Wigan Athletic | Reading | 1.61 | 2.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Sheffield Wednesday | AFC Wimbledon | 1.67 | 2.49 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | Oxford United | 0.87 | 1.72 | 2.40 | 4.58 | 1.28 |
| Peterborough United | Burton Albion | 0.76 | 1.88 | 2.13 | 5.69 | 1.21 |
| Milton Keynes Dons | Luton Town | 1.44 | 1.31 | 4.21 | 2.37 | 1.73 |
| Barnsley | Cambridge United | 0.92 | 1.67 | 2.50 | 4.28 | 1.30 |
| Leyton Orient | Blackpool | 0.80 | 1.81 | 2.23 | 5.19 | 1.24 |
| Bradford City | Stevenage | 0.60 | 2.21 | 1.82 | 8.17 | 1.14 |
| Stockport County | Bromley | 1.97 | 1.16 | 7.20 | 1.70 | 2.42 |
| Leicester City | Doncaster Rovers | 1.72 | 1.22 | 5.58 | 1.95 | 2.05 |
| Plymouth Argyle | Huddersfield Town | 1.35 | 1.35 | 3.86 | 2.55 | 1.64 |
| Wycombe Wanderers | Notts County | 1.37 | 1.34 | 3.92 | 2.52 | 1.66 |
| Wigan Athletic | Reading | 0.95 | 1.63 | 2.58 | 4.08 | 1.32 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | AFC Wimbledon | 1.09 | 1.50 | 2.99 | 3.34 | 1.43 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | Oxford United | 0.0 | 28.6 | 0.0 |
| Peterborough United | Burton Albion | 22.2 | 10.0 | 7.5 |
| Milton Keynes Dons | Luton Town | 25.0 | 25.0 | 19.7 |
| Barnsley | Cambridge United | 50.0 | 22.2 | 32.3 |
| Leyton Orient | Blackpool | 33.3 | 37.5 | 35.6 |
| Bradford City | Stevenage | 22.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Stockport County | Bromley | 44.4 | 50.0 | 54.2 |
| Leicester City | Doncaster Rovers | 62.5 | 12.5 | 24.0 |
| Plymouth Argyle | Huddersfield Town | 20.0 | 44.4 | 26.8 |
| Wycombe Wanderers | Notts County | 44.4 | 12.5 | 17.7 |
| Wigan Athletic | Reading | 37.5 | 33.3 | 35.6 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | AFC Wimbledon | 25.0 | 22.2 | 17.7 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | Oxford United | 9.34 | 2.20 | 1.83 |
| Peterborough United | Burton Albion | 9.42 | 2.15 | 1.87 |
| Milton Keynes Dons | Luton Town | 9.81 | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| Barnsley | Cambridge United | 12.13 | 1.33 | 4.00 |
| Leyton Orient | Blackpool | 12.95 | 1.23 | 5.32 |
| Bradford City | Stevenage | 9.80 | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| Stockport County | Bromley | 12.32 | 1.31 | 4.27 |
| Leicester City | Doncaster Rovers | 13.23 | 1.20 | 5.90 |
| Plymouth Argyle | Huddersfield Town | 11.17 | 1.51 | 2.96 |
| Wycombe Wanderers | Notts County | 10.49 | 1.70 | 2.43 |
| Wigan Athletic | Reading | 9.87 | 1.93 | 2.07 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | AFC Wimbledon | 10.80 | 1.60 | 2.66 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading | 2.80 | 1.20 | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Stockport County | 2.60 | 1.60 | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Oxford United | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Luton Town | 1.25 | 1.00 | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 1.75 | 0.75 | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Plymouth Argyle | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Huddersfield Town | 2.25 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Blackpool | 2.25 | 1.75 | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Wycombe Wanderers | 1.60 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Cambridge United | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Stevenage | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Mansfield Town | 2.25 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Leyton Orient | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.25 |
| Burton Albion | 2.00 | 1.80 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Leicester City | 1.00 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 0.75 | 1.75 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Doncaster Rovers | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Bromley | 0.75 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.75 |
| Barnsley | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Notts County | 1.00 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Bradford City | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Peterborough United | 0.75 | 1.25 | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Wigan Athletic | 0.75 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 1.25 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | EFL League One | Mansfield Town | Oxford United | 1 | 1 | 14.9 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Peterborough United | Burton Albion | 1 | 1 | 12.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Milton Keynes Dons | Luton Town | 1 | 0 | 15.5 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Barnsley | Cambridge United | 1 | 1 | 13.7 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Leyton Orient | Blackpool | 1 | 1 | 10.9 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Bradford City | Stevenage | 0 | 1 | 15.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Stockport County | Bromley | 1 | 1 | 15.0 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Leicester City | Doncaster Rovers | 1 | 1 | 12.0 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Plymouth Argyle | Huddersfield Town | 1 | 1 | 12.8 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Wycombe Wanderers | Notts County | 1 | 1 | 13.1 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Wigan Athletic | Reading | 1 | 1 | 13.1 |
| 2026-10-17 | EFL League One | Sheffield Wednesday | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 2 | 10.0 |


Leave a Reply
You must be logged in to post a comment.