The breathless intensity, unrelenting drama, and tactical warfare of England’s second tier take center stage once again as the EFL Championship dives into an explosive Matchday 11 on Saturday, October 17. With the autumn schedule in full flow, the marathon race for automatic promotion to the Premier League and coveted playoff berths is tightening dramatically. The margin between glory and heartbreak remains razor-thin across the division, forcing contenders and underdogs alike to leave everything on the pitch in one of world football’s most competitive leagues.
Saturday’s afternoon schedule is highlighted by a heavyweight battle in South Wales, where Swansea City welcomes West Ham United in a high-stakes test of promotional credentials, alongside a fiery Midlands clash at Pride Park between Derby County and Stoke City. Meanwhile, Ashton Gate hosts a massive duel as Bristol City locks horns with Sheffield United, while Southampton meets Bolton Wanderers at St Mary’s and West Bromwich Albion battles Blackburn Rovers. The drama is further amplified as Wrexham hosts Preston North End at the Racecourse Ground, following early televised clashes featuring Middlesbrough against Cardiff City and Watford taking on Charlton Athletic. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every electrifying encounter across this premier Championship round.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL Championship round 10. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Bristol City | Blackburn Rovers | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Bolton Wanderers | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Burnley | Charlton Athletic | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Cardiff City | Watford | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Millwall | Swansea City | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Wrexham | West Bromwich Albion | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Birmingham City | Preston North End | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Stoke City | Middlesbrough | H | +0.25 |
| 2026-10-14 | EFL Championship | Queens Park Rangers | Derby County | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-14 | EFL Championship | Norwich City | Southampton | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-14 | EFL Championship | Portsmouth | Sheffield United | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-14 | EFL Championship | Lincoln City | West Ham United | H | +0.5 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Bristol City | Blackburn Rovers | 25 | 75 | 1.54 | 2.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Bolton Wanderers | 67 | 50 | 1.37 | 3.67 |
| 2026-10-13 | Burnley | Charlton Athletic | 100 | 75 | 1.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-10-13 | Cardiff City | Watford | 100 | 25 | 1.32 | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-13 | Millwall | Swansea City | 25 | 75 | 1.61 | 2.64 |
| 2026-10-13 | Wrexham | West Bromwich Albion | 100 | 50 | 1.72 | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | Birmingham City | Preston North End | 100 | 75 | 1.60 | 2.68 |
| 2026-10-13 | Stoke City | Middlesbrough | 50 | 75 | 1.74 | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-14 | Queens Park Rangers | Derby County | 50 | 50 | 1.39 | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-14 | Norwich City | Southampton | 100 | 100 | 1.54 | 2.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | Portsmouth | Sheffield United | 50 | 75 | 1.58 | 2.73 |
| 2026-10-14 | Lincoln City | West Ham United | 75 | 100 | 1.89 | 2.13 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Bristol City | Blackburn Rovers | 1.77 | 2.30 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Bolton Wanderers | 1.79 | 2.26 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Burnley | Charlton Athletic | 1.65 | 2.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Cardiff City | Watford | 1.45 | 3.24 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Millwall | Swansea City | 1.64 | 2.56 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Wrexham | West Bromwich Albion | 1.52 | 2.94 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Birmingham City | Preston North End | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Stoke City | Middlesbrough | 1.51 | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-14 | EFL Championship | Queens Park Rangers | Derby County | 1.67 | 2.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | EFL Championship | Norwich City | Southampton | 1.58 | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-14 | EFL Championship | Portsmouth | Sheffield United | 1.71 | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-14 | EFL Championship | Lincoln City | West Ham United | 1.85 | 2.18 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | Blackburn Rovers | 1.22 | 1.42 | 3.40 | 2.89 | 1.53 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Bolton Wanderers | 1.69 | 1.23 | 5.39 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| Burnley | Charlton Athletic | 1.23 | 1.41 | 3.41 | 2.88 | 1.53 |
