AI Football Tips: Campeonato Brasileiro round 31

The relentless drama, pulsating atmospheres, and immense stakes of Brazilian football reach a boiling point as the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A enters a decisive Rodada 31 over the weekend of October 17–18. With the 38-game marathon entering its final, unforgiving stretch, the margin for error has evaporated. Every duel on the pitch carries massive implications for the national championship, coveted Copa Libertadores berths, and the desperate, high-wire struggle to escape the dreaded Z-4 relegation zone.

Saturday’s action delivers high drama, headlined by title contenders Palmeiras facing a notoriously difficult away test against Athletico-PR at the Arena da Baixada, while São Paulo hosts Vasco da Gama in a prime-time clash at the MorumBIS. Sunday ramps up the intensity with an explosive battle in Salvador as Bahia welcomes Flamengo to a roaring Arena Fonte Nova. The Sunday schedule also features a historic clash at the Maracanã between Fluminense and Santos, alongside a fierce battle between Grêmio and Cruzeiro in Porto Alegre. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every electrifying encounter in this monumental Brasileirão round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Campeonato Brasileiro round 31. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-10-16 Campeonato Brasileiro Mirassol Internacional H 1X2
2026-10-17 Campeonato Brasileiro Botafogo Chapecoense H No bet
2026-10-17 Campeonato Brasileiro Atlético Mineiro Coritiba H 1X2
2026-10-17 Campeonato Brasileiro Atlético PR Palmeiras H +0.25
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro São Paulo Vasco da Gama H 1X2
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro Grêmio Cruzeiro A -0.25
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro Fluminense Santos H 1X2
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro Bahia Flamengo H +0.25
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro Remo Bragantino A 1X2
2026-10-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Corinthians Vitória H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-16 Mirassol Internacional 73 60 1.92 2.08
2026-10-17 Botafogo Chapecoense 73 60 1.71 2.41
2026-10-17 Atlético Mineiro Coritiba 67 40 2.11 1.90
2026-10-17 Atlético PR Palmeiras 60 53 1.25 4.95
2026-10-18 São Paulo Vasco da Gama 60 71 1.46 3.17
2026-10-18 Grêmio Cruzeiro 67 73 1.68 2.47
2026-10-18 Fluminense Santos 67 80 2.12 1.89
2026-10-18 Bahia Flamengo 67 60 1.55 2.83
2026-10-18 Remo Bragantino 67 53 1.43 3.31
2026-10-19 Corinthians Vitória 40 60 1.36 3.81

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-16 Campeonato Brasileiro Mirassol Internacional 1.87 2.15
2026-10-17 Campeonato Brasileiro Botafogo Chapecoense 1.83 2.21
2026-10-17 Campeonato Brasileiro Atlético Mineiro Coritiba 2.07 1.93
2026-10-17 Campeonato Brasileiro Atlético PR Palmeiras 1.61 2.63
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro São Paulo Vasco da Gama 1.89 2.12
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro Grêmio Cruzeiro 1.93 2.07
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro Fluminense Santos 2.23 1.82
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro Bahia Flamengo 1.89 2.13
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro Remo Bragantino 1.62 2.61
2026-10-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Corinthians Vitória 1.67 2.49

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Mirassol Internacional 1.30 1.37 3.68 2.67 1.60
Botafogo Chapecoense 1.44 1.31 4.21 2.38 1.73
Atlético Mineiro Coritiba 0.95 1.63 2.58 4.08 1.33
Atlético PR Palmeiras 1.34 1.35 3.83 2.58 1.63
São Paulo Vasco da Gama 0.93 1.65 2.55 4.17 1.32
Grêmio Cruzeiro 1.53 1.28 4.60 2.22 1.82
Fluminense Santos 1.00 1.58 2.72 3.79 1.36
Bahia Flamengo 1.23 1.41 3.42 2.88 1.53
Remo Bragantino 0.89 1.70 2.43 4.49 1.29
Corinthians Vitória 1.45 1.31 4.27 2.35 1.74

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Mirassol Internacional 20.0 26.7 18.7
Botafogo Chapecoense 40.0 20.7 27.5
Atlético Mineiro Coritiba 23.3 20.0 16.6
Atlético PR Palmeiras 50.0 30.0 44.1
São Paulo Vasco da Gama 20.0 17.2 12.5
Grêmio Cruzeiro 13.3 36.7 17.3
Fluminense Santos 20.0 16.7 12.1
Bahia Flamengo 30.0 43.3 39.6
Remo Bragantino 23.3 23.3 19.1
Corinthians Vitória 26.7 13.3 12.9

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Mirassol Internacional 8.58 2.77 1.57
Botafogo Chapecoense 11.20 1.50 2.99
Atlético Mineiro Coritiba 10.09 1.84 2.19
Atlético PR Palmeiras 10.29 1.76 2.31
São Paulo Vasco da Gama 10.66 1.64 2.55
Grêmio Cruzeiro 11.02 1.55 2.83
Fluminense Santos 9.87 1.93 2.07
Bahia Flamengo 9.13 2.33 1.75
Remo Bragantino 12.42 1.29 4.42
Corinthians Vitória 9.34 2.20 1.83

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Flamengo 1.93 0.67 1.93 1.00
Palmeiras 1.87 0.67 1.60 0.80
Atlético PR 1.80 0.87 1.47 1.47
Fluminense 1.87 0.93 1.33 1.53
Cruzeiro 1.73 1.07 1.33 1.87
Santos 1.47 1.33 1.60 1.67
Bahia 1.53 0.93 1.40 1.47
Botafogo 1.67 1.47 1.20 1.73
Atlético Mineiro 1.73 1.13 1.00 1.20
Coritiba 1.33 1.33 1.20 1.87
Bragantino 1.60 1.13 0.93 1.20
Vasco da Gama 1.40 1.20 1.07 1.71
São Paulo 1.60 0.87 0.73 1.47
Mirassol 1.40 1.40 0.87 1.53
Internacional 1.20 1.13 1.00 1.40
Remo 1.27 1.33 0.93 1.87
Vitória 1.47 0.80 0.73 2.13
Grêmio 1.53 1.13 0.60 1.53
Corinthians 1.00 1.07 1.07 1.47
Chapecoense 1.36 2.36 0.73 1.87

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-16 Campeonato Brasileiro Mirassol Internacional 1 1 13.6
2026-10-17 Campeonato Brasileiro Botafogo Chapecoense 1 1 14.6
2026-10-17 Campeonato Brasileiro Atlético Mineiro Coritiba 1 1 14.2
2026-10-17 Campeonato Brasileiro Atlético PR Palmeiras 1 1 11.9
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro São Paulo Vasco da Gama 1 1 13.0
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro Grêmio Cruzeiro 1 1 14.7
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro Fluminense Santos 1 1 14.5
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro Bahia Flamengo 1 1 13.0
2026-10-18 Campeonato Brasileiro Remo Bragantino 1 1 13.8
2026-10-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Corinthians Vitória 1 1 10.9


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