AI Football Tips: Allsvenskan round 24

The bitter Scandinavian autumn sweeps across the pitch as Sweden’s top flight, the Allsvenskan, heads into an electric, high-stakes weekend of action from October 17–19. With the 2026 campaign entering its final, decisive rounds, the tension is reaching an absolute fever pitch. The race for the Lennart Johansson Trophy, European qualification berths, and top-flight survival has become totally unforgiving, where any single mistake could shatter a club’s entire season.

Saturday’s schedule is headlined by one of the most legendary rivalries in Scandinavian football history, as AIK welcomes IFK Göteborg to the Strawberry Arena in an explosive edition of Den Stora Drabbningen (The Great Clash). The blockbuster action continues on Sunday with a colossal showdown in the south, where perennial titans Malmö FF host BK Häcken at the Eleda Stadion. Elsewhere, European-chasing Hammarby IF travels to battle Halmstads BK, while IK Sirius takes on IF Elfsborg. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter in this exhilarating Allsvenskan round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Allsvenskan round 24. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-10-16 Allsvenskan Brommapojkarna Djurgården A No bet
2026-10-17 Allsvenskan AIK IFK Göteborg A -0.25
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Sirius Elfsborg H 1X2
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Västerås SK Mjällby H -0.25
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Malmö FF Häcken H 0
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Örgryte GAIS A 1X2
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Halmstad Hammarby A No bet
2026-10-19 Allsvenskan Degerfors Kalmar A 0

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-16 Brommapojkarna Djurgården 73 27 1.64 2.57
2026-10-17 AIK IFK Göteborg 55 55 1.57 2.76
2026-10-18 Sirius Elfsborg 55 73 1.92 2.09
2026-10-18 Västerås SK Mjällby 36 73 2.79 1.56
2026-10-18 Malmö FF Häcken 67 36 2.57 1.64
2026-10-18 Örgryte GAIS 91 45 1.58 2.72
2026-10-18 Halmstad Hammarby 45 55 3.12 1.47
2026-10-19 Degerfors Kalmar 36 33 2.95 1.51

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-16 Allsvenskan Brommapojkarna Djurgården 2.24 1.81
2026-10-17 Allsvenskan AIK IFK Göteborg 1.62 2.62
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Sirius Elfsborg 2.15 1.87
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Västerås SK Mjällby 1.94 2.06
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Malmö FF Häcken 2.75 1.57
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Örgryte GAIS 2.38 1.72
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Halmstad Hammarby 2.54 1.65
2026-10-19 Allsvenskan Degerfors Kalmar 2.80 1.56

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Brommapojkarna Djurgården 0.84 1.76 2.32 4.84 1.26
AIK IFK Göteborg 1.72 1.22 5.57 1.95 2.05
Sirius Elfsborg 1.68 1.23 5.34 2.00 2.00
Västerås SK Mjällby 1.43 1.31 4.19 2.38 1.72
Malmö FF Häcken 1.25 1.40 3.47 2.83 1.55
Örgryte GAIS 1.57 1.26 4.83 2.14 1.88
Halmstad Hammarby 0.96 1.62 2.61 4.01 1.33
Degerfors Kalmar 0.81 1.80 2.26 5.10 1.24

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Brommapojkarna Djurgården 26.1 39.1 24.4
AIK IFK Göteborg 30.4 26.1 19.6
Sirius Elfsborg 47.8 30.4 33.0
Västerås SK Mjällby 52.2 39.1 42.9
Malmö FF Häcken 43.5 39.1 37.3
Örgryte GAIS 39.1 21.7 20.8
Halmstad Hammarby 21.7 47.8 24.8
Degerfors Kalmar 30.4 47.8 33.0

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Brommapojkarna Djurgården 9.96 1.89 2.12
AIK IFK Göteborg 11.41 1.46 3.18
Sirius Elfsborg 10.56 1.68 2.48
Västerås SK Mjällby 9.49 2.12 1.89
Malmö FF Häcken 9.77 1.98 2.02
Örgryte GAIS 8.69 2.67 1.60
Halmstad Hammarby 10.68 1.64 2.57
Degerfors Kalmar 10.14 1.82 2.22

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Sirius 2.27 1.36 2.33 1.08
Hammarby 2.83 0.58 1.36 1.27
Djurgården 2.50 1.17 1.64 0.64
Häcken 1.75 1.50 1.91 1.09
Malmö FF 2.08 1.67 1.18 1.18
AIK 1.55 2.27 1.58 1.25
Brommapojkarna 1.36 1.18 1.75 2.33
Elfsborg 1.75 0.75 1.27 1.18
Västerås SK 1.55 1.18 1.42 1.92
IFK Göteborg 1.33 1.08 1.45 2.55
GAIS 1.33 0.42 1.09 1.45
Mjällby 1.00 1.58 1.45 1.82
Örgryte 1.55 1.82 0.67 2.67
Kalmar 1.27 1.55 0.58 1.67
Degerfors 1.00 1.36 0.75 1.67
Halmstad 0.82 1.64 0.58 2.17

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-16 Allsvenskan Brommapojkarna Djurgården 1 1 10.8
2026-10-17 Allsvenskan AIK IFK Göteborg 1 1 12.1
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Sirius Elfsborg 1 1 11.1
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Västerås SK Mjällby 1 1 14.6
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Malmö FF Häcken 1 1 12.3
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Örgryte GAIS 1 1 12.0
2026-10-18 Allsvenskan Halmstad Hammarby 1 1 11.9
2026-10-19 Allsvenskan Degerfors Kalmar 1 1 15.0


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