AI Football Tips: EFL Championship round 40

Buckle up, EFL Championship fans! The drama is about to reach fever pitch as we enter Round 40. It’s a pivotal moment in the season where every point counts, and the tension is thicker than a Yorkshire pudding. With so many twists and turns already this year, who will be crowned champions? The race for promotion is heating up faster than a curry on high heat. This league has been known to throw curveballs left and right, defying predictions and leaving fans on the edge of their seats. With each passing game, the odds shift like the wind, making it more exciting than ever to try and predict the outcome. Remember, folks – gambling can be addictive. Always play responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose. Let’s dive into the AI predictions for Round 40!

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL Championship round 40. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date	League	Home Team	Away Team	Prediction	Asian
2025-04-04	EFL Championship	Blackburn	Middlesbrough	H	0
2025-04-05	EFL Championship	Coventry City	Burnley	H	+0.25
2025-04-05	EFL Championship	Luton Town	Leeds United	A	1X2
2025-04-05	EFL Championship	West Brom	Sunderland	H	0
2025-04-05	EFL Championship	Bristol City	Watford	H	1X2
2025-04-05	EFL Championship	QPR	Cardiff City	H	-0.25
2025-04-05	EFL Championship	Swansea City	Derby County	H	1X2
2025-04-05	EFL Championship	Sheffield Weds	Hull City	H	1X2
2025-04-05	EFL Championship	Millwall	Portsmouth	H	-0.25
2025-04-05	EFL Championship	Plymouth Argyle	Norwich City	A	1X2
2025-04-05	EFL Championship	Oxford United	Sheffield Utd	A	1X2
2025-04-05	EFL Championship	Preston	Stoke City	H	-0.25

Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	BTS Home (%)	BTS Away (%)	BTS Target	BTS No Target
2025-04-04	Blackburn	Middlesbrough	32	63	2.11	1.90
2025-04-05	Coventry City	Burnley	58	21	2.53	1.65
2025-04-05	Luton Town	Leeds United	53	37	2.24	1.81
2025-04-05	West Brom	Sunderland	37	53	2.24	1.81
2025-04-05	Bristol City	Watford	53	58	1.81	2.24
2025-04-05	QPR	Cardiff City	74	74	1.36	3.80
2025-04-05	Swansea City	Derby County	42	63	1.90	2.11
2025-04-05	Sheffield Weds	Hull City	58	42	2.00	2.00
2025-04-05	Millwall	Portsmouth	37	58	2.11	1.90
2025-04-05	Plymouth Argyle	Norwich City	74	47	1.65	2.53
2025-04-05	Oxford United	Sheffield Utd	58	42	2.00	2.00
2025-04-05	Preston	Stoke City	53	42	2.11	1.90

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Goal Avg.	+2.5 target odds	-2.5 target odds
2025-04-04	Blackburn	Middlesbrough	2.66	2.01	1.99
2025-04-05	Coventry City	Burnley	2.29	2.49	1.67
2025-04-05	Luton Town	Leeds United	2.21	2.63	1.61
2025-04-05	West Brom	Sunderland	2.18	2.69	1.59
2025-04-05	Bristol City	Watford	2.58	2.10	1.91
2025-04-05	QPR	Cardiff City	2.97	1.75	2.33
2025-04-05	Swansea City	Derby County	2.55	2.13	1.88
2025-04-05	Sheffield Weds	Hull City	2.53	2.16	1.87
2025-04-05	Millwall	Portsmouth	2.58	2.10	1.91
2025-04-05	Plymouth Argyle	Norwich City	2.86	1.84	2.20
2025-04-05	Oxford United	Sheffield Utd	2.42	2.30	1.77
2025-04-05	Preston	Stoke City	2.10	2.85	1.54

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team	Home Goals	Home Conceded	Away Goals	Away Conceded
Leeds United	2.45	0.55	1.53	0.84
Norwich City	2.25	1.35	0.84	1.42
Middlesbrough	1.45	1.05	1.58	1.47
Coventry City	1.79	1.16	1.10	1.45
Sunderland	1.60	0.75	1.26	1.16
Sheffield Utd	1.50	0.75	1.37	0.74
Sheffield Weds	1.42	1.47	1.35	1.60
Burnley	1.40	0.25	1.32	0.32
Bristol City	1.47	0.79	1.05	1.35
West Brom	1.32	0.63	1.15	1.15
Portsmouth	1.45	0.90	0.95	2.26
Watford	1.20	0.95	1.21	1.68
QPR	1.53	1.37	0.80	1.35
Cardiff City	1.15	1.25	1.05	2.00
Blackburn	1.37	0.89	0.80	1.20
Derby County	1.25	0.85	0.89	1.79
Plymouth Argyle	1.68	1.79	0.40	2.15
Stoke City	1.30	1.10	0.74	1.58
Swansea City	1.32	1.11	0.75	1.50
Oxford United	1.42	1.32	0.65	1.60
Preston	1.11	0.79	0.90	1.55
Hull City	1.05	1.25	0.95	1.21
Millwall	1.05	0.89	0.85	1.15
Luton Town	1.05	1.00	0.75	2.05