AI Football Tips: Allsvenskan round 28

Sweden’s Allsvenskan accelerates into a pivotal penultimate stretch as Round 28 takes center stage from Friday, November 6 to Sunday, November 8, with the battle for the Lennart Johansson trophy and European qualification reaching an absolute fever pitch. The weekend ignites on Friday night in the capital as Hammarby IF welcome title contenders IF Elfsborg to an electric Tele2 Arena. Saturday keeps the tension mounting across the country with Degerfors IF fighting for critical points against GAIS at Stora Valla, while Örgryte IS square off against Västerås SK at Gamla Ullevi.

Sunday delivers the grandest fixture in Swedish football history, the legendary Mesta Mästarmötet, as archrivals IFK Göteborg and defending champions Malmö FF collide in front of a thunderous crowd. Sunday’s high-stakes schedule is rounded out by Halmstads BK battling Djurgårdens IF, Kalmar FF taking on IK Sirius at Guldfågeln Arena, and IF Brommapojkarna locking horns with Mjällby AIF. With title dreams and relegation survival on the line in these final matchdays, precision data is essential. Explore our advanced AI match predictions, probabilistic simulations, and comprehensive tactical analytics to stay ahead on every Swedish Allsvenskan fixture.

1X2 Match Projections

We let our algorithms crunch the numbers, dig into recent team stats, and do the heavy lifting so you don’t have to! Here is our 1X2 outlook for Allsvenskan at a glance.

Date Home Team Away Team 1X2 Pick
2026-11-06 Hammarby Elfsborg 1
2026-11-07 Degerfors GAIS 2
2026-11-07 Örgryte Västerås SK 2
2026-11-08 Halmstads BK Djurgården 2
2026-11-08 IFK Göteborg Malmö FF 1
2026-11-08 AIK Häcken X
2026-11-08 Brommapojkarna Mjällby 1
2026-11-08 Kalmar FF Sirius 2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-11-06 Hammarby Elfsborg 38 77 2.04 1.96
2026-11-07 Degerfors GAIS 38 46 2.08 1.93
2026-11-07 Örgryte Västerås SK 92 46 1.48 3.09
2026-11-08 Halmstad Djurgården 38 31 2.15 1.87
2026-11-08 IFK Göteborg Malmö FF 62 38 2.26 1.79
2026-11-08 AIK Häcken 62 31 1.61 2.63
2026-11-08 Brommapojkarna Mjällby 62 69 2.82 1.55
2026-11-08 Kalmar Sirius 38 54 2.85 1.54

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-11-06 Allsvenskan Hammarby Elfsborg 1.80 2.25
2026-11-07 Allsvenskan Degerfors GAIS 2.64 1.61
2026-11-07 Allsvenskan Örgryte Västerås SK 1.97 2.03
2026-11-08 Allsvenskan Halmstad Djurgården 3.77 1.36
2026-11-08 Allsvenskan IFK Göteborg Malmö FF 2.72 1.58
2026-11-08 Allsvenskan AIK Häcken 2.17 1.85
2026-11-08 Allsvenskan Brommapojkarna Mjällby 2.19 1.84
2026-11-08 Allsvenskan Kalmar Sirius 3.60 1.38

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Hammarby Elfsborg 1.76 1.21 5.84 1.90 2.11
Degerfors GAIS 1.29 1.38 3.62 2.71 1.58
Örgryte Västerås SK 2.01 1.15 7.46 1.68 2.48
Halmstad Djurgården 1.11 1.49 3.02 3.30 1.44
IFK Göteborg Malmö FF 1.05 1.54 2.86 3.53 1.40
AIK Häcken 1.36 1.34 3.92 2.53 1.66
Brommapojkarna Mjällby 1.06 1.53 2.89 3.49 1.40
Kalmar Sirius 1.32 1.36 3.74 2.63 1.61

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Hammarby Elfsborg 44.4 25.9 28.2
Degerfors GAIS 37.0 18.5 17.9
Örgryte Västerås SK 40.7 44.4 40.6
Halmstad Djurgården 22.2 44.4 24.8
IFK Göteborg Malmö FF 22.2 44.4 24.8
AIK Häcken 25.9 37.0 24.2
Brommapojkarna Mjällby 25.9 37.0 24.2
Kalmar Sirius 44.4 40.7 40.6

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Hammarby Elfsborg 10.65 1.65 2.54
Degerfors GAIS 9.88 1.93 2.08
Örgryte Västerås SK 8.86 2.53 1.65
Halmstad Djurgården 9.80 1.96 2.04
IFK Göteborg Malmö FF 11.24 1.49 3.02
AIK Häcken 11.14 1.52 2.93
Brommapojkarna Mjällby 9.75 1.99 2.01
Kalmar Sirius 11.92 1.36 3.74

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Sirius 2.14 1.36 2.15 1.15
Hammarby 2.77 0.54 1.43 1.07
Djurgården 2.43 1.21 1.62 0.62
Häcken 1.86 1.29 1.69 0.92
AIK 1.62 2.23 1.57 1.29
Malmö FF 1.86 1.64 1.23 1.00
Elfsborg 1.64 0.71 1.38 1.31
Västerås SK 1.43 1.07 1.54 1.77
Brommapojkarna 1.15 1.15 1.71 2.07
IFK Göteborg 1.31 1.08 1.36 2.29
GAIS 1.36 0.50 1.15 1.54
Örgryte 1.69 1.85 0.79 2.57
Mjällby 0.86 1.50 1.38 1.69
Kalmar 1.08 1.62 0.64 1.50
Degerfors 0.92 1.54 0.71 1.86
Halmstad 0.69 1.69 0.64 2.07

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-11-06 Allsvenskan Hammarby Elfsborg 1 1 13.6
2026-11-07 Allsvenskan Degerfors GAIS 1 1 13.4
2026-11-07 Allsvenskan Örgryte Västerås SK 1 1 9.5
2026-11-08 Allsvenskan Halmstad Djurgården 1 1 11.5
2026-11-08 Allsvenskan IFK Göteborg Malmö FF 1 1 14.7
2026-11-08 Allsvenskan AIK Häcken 1 1 11.2
2026-11-08 Allsvenskan Brommapojkarna Mjällby 1 1 14.9
2026-11-08 Allsvenskan Kalmar Sirius 0 1 14.1


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