AI Football Tips: Allsvenskan round 24

The biting Scandinavian autumn air sets the stage for high drama as Sweden’s Superettan enters a pivotal Round 27 over the weekend of October 17–18. With just four matches remaining in the 2026 campaign, the pressure on every club has reached maximum intensity. The race for automatic promotion to the Allsvenskan, the coveted promotion playoff spots, and the desperate fight to avoid relegation to the third tier are all on a knife’s edge, turning every minute of action into a high-stakes battle.

Saturday’s action delivers immense intrigue, headlined by a massive top-table promotion clash as Falkenbergs FF squares off against ambitious title contenders Landskrona BoIS in a matchup loaded with season-defining significance. Meanwhile, Östers IF aims to maintain their promotion charge at the Visma Arena against a stubborn IK Oddevold side, while Sandvikens IF battles Östersunds FK in a crucial contest near the bottom of the table. The drama continues on Sunday as GIF Sundsvall hosts IFK Värnamo, and Nordic United FC meets Norrby IF. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter in this thrilling Superettan round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Allsvenskan round 24. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-16 Allsvenskan Brommapojkarna Djurgården 0.1267 0.2753 0.5980 A No bet
2026-10-17 Allsvenskan AIK IFK Göteborg 0.2851 0.3309 0.3840 A -0.25
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Sirius Elfsborg 0.5383 0.2974 0.1643 H 1X2
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Västerås SK Mjällby 0.3639 0.3324 0.3037 H -0.25
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Malmö FF Häcken 0.4683 0.3171 0.2147 H 0
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Örgryte GAIS 0.1335 0.2799 0.5867 A 1X2
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Halmstad Hammarby 0.0370 0.1711 0.7919 A No bet
2026-10-19 Allsvenskan Degerfors Kalmar 0.3058 0.3326 0.3616 A 0

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-16 Brommapojkarna Djurgården 73 27 1.64 2.57
2026-10-17 AIK IFK Göteborg 55 55 1.57 2.76
2026-10-18 Sirius Elfsborg 55 73 1.92 2.09
2026-10-18 Västerås SK Mjällby 36 73 2.79 1.56
2026-10-18 Malmö FF Häcken 67 36 2.57 1.64
2026-10-18 Örgryte GAIS 91 45 1.58 2.72
2026-10-18 Halmstad Hammarby 45 55 3.12 1.47
2026-10-19 Degerfors Kalmar 36 33 2.95 1.51

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-16 Allsvenskan Brommapojkarna Djurgården 2.24 1.81
2026-10-17 Allsvenskan AIK IFK Göteborg 1.62 2.62
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Sirius Elfsborg 2.15 1.87
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Västerås SK Mjällby 1.94 2.06
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Malmö FF Häcken 2.75 1.57
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Örgryte GAIS 2.38 1.72
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Halmstad Hammarby 2.54 1.65
2026-10-19 Allsvenskan Degerfors Kalmar 2.80 1.56

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Brommapojkarna Djurgården 0.84 1.76 2.32 4.84 1.26
AIK IFK Göteborg 1.72 1.22 5.57 1.95 2.05
Sirius Elfsborg 1.68 1.23 5.34 2.00 2.00
Västerås SK Mjällby 1.43 1.31 4.19 2.38 1.72
Malmö FF Häcken 1.25 1.40 3.47 2.83 1.55
Örgryte GAIS 1.57 1.26 4.83 2.14 1.88
Halmstad Hammarby 0.96 1.62 2.61 4.01 1.33
Degerfors Kalmar 0.81 1.80 2.26 5.10 1.24

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Brommapojkarna Djurgården 26.1 39.1 24.4
AIK IFK Göteborg 30.4 26.1 19.6
Sirius Elfsborg 47.8 30.4 33.0
Västerås SK Mjällby 52.2 39.1 42.9
Malmö FF Häcken 43.5 39.1 37.3
Örgryte GAIS 39.1 21.7 20.8
Halmstad Hammarby 21.7 47.8 24.8
Degerfors Kalmar 30.4 47.8 33.0

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Brommapojkarna Djurgården 9.96 1.89 2.12
AIK IFK Göteborg 11.41 1.46 3.18
Sirius Elfsborg 10.56 1.68 2.48
Västerås SK Mjällby 9.49 2.12 1.89
Malmö FF Häcken 9.77 1.98 2.02
Örgryte GAIS 8.69 2.67 1.60
Halmstad Hammarby 10.68 1.64 2.57
Degerfors Kalmar 10.14 1.82 2.22

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Sirius 2.27 1.36 2.33 1.08
Hammarby 2.83 0.58 1.36 1.27
Djurgården 2.50 1.17 1.64 0.64
Häcken 1.75 1.50 1.91 1.09
Malmö FF 2.08 1.67 1.18 1.18
AIK 1.55 2.27 1.58 1.25
Brommapojkarna 1.36 1.18 1.75 2.33
Elfsborg 1.75 0.75 1.27 1.18
Västerås SK 1.55 1.18 1.42 1.92
IFK Göteborg 1.33 1.08 1.45 2.55
GAIS 1.33 0.42 1.09 1.45
Mjällby 1.00 1.58 1.45 1.82
Örgryte 1.55 1.82 0.67 2.67
Kalmar 1.27 1.55 0.58 1.67
Degerfors 1.00 1.36 0.75 1.67
Halmstad 0.82 1.64 0.58 2.17

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-16 Allsvenskan Brommapojkarna Djurgården 1 1 10.8
2026-10-17 Allsvenskan AIK IFK Göteborg 1 1 12.1
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Sirius Elfsborg 1 1 11.1
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Västerås SK Mjällby 1 1 14.6
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Malmö FF Häcken 1 1 12.3
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Örgryte GAIS 1 1 12.0
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Halmstad Hammarby 1 1 11.9
2026-10-19 Allsvenskan Degerfors Kalmar 1 1 15.0


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