AI Football Tips: Bundesliga round 9

The German Bundesliga returns for Matchday 9 from November 6 to 8, bringing an enthralling weekend of elite domestic football as the title race and European qualification battles heat up. The round opens with a traditional classic on Friday night as Hamburger SV welcome Borussia Mönchengladbach to the Volksparkstadion. Saturday’s packed afternoon slate features perennial champions FC Bayern München traveling to face 1. FSV Mainz 05, while Borussia Dortmund host surprise package SV Elversberg at Signal Iduna Park, RB Leipzig take on FC Augsburg, and SC Paderborn 07 clash with Eintracht Frankfurt, before VfB Stuttgart lock horns with SV Werder Bremen in a captivating evening encounter.

Sunday delivers maximum intensity headlined by a fierce Rhine derby as 1. FC Köln host local rivals and reigning powerhouse Bayer 04 Leverkusen at the RheinEnergieStadion. The weekend slate wraps up with Sport-Club Freiburg squaring off against 1. FC Union Berlin, followed by TSG Hoffenheim entertaining FC Schalke 04. With high-pressing tactical setups and dynamic attacking play setting the tone across Germany, precision data is essential. Unlock our comprehensive AI-driven forecasts, probabilistic match simulations, and advanced performance analytics to stay on top of every Bundesliga clash.

1X2 Match Projections

We let our algorithms crunch the numbers, dig into recent team stats, and do the heavy lifting so you don’t have to! Here is our 1X2 outlook for Bundesliga at a glance.

Date Home Team Away Team 1X2 Pick
2026-11-06 Hamburger SV Borussia M’gladbach 2
2026-11-07 RB Leipzig Augsburg 1
2026-11-07 Mainz 05 Bayern München 2
2026-11-07 Borussia Dortmund Elversberg 1
2026-11-07 Paderborn Eintracht Frankfurt 2
2026-11-07 Stuttgart Werder Bremen 2
2026-11-08 Köln Bayer Leverkusen 2
2026-11-08 Freiburg Union Berlin 1
2026-11-08 Hoffenheim Schalke 04 1

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Bundesliga round 9. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-11-06 Bundesliga Hamburger SV Borussia M’gladbach 0.5580 0.2906 0.1514 H -0.25
2026-11-07 Bundesliga RB Leipzig Augsburg 0.8576 0.1243 0.0180 H No bet
2026-11-07 Bundesliga Mainz 05 Bayern München 0.1883 0.3080 0.5037 A No bet
2026-11-07 Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund Elversberg 0.9627 0.0359 0.0013 H No bet
2026-11-07 Bundesliga Paderborn Eintracht Frankfurt 0.7046 0.2241 0.0713 H 0
2026-11-07 Bundesliga Stuttgart Werder Bremen 0.7415 0.2029 0.0555 H 1X2
2026-11-08 Bundesliga Köln Bayer Leverkusen 0.5144 0.3049 0.1807 H +0.5
2026-11-08 Bundesliga Freiburg Union Berlin 0.9560 0.0422 0.0019 H 1X2
2026-11-08 Bundesliga Hoffenheim Schalke 04 0.9680 0.0310 0.0010 H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-11-06 Hamburger SV Borussia M’gladbach 33 50 2.41 1.71
2026-11-07 RB Leipzig Augsburg 0 100 2.08 1.92
2026-11-07 Mainz 05 Bayern München 75 75 1.38 3.63
2026-11-07 Borussia Dortmund Elversberg 25 25 1.58 2.72
2026-11-07 Paderborn Eintracht Frankfurt 25 50 1.95 2.05
2026-11-07 Stuttgart Werder Bremen 67 100 1.62 2.61
2026-11-08 Köln Bayer Leverkusen 75 75 1.94 2.07
2026-11-08 Freiburg Union Berlin 75 33 1.55 2.81
2026-11-08 Hoffenheim Schalke 04 75 50 1.74 2.35

