AI Football Tips: Argentina Primera Division

The raw passion, pulsating atmosphere, and fierce intensity of Argentine football take center stage as the Liga Profesional de Fútbol enters a pivotal Fecha 13 over the weekend of October 16–18. With the second half of the tournament in full swing, the battle for playoff qualification, Copa Libertadores spots, and the league title is reaching a boiling point. Points are at an absolute premium, and the pressure is mounting across every stadium in the country as clubs fight for glory and local bragging rights.

The weekend’s slate is headlined by one of the fiercest and most storied rivalries in world football on Sunday, as Racing Club hosts arch-rivals Independiente in a blockbuster edition of the Clásico de Avellaneda at the Estadio Presidente Perón. The drama begins on Friday night under the lights of La Bombonera, where Boca Juniors squares off against a formidable Talleres side. The heavy-hitting action continues with a high-stakes Sunday showdown between Estudiantes de La Plata and San Lorenzo, alongside intriguing clashes featuring Vélez Sarsfield and Argentinos Juniors. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought battle across this thrilling Argentine round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Argentina Primera Division round 29. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-10-14 Primera División – Argentina Sarmiento River Plate A 1X2
2026-10-15 Primera División – Argentina Huracán Gimnasia La Plata H 0
2026-10-16 Primera División – Argentina Defensa y Justicia Instituto H 0
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Boca Juniors Talleres Córdoba H 1X2
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Banfield Argentinos Juniors A 1X2
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Independiente Rivadavia Tigre H 1X2
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Platense Lanús H 0
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Atlético Tucumán Rosario Central H +0.25
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Vélez Sarsfield Gimnasia Mendoza H 1X2
2026-10-18 Primera División – Argentina Racing Club Independiente H 1X2
2026-10-18 Primera División – Argentina Estudiantes Río Cuarto Aldosivi H 0
2026-10-18 Primera División – Argentina Estudiantes San Lorenzo H -0.25
2026-10-19 Primera División – Argentina Newell’s Old Boys Central Córdoba SdE H 1X2
2026-10-20 Primera División – Argentina Deportivo Riestra Unión Santa Fe H -0.25

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-14 Sarmiento River Plate 46 33 1.95 2.05
2026-10-15 Huracán Gimnasia La Plata 50 50 2.16 1.86
2026-10-16 Defensa y Justicia Instituto 57 36 1.94 2.07
2026-10-17 Boca Juniors Talleres Córdoba 43 50 1.61 2.64
2026-10-17 Banfield Argentinos Juniors 54 50 2.07 1.93
2026-10-17 Independiente Rivadavia Tigre 87 57 1.84 2.19
2026-10-17 Platense Lanús 43 36 2.19 1.84
2026-10-17 Atlético Tucumán Rosario Central 43 53 2.29 1.77
2026-10-17 Vélez Sarsfield Gimnasia Mendoza 47 36 1.74 2.35
2026-10-18 Racing Club Independiente 64 60 2.39 1.72
2026-10-18 Estudiantes Río Cuarto Aldosivi 21 50 2.24 1.81
2026-10-18 Estudiantes San Lorenzo 20 27 1.58 2.74
2026-10-19 Newell’s Old Boys Central Córdoba SdE 50 36 2.22 1.82
2026-10-20 Deportivo Riestra Unión Santa Fe 29 62 2.17 1.85

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-14 Primera División – Argentina Sarmiento River Plate 1.98 2.02
2026-10-15 Primera División – Argentina Huracán Gimnasia La Plata 2.22 1.82
2026-10-16 Primera División – Argentina Defensa y Justicia Instituto 2.11 1.90
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Boca Juniors Talleres Córdoba 1.95 2.05
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Banfield Argentinos Juniors 2.82 1.55
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Independiente Rivadavia Tigre 1.91 2.10
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Platense Lanús 4.29 1.30
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Atlético Tucumán Rosario Central 3.09 1.48
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Vélez Sarsfield Gimnasia Mendoza 1.91 2.10
2026-10-18 Primera División – Argentina Racing Club Independiente 3.40 1.42
2026-10-18 Primera División – Argentina Estudiantes Río Cuarto Aldosivi 3.19 1.46
2026-10-18 Primera División – Argentina Estudiantes San Lorenzo 1.98 2.02
2026-10-19 Primera División – Argentina Newell’s Old Boys Central Córdoba SdE 2.68 1.60
2026-10-20 Primera División – Argentina Deportivo Riestra Unión Santa Fe 2.42 1.70

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Sarmiento River Plate 1.09 1.51 2.98 3.36 1.42
Huracán Gimnasia La Plata 0.78 1.84 2.19 5.41 1.23
Defensa y Justicia Instituto 1.29 1.38 3.62 2.72 1.58
Boca Juniors Talleres Córdoba 0.70 1.98 2.02 6.38 1.19
Banfield Argentinos Juniors 0.69 2.02 1.98 6.63 1.18
Independiente Rivadavia Tigre 1.50 1.29 4.50 2.25 1.80
Platense Lanús 0.65 2.09 1.92 7.18 1.16
Atlético Tucumán Rosario Central 0.62 2.18 1.85 7.88 1.15
Vélez Sarsfield Gimnasia Mendoza 0.74 1.92 2.09 5.95 1.20
Racing Club Independiente 1.07 1.52 2.91 3.45 1.41
Estudiantes Río Cuarto Aldosivi 0.93 1.65 2.53 4.19 1.31
Estudiantes San Lorenzo 0.82 1.79 2.27 5.06 1.25
Newell’s Old Boys Central Córdoba SdE 0.60 2.22 1.82 8.20 1.14
Deportivo Riestra Unión Santa Fe 1.01 1.57 2.76 3.71 1.37