| Cardiff City | Watford | 1.90 | 1.18 | 6.70 | 1.76 | 2.31 |
| Millwall | Swansea City | 1.39 | 1.33 | 4.01 | 2.47 | 1.68 |
| Wrexham | West Bromwich Albion | 0.86 | 1.73 | 2.37 | 4.68 | 1.27 |
| Birmingham City | Preston North End | 1.67 | 1.23 | 5.31 | 2.01 | 1.99 |
| Stoke City | Middlesbrough | 1.09 | 1.50 | 2.98 | 3.35 | 1.43 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Derby County | 1.12 | 1.49 | 3.06 | 3.25 | 1.44 |
| Norwich City | Southampton | 2.00 | 1.16 | 7.41 | 1.68 | 2.47 |
| Portsmouth | Sheffield United | 1.80 | 1.20 | 6.06 | 1.86 | 2.16 |
| Lincoln City | West Ham United | 1.88 | 1.18 | 6.56 | 1.78 | 2.28 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | Blackburn Rovers | 22.2 | 33.3 | 17.2 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Bolton Wanderers | 37.5 | 44.4 | 34.6 |
| Burnley | Charlton Athletic | 55.6 | 44.4 | 46.7 |
| Cardiff City | Watford | 33.3 | 55.6 | 37.6 |
| Millwall | Swansea City | 22.2 | 55.6 | 27.0 |
| Wrexham | West Bromwich Albion | 44.4 | 11.1 | 11.8 |
| Birmingham City | Preston North End | 22.2 | 66.7 | 31.4 |
| Stoke City | Middlesbrough | 55.6 | 44.4 | 46.7 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Derby County | 22.2 | 33.3 | 17.2 |
| Norwich City | Southampton | 55.6 | 44.4 | 46.7 |
| Portsmouth | Sheffield United | 37.5 | 33.3 | 27.3 |
| Lincoln City | West Ham United | 22.2 | 44.4 | 22.2 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | Blackburn Rovers | 12.76 | 1.25 | 4.97 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Bolton Wanderers | 10.38 | 1.73 | 2.37 |
| Burnley | Charlton Athletic | 9.79 | 1.97 | 2.03 |
| Cardiff City | Watford | 10.87 | 1.58 | 2.71 |
| Millwall | Swansea City | 9.59 | 2.06 | 1.94 |
| Wrexham | West Bromwich Albion | 10.89 | 1.58 | 2.72 |
| Birmingham City | Preston North End | 9.74 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| Stoke City | Middlesbrough | 9.58 | 2.07 | 1.94 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Derby County | 11.21 | 1.50 | 2.99 |
| Norwich City | Southampton | 9.13 | 2.33 | 1.75 |
| Portsmouth | Sheffield United | 11.75 | 1.39 | 3.54 |
| Lincoln City | West Ham United | 9.92 | 1.91 | 2.10 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham United | 3.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Southampton | 3.20 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Middlesbrough | 2.40 | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Norwich City | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2.33 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Millwall | 2.25 | 1.25 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Swansea City | 1.40 | 0.40 | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Stoke City | 2.00 | 0.75 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Blackburn Rovers | 1.80 | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Birmingham City | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Burnley | 1.25 | 1.50 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Bolton Wanderers | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Bristol City | 0.75 | 1.00 | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Sheffield United | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Cardiff City | 1.75 | 1.25 | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Queens Park Rangers | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Portsmouth | 1.25 | 1.75 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| West Bromwich Albion | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Wrexham | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Preston North End | 0.80 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Derby County | 0.80 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Charlton Athletic | 0.80 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Lincoln City | 0.75 | 1.50 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Watford | 1.20 | 1.80 | 0.25 | 1.25 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Bristol City | Blackburn Rovers | 1 | 1 | 13.7 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Bolton Wanderers | 1 | 1 | 11.3 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Burnley | Charlton Athletic | 1 | 1 | 13.4 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Cardiff City | Watford | 1 | 1 | 13.0 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Millwall | Swansea City | 1 | 1 | 11.6 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Wrexham | West Bromwich Albion | 1 | 1 | 14.1 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Birmingham City | Preston North End | 0 | 1 | 13.8 |
| 2026-10-13 | EFL Championship | Stoke City | Middlesbrough | 1 | 1 | 11.8 |
| 2026-10-14 | EFL Championship | Queens Park Rangers | Derby County | 1 | 1 | 14.5 |
| 2026-10-14 | EFL Championship | Norwich City | Southampton | 1 | 1 | 11.5 |
| 2026-10-14 | EFL Championship | Portsmouth | Sheffield United | 1 | 1 | 13.4 |
| 2026-10-14 | EFL Championship | Lincoln City | West Ham United | 1 | 1 | 13.2 |


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