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-11-06 Bundesliga Hamburger SV Borussia M’gladbach 2.36 1.73
2026-11-07 Bundesliga RB Leipzig Augsburg 1.12 9.39
2026-11-07 Bundesliga Mainz 05 Bayern München 1.38 3.66
2026-11-07 Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund Elversberg 1.41 3.44
2026-11-07 Bundesliga Paderborn Eintracht Frankfurt 2.64 1.61
2026-11-07 Bundesliga Stuttgart Werder Bremen 1.65 2.53
2026-11-08 Bundesliga Köln Bayer Leverkusen 2.47 1.68
2026-11-08 Bundesliga Freiburg Union Berlin 1.34 3.95
2026-11-08 Bundesliga Hoffenheim Schalke 04 1.40 3.48

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Hamburger SV Borussia M’gladbach 1.43 1.32 4.17 2.39 1.72
RB Leipzig Augsburg 1.60 1.25 4.98 2.10 1.91
Mainz 05 Bayern München 2.05 1.15 7.74 1.65 2.54
Borussia Dortmund Elversberg 0.80 1.82 2.22 5.24 1.24
Paderborn Eintracht Frankfurt 1.30 1.37 3.67 2.68 1.60
Stuttgart Werder Bremen 1.29 1.38 3.62 2.71 1.58
Köln Bayer Leverkusen 1.23 1.42 3.40 2.89 1.53
Freiburg Union Berlin 1.47 1.30 4.35 2.31 1.76
Hoffenheim Schalke 04 1.09 1.51 2.98 3.36 1.42

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Hamburger SV Borussia M’gladbach 37.5 50.0 38.3
RB Leipzig Augsburg 37.5 37.5 30.3
Mainz 05 Bayern München 62.5 25.0 33.1
Borussia Dortmund Elversberg 25.0 50.0 27.5
Paderborn Eintracht Frankfurt 12.5 75.0 21.4
Stuttgart Werder Bremen 37.5 37.5 30.3
Köln Bayer Leverkusen 25.0 62.5 33.1
Freiburg Union Berlin 37.5 37.5 30.3
Hoffenheim Schalke 04 37.5 12.5 11.4

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Hamburger SV Borussia M’gladbach 10.78 1.61 2.64
RB Leipzig Augsburg 11.06 1.54 2.86
Mainz 05 Bayern München 11.28 1.49 3.06
Borussia Dortmund Elversberg 11.37 1.47 3.14
Paderborn Eintracht Frankfurt 10.33 1.75 2.33
Stuttgart Werder Bremen 11.98 1.36 3.82
Köln Bayer Leverkusen 10.67 1.64 2.56
Freiburg Union Berlin 9.65 2.04 1.97
Hoffenheim Schalke 04 10.86 1.59 2.70

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Bayern München 5.00 1.00 1.75 1.00
RB Leipzig 4.50 0.00 1.00 2.75
Augsburg 1.80 1.40 3.00 2.67
Freiburg 3.00 1.25 1.50 1.25
Bayer Leverkusen 2.50 1.25 2.00 2.75
Mainz 05 1.50 2.50 2.75 1.75
Werder Bremen 2.50 1.25 1.75 2.25
Elversberg 3.00 2.00 1.00 2.00
Borussia Dortmund 2.00 0.50 1.50 1.00
Stuttgart 2.00 1.67 1.60 2.00
Hoffenheim 2.25 1.75 1.25 2.25
Eintracht Frankfurt 1.75 1.75 1.50 2.75
Borussia M’gladbach 1.75 2.50 1.00 3.00
Köln 1.50 1.00 0.75 2.00
Hamburger SV 1.00 2.00 0.80 2.60
Union Berlin 1.20 1.40 0.33 4.00
Paderborn 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.25
Schalke 04 0.00 0.75 1.00 1.50

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-11-06 Bundesliga Hamburger SV Borussia M’gladbach 1 1 14.3
2026-11-07 Bundesliga RB Leipzig Augsburg 2 1 9.1
2026-11-07 Bundesliga Mainz 05 Bayern München 2 2 7.2
2026-11-07 Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund Elversberg 1 1 14.6
2026-11-07 Bundesliga Paderborn Eintracht Frankfurt 1 1 12.9
2026-11-07 Bundesliga Stuttgart Werder Bremen 1 1 12.0
2026-11-08 Bundesliga Köln Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 12.4
2026-11-08 Bundesliga Freiburg Union Berlin 0 0 23.8
2026-11-08 Bundesliga Hoffenheim Schalke 04 1 1 13.9


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