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Sarmiento River Plate 18.5 19.4 15.3
Huracán Gimnasia La Plata 23.3 30.0 27.6
Defensa y Justicia Instituto 35.7 17.9 25.5
Boca Juniors Talleres Córdoba 31.0 10.3 13.8
Banfield Argentinos Juniors 17.9 32.3 23.4
Independiente Rivadavia Tigre 34.5 25.0 32.8
Platense Lanús 17.9 10.3 8.2
Atlético Tucumán Rosario Central 10.7 16.1 7.7
Vélez Sarsfield Gimnasia Mendoza 41.4 35.7 49.5
Racing Club Independiente 16.7 24.1 17.0
Estudiantes Río Cuarto Aldosivi 28.6 21.4 24.6
Estudiantes San Lorenzo 13.8 17.2 10.4
Newell’s Old Boys Central Córdoba SdE 7.1 25.0 7.9
Deportivo Riestra Unión Santa Fe 21.4 20.0 18.0

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Sarmiento River Plate 8.80 2.58 1.63
Huracán Gimnasia La Plata 8.80 2.58 1.63
Defensa y Justicia Instituto 10.59 1.67 2.50
Boca Juniors Talleres Córdoba 8.37 2.98 1.50
Banfield Argentinos Juniors 8.50 2.85 1.54
Independiente Rivadavia Tigre 8.03 3.39 1.42
Platense Lanús 8.60 2.75 1.57
Atlético Tucumán Rosario Central 9.84 1.94 2.06
Vélez Sarsfield Gimnasia Mendoza 8.90 2.50 1.67
Racing Club Independiente 7.48 4.30 1.30
Estudiantes Río Cuarto Aldosivi 10.54 1.68 2.47
Estudiantes San Lorenzo 8.00 3.43 1.41
Newell’s Old Boys Central Córdoba SdE 9.06 2.38 1.72
Deportivo Riestra Unión Santa Fe 7.49 4.27 1.31

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Independiente Rivadavia 2.13 1.27 0.93 1.21
Boca Juniors 1.36 0.57 1.60 1.13
Unión Santa Fe 1.57 1.07 1.31 1.81
River Plate 1.58 1.05 1.08 0.75
Rosario Central 1.56 0.81 1.13 1.00
Instituto 1.57 0.93 1.00 1.00
Defensa y Justicia 1.29 0.93 1.29 1.36
Independiente 1.29 1.29 1.27 1.13
Gimnasia La Plata 1.50 1.21 1.00 1.31
Sarmiento 1.38 0.85 1.07 1.86
Vélez Sarsfield 1.20 0.80 1.21 1.00
Argentinos Juniors 1.41 0.53 0.93 1.14
Belgrano 1.40 0.73 1.00 0.71
Estudiantes 1.53 0.53 0.79 0.93
Lanús 1.13 0.73 1.14 1.07
Banfield 1.31 1.15 0.93 1.47
Racing Club 1.07 1.29 1.06 1.12
Tigre 1.07 0.86 1.00 1.14
Gimnasia Mendoza 1.29 0.79 0.79 1.64
Huracán 1.14 0.71 0.94 1.00
Talleres Córdoba 0.93 1.13 1.00 1.14
Newell’s Old Boys 1.00 1.00 0.86 1.57
Atlético Tucumán 0.86 0.93 0.93 1.21
Barracas Central 0.93 0.86 0.86 0.86
Platense 0.64 1.29 0.93 1.07
Central Córdoba SdE 1.07 1.21 0.43 1.43
San Lorenzo 1.00 1.07 0.47 0.80
Aldosivi 0.71 1.00 0.64 1.79
Deportivo Riestra 0.79 0.71 0.21 1.00
Estudiantes Río Cuarto 0.43 1.07 0.36 1.79

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-14 Primera División – Argentina Sarmiento River Plate 1 1 14.2
2026-10-15 Primera División – Argentina Huracán Gimnasia La Plata 1 1 14.9
2026-10-16 Primera División – Argentina Defensa y Justicia Instituto 1 1 14.5
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Boca Juniors Talleres Córdoba 1 1 13.6
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Banfield Argentinos Juniors 1 1 14.9
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Independiente Rivadavia Tigre 1 1 14.6
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Platense Lanús 0 0 14.8
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Atlético Tucumán Rosario Central 0 0 16.8
2026-10-17 Primera División – Argentina Vélez Sarsfield Gimnasia Mendoza 1 1 14.2
2026-10-18 Primera División – Argentina Racing Club Independiente 1 1 14.3
2026-10-18 Primera División – Argentina Estudiantes Río Cuarto Aldosivi 1 1 14.9
2026-10-18 Primera División – Argentina Estudiantes San Lorenzo 1 1 14.2
2026-10-19 Primera División – Argentina Newell’s Old Boys Central Córdoba SdE 1 1 15.0
2026-10-20 Primera División – Argentina Deportivo Riestra Unión Santa Fe 1 1 14.9


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