AI Football Tips: Bundesliga round 11

Get ready for a thrilling penultimate round of Bundesliga action! The race for a coveted spot in the top half of the table is heating up, and every point matters as we head into the final stretch of the season. With each team desperate to secure their position, expect some high-intensity clashes as these clubs battle it out for supremacy. The first fixture of this round sees **Holstein Kiel** hosting **Mainz 05**. The home team will be looking to make a statement on their own turf, while Mainz 05 will be aiming to spoil the party. A clash full of anticipation and high-stakes drama awaits as these two teams battle it out for victory! The final fixture sees **Gladbach** hosting **St. Pauli**. This is a match brimming with potential for upset as both sides are known for their tenacious defense and passionate fanbases. Will either team be able to break through the other’s defenses?
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Bundesliga round 11. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2024-11-22 Bundesliga Bayern Munich Augsburg H No bet
2024-11-23 Bundesliga Leverkusen Heidenheim H No bet
2024-11-23 Bundesliga Dortmund Freiburg H 1X2
2024-11-23 Bundesliga Hoffenheim RB Leipzig A 1X2
2024-11-23 Bundesliga Wolfsburg Union Berlin H -0.25
2024-11-23 Bundesliga Stuttgart Bochum H No bet
2024-11-23 Bundesliga Eint Frankfurt Werder Bremen H 1X2
2024-11-24 Bundesliga Holstein Kiel Mainz 05 H 0
2024-11-24 Bundesliga Gladbach St. Pauli H 1X2

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2024-11-22 Bayern Munich Augsburg 50.0 75.0
2024-11-23 Leverkusen Heidenheim 80.0 40.0
2024-11-23 Dortmund Freiburg 80.0 40.0
2024-11-23 Hoffenheim RB Leipzig 80.0 40.0
2024-11-23 Wolfsburg Union Berlin 80.0 20.0
2024-11-23 Stuttgart Bochum 80.0 80.0
2024-11-23 Eint Frankfurt Werder Bremen 75.0 100.0
2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel Mainz 05 40.0 75.0
2024-11-24 Gladbach St. Pauli 80.0 60.0

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-11-22 Bayern Munich Augsburg 3.12
2024-11-23 Leverkusen Heidenheim 3.50
2024-11-23 Dortmund Freiburg 3.00
2024-11-23 Hoffenheim RB Leipzig 3.40
2024-11-23 Wolfsburg Union Berlin 2.80
2024-11-23 Stuttgart Bochum 4.50
2024-11-23 Eint Frankfurt Werder Bremen 5.12
2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel Mainz 05 3.55
2024-11-24 Gladbach St. Pauli 3.30

The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-11-22 Bayern Munich Augsburg 2.5 2.75
2024-11-23 Leverkusen Heidenheim 3.3 2.40
2024-11-23 Dortmund Freiburg 3.9 2.40
2024-11-23 Hoffenheim RB Leipzig 3.9 2.50
2024-11-23 Wolfsburg Union Berlin 3.5 1.90
2024-11-23 Stuttgart Bochum 3.4 4.50
2024-11-23 Eint Frankfurt Werder Bremen 4.3 2.80
2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel Mainz 05 2.4 2.75
2024-11-24 Gladbach St. Pauli 3.6 1.80

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Bayern Munich 2.50 0.25 3.83 1.00
Eint Frankfurt 3.75 1.50 1.83 1.67
Leverkusen 2.00 1.80 2.20 1.40
Wolfsburg 1.60 2.40 2.20 1.20
Stuttgart 2.60 1.80 1.20 2.00
Dortmund 2.80 1.20 0.80 2.40
Werder Bremen 0.80 1.80 2.60 2.40
Gladbach 2.20 1.80 0.80 1.00
RB Leipzig 1.60 0.20 1.40 0.80
Mainz 05 1.00 1.50 2.25 1.25
Augsburg 1.83 1.33 0.50 3.00
Hoffenheim 2.00 2.60 0.60 1.20
Heidenheim 1.00 1.40 1.60 1.60
Freiburg 1.60 1.20 1.00 1.00
Holstein Kiel 0.80 2.80 1.60 2.20
Bochum 0.80 2.60 1.20 3.40
Union Berlin 1.20 0.60 0.60 1.00
St. Pauli 0.00 1.20 1.40 1.20