The bitter Scandinavian chill tightens its grip across Sweden as the Superettan enters a nail-biting, decisive Round 28 over the weekend of October 23–25. With only three fixtures remaining in the 2026 campaign, the championship battle, the fight for automatic promotion to the Allsvenskan, and the desperate scrap against relegation to Ettan have reached their absolute climax. There is zero margin for error left, turning every single tackle and goal into an all-or-nothing affair.
Saturday’s action delivers immense drama, headlined by title contenders Östers IF navigating a treacherous away test against a resilient IK Brage, while IFK Värnamo battles Sandvikens IF in a high-stakes encounter, and Östersunds FK takes on Nordic United FC. On Sunday, historic giants Helsingborgs IF face a vital home test against Ljungskile SK, alongside Norrby IF meeting IFK Norrköping, following Friday’s curtain-raiser between IK Oddevold and GIF Sundsvall. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter in this thrilling Superettan round.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Superettan round 28. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | P(H) | P(D) | P(A) | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Superettan | Oddevold | GIF Sundsvall | 0.6586 | 0.2480 | 0.0934 | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-24 | Superettan | Värnamo | Sandviken | 0.3798 | 0.3313 | 0.2889 | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-24 | Superettan | Östersunds FK | United Nordic | 0.5245 | 0.3018 | 0.1737 | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-24 | Superettan | Brage | Öster | 0.4562 | 0.3197 | 0.2241 | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Superettan | Norrby | Norrköping | 0.2627 | 0.3279 | 0.4093 | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Superettan | Helsingborg | Ljungskile | 0.3424 | 0.3333 | 0.3244 | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-26 | Superettan | Örebro | Falkenberg | 0.4144 | 0.3272 | 0.2583 | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-27 | Superettan | Landskrona | Varberg | 0.4770 | 0.3150 | 0.2080 | H | 1X2 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Oddevold | GIF Sundsvall | 67 | 15 | 4.25 | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-24 | Värnamo | Sandviken | 67 | 62 | 1.72 | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-24 | Östersunds FK | United Nordic | 50 | 58 | 1.71 | 2.42 |
| 2026-10-24 | Brage | Öster | 77 | 69 | 1.61 | 2.65 |
| 2026-10-25 | Norrby | Norrköping | 69 | 46 | 1.27 | 4.68 |
| 2026-10-25 | Helsingborg | Ljungskile | 62 | 69 | 1.36 | 3.77 |
| 2026-10-26 | Örebro | Falkenberg | 58 | 92 | 1.30 | 4.28 |
| 2026-10-27 | Landskrona | Varberg | 62 | 64 | 1.67 | 2.49 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Superettan | Oddevold | GIF Sundsvall | 2.38 | 1.72 |
| 2026-10-24 | Superettan | Värnamo | Sandviken | 2.24 | 1.81 |
| 2026-10-24 | Superettan | Östersunds FK | United Nordic | 1.79 | 2.26 |
| 2026-10-24 | Superettan | Brage | Öster | 2.05 | 1.95 |
| 2026-10-25 | Superettan | Norrby | Norrköping | 1.91 | 2.10 |
| 2026-10-25 | Superettan | Helsingborg | Ljungskile | 2.02 | 1.98 |
| 2026-10-26 | Superettan | Örebro | Falkenberg | 1.60 | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-27 | Superettan | Landskrona | Varberg | 1.73 | 2.36 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddevold | GIF Sundsvall | 1.69 | 1.23 | 5.41 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| Värnamo | Sandviken | 1.19 | 1.44 | 3.28 | 3.01 | 1.50 |
| Östersunds FK | United Nordic | 0.64 | 2.10 | 1.91 | 7.31 | 1.16 |
| Brage | Öster | 1.65 | 1.24 | 5.19 | 2.04 | 1.96 |
| Norrby | Norrköping | 1.25 | 1.40 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 1.55 |
| Helsingborg | Ljungskile | 1.05 | 1.54 | 2.87 | 3.53 | 1.40 |
| Örebro | Falkenberg | 1.05 | 1.54 | 2.85 | 3.56 | 1.39 |
| Landskrona | Varberg | 1.19 | 1.44 | 3.28 | 3.00 | 1.50 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddevold | GIF Sundsvall | 42.3 | 34.6 | 34.0 |
| Värnamo | Sandviken | 32.0 | 38.5 | 29.5 |
| Östersunds FK | United Nordic | 25.0 | 28.0 | 18.0 |
| Brage | Öster | 38.5 | 30.8 | 28.5 |
| Norrby | Norrköping | 44.4 | 29.6 | 31.2 |
| Helsingborg | Ljungskile | 40.7 | 25.9 | 25.9 |
| Örebro | Falkenberg | 28.0 | 42.3 | 28.5 |
| Landskrona | Varberg | 42.3 | 40.0 | 38.1 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddevold | GIF Sundsvall | 9.65 | 2.03 | 1.97 |
| Värnamo | Sandviken | 10.74 | 1.62 | 2.61 |
| Östersunds FK | United Nordic | 10.73 | 1.62 | 2.60 |
| Brage | Öster | 11.29 | 1.48 | 3.07 |
| Norrby | Norrköping | 12.19 | 1.32 | 4.08 |
| Helsingborg | Ljungskile | 10.68 | 1.64 | 2.57 |
| Örebro | Falkenberg | 8.91 | 2.49 | 1.67 |
| Landskrona | Varberg | 10.54 | 1.68 | 2.47 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falkenberg | 1.85 | 1.23 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
| Norrköping | 2.14 | 0.71 | 1.85 | 0.62 |
| Varberg | 1.64 | 1.14 | 1.82 | 1.36 |
| Landskrona | 1.54 | 1.08 | 1.85 | 1.31 |
| Sandviken | 2.08 | 1.54 | 1.23 | 1.38 |
| Brage | 1.92 | 1.92 | 1.23 | 1.92 |
| Öster | 1.62 | 1.31 | 1.54 | 1.85 |
| Oddevold | 1.58 | 1.25 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| United Nordic | 1.77 | 1.69 | 1.08 | 1.17 |
| Östersunds FK | 1.42 | 0.92 | 1.33 | 1.08 |
| Helsingborg | 1.46 | 1.54 | 1.21 | 1.93 |
| Ljungskile | 1.29 | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Värnamo | 1.25 | 1.50 | 1.23 | 2.08 |
| Norrby | 1.54 | 1.46 | 0.79 | 1.29 |
| Örebro | 0.75 | 1.25 | 1.46 | 2.00 |
| GIF Sundsvall | 0.85 | 2.08 | 0.38 | 2.23 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Superettan | Oddevold | GIF Sundsvall | 1 | 1 | 13.7 |
| 2026-10-24 | Superettan | Värnamo | Sandviken | 1 | 1 | 14.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | Superettan | Östersunds FK | United Nordic | 1 | 1 | 10.4 |
| 2026-10-24 | Superettan | Brage | Öster | 1 | 1 | 13.2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Superettan | Norrby | Norrköping | 1 | 1 | 13.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | Superettan | Helsingborg | Ljungskile | 1 | 1 | 13.0 |
| 2026-10-26 | Superettan | Örebro | Falkenberg | 1 | 1 | 12.4 |
| 2026-10-27 | Superettan | Landskrona | Varberg | 1 | 1 | 12.0 |


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