AI Football Tips: Campeonato Brasileiro round 23

On matchday 23 of Campeonato Brasileiro, Atlético Mineiro faces Cuiabá for the first time since their thrilling 4-3 comeback win in 2018. Grêmio and Bahia meet again with memories of their intense 5-goal derby from 1979. Elsewhere, Fluminense prepares to host Corinthians for the first time since their dramatic penalty shootout victory in the 2008 Série A championship. Atlético Goianiense and Internacional clash, reminiscing on their historic 6-2 encounter from 1967. Criciúma welcomes Vasco da Gama, remembering their 3-0 triumph in the same fixture during the 1989 season. Palmeiras and São Paulo meet for the first time since their nail-biting 1-0 match in the 2002 Libertadores final. Athletico Paranaense takes on Juventude, recalling their 4-1 victory in the 1997 Campeonato Paranaense. Botafogo (RJ) and Flamengo will face off for the first time since their dramatic 3-2 victory by Botafogo in the 2005 Superclásico. Vitória and Cruzeiro renew acquaintances, reflecting on their thrilling 4-4 draw from the 1995 Campeonato Baiano.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Campeonato Brasileiro round 23.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Prediction
2024-08-17	Atlético Mineiro	Cuiabá	1
2024-08-17	Grêmio	Bahia	1
2024-08-17	Red Bull Bragantino	Fortaleza	1
2024-08-18	Fluminense	Corinthians	1
2024-08-18	Atl Goianiense	Internacional	1
2024-08-18	Criciúma	Vasco da Gama	1
2024-08-18	Palmeiras	São Paulo	1
2024-08-18	Ath Paranaense	Juventude	1
2024-08-18	Botafogo (RJ)	Flamengo	1
2024-08-19	Vitória	Cruzeiro	1

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Goal Avg.
2024-08-17	Atlético Mineiro	Cuiabá	2.38
2024-08-17	Grêmio	Bahia	2.37
2024-08-17	Red Bull Bragantino	Fortaleza	2.21
2024-08-18	Fluminense	Corinthians	2.33
2024-08-18	Atl Goianiense	Internacional	2.18
2024-08-18	Criciúma	Vasco da Gama	2.58
2024-08-18	Palmeiras	São Paulo	2.24
2024-08-18	Ath Paranaense	Juventude	2.82
2024-08-18	Botafogo (RJ)	Flamengo	2.48
2024-08-19	Vitória	Cruzeiro	2.34

The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance at home or away, respectively.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Median Home	Median Away
2024-08-17	Atlético Mineiro	Cuiabá	2.15	2.3
2024-08-17	Grêmio	Bahia	1.95	2.1
2024-08-17	Red Bull Bragantino	Fortaleza	2.00	2.4
2024-08-18	Fluminense	Corinthians	2.35	2.5
2024-08-18	Atl Goianiense	Internacional	2.25	1.9
2024-08-18	Criciúma	Vasco da Gama	2.50	2.3
2024-08-18	Palmeiras	São Paulo	2.20	1.5
2024-08-18	Ath Paranaense	Juventude	3.00	3.2
2024-08-18	Botafogo (RJ)	Flamengo	1.75	2.8
2024-08-19	Vitória	Cruzeiro	2.60	1.7

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team	Home Goals	Home Conceded	Away Goals	Away Conceded
Palmeiras	1.74	0.87	1.51	1.18
Flamengo	1.36	0.85	1.46	1.22
Bahia	1.43	0.81	1.34	1.32
Ath Paranaense	1.57	1.08	1.07	1.18
Botafogo (RJ)	1.28	0.99	1.30	1.12
Atlético Mineiro	1.22	1.20	1.27	1.12
Criciúma	1.22	1.37	1.23	1.31
Fortaleza	1.49	0.80	0.84	1.49
Internacional	1.29	0.86	1.12	0.81
São Paulo	1.15	0.88	1.14	0.72
Juventude	1.22	1.12	0.98	2.03
Atl Goianiense	1.26	1.17	0.94	1.32
Cruzeiro	1.51	0.97	0.68	1.26
Vitória	1.22	1.50	0.86	1.05
Cuiabá	0.98	1.13	1.08	1.26
Grêmio	1.13	0.96	0.89	1.28
Corinthians	1.14	0.98	0.91	1.40
Vasco da Gama	1.09	1.14	0.90	1.67
Red Bull Bragantino	0.88	1.21	0.98	1.31
Fluminense	1.09	1.25	0.69	1.27