English Football

AI Football Tips: EFL League One round 11

The ferocious competition, rich tradition, and relentless drama of English football return to center stage as EFL League One unleashes a blockbuster Saturday of action on October 17. With the 2026/27 campaign entering the thick of the autumn grind, the battle for automatic promotion to the Championship and the coveted playoff places is heating up dramatically. Historic giants and ambitious contenders are scrapping for every single point, fully aware that building momentum now is vital to surviving one of the most demanding divisions in the sport.

Saturday’s schedule ignites with a fiery lunchtime clash broadcast to the nation, as Milton Keynes Dons hosts regional rivals Luton Town in an emotionally charged encounter. The 3:00 PM kickoffs promise even more theater, headlined by a heavyweight showdown at Home Park where Plymouth Argyle welcomes Huddersfield Town, while Wigan Athletic goes head-to-head with Reading in a battle of former top-flight regulars. Meanwhile, historic Hillsborough will be rocking as Sheffield Wednesday battles AFC Wimbledon, alongside Leyton Orient meeting Blackpool and Peterborough United taking on Burton Albion. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every electrifying clash in this thrilling League One round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL League One round 11. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-10-15 EFL League One Mansfield Town Oxford United H -0.25
2026-10-17 EFL League One Peterborough United Burton Albion H 1X2
2026-10-17 EFL League One Milton Keynes Dons Luton Town A 1X2
2026-10-17 EFL League One Barnsley Cambridge United H -0.25
2026-10-17 EFL League One Leyton Orient Blackpool H -0.25
2026-10-17 EFL League One Bradford City Stevenage H 1X2
2026-10-17 EFL League One Stockport County Bromley H No bet
2026-10-17 EFL League One Leicester City Doncaster Rovers H 1X2
2026-10-17 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle Huddersfield Town H 0
2026-10-17 EFL League One Wycombe Wanderers Notts County H 1X2
2026-10-17 EFL League One Wigan Athletic Reading A 1X2
2026-10-17 EFL League One Sheffield Wednesday AFC Wimbledon H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-15 Mansfield Town Oxford United 75 75 1.64 2.56
2026-10-17 Peterborough United Burton Albion 50 40 2.07 1.93
2026-10-17 Milton Keynes Dons Luton Town 75 100 2.05 1.95
2026-10-17 Barnsley Cambridge United 75 100 1.87 2.15
2026-10-17 Leyton Orient Blackpool 60 75 2.32 1.76
2026-10-17 Bradford City Stevenage 25 50 1.67 2.49
2026-10-17 Stockport County Bromley 80 75 2.45 1.69
2026-10-17 Leicester City Doncaster Rovers 50 50 2.08 1.93
2026-10-17 Plymouth Argyle Huddersfield Town 40 80 1.50 3.01
2026-10-17 Wycombe Wanderers Notts County 100 75 1.95 2.06
2026-10-17 Wigan Athletic Reading 25 75 2.47 1.68
2026-10-17 Sheffield Wednesday AFC Wimbledon 25 60 1.30 4.32

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-15 EFL League One Mansfield Town Oxford United 2.07 1.93
2026-10-17 EFL League One Peterborough United Burton Albion 1.93 2.08
2026-10-17 EFL League One Milton Keynes Dons Luton Town 2.02 1.98
2026-10-17 EFL League One Barnsley Cambridge United 1.68 2.48
2026-10-17 EFL League One Leyton Orient Blackpool 1.83 2.21
2026-10-17 EFL League One Bradford City Stevenage 1.84 2.19
2026-10-17 EFL League One Stockport County Bromley 2.05 1.95
2026-10-17 EFL League One Leicester City Doncaster Rovers 1.75 2.34
2026-10-17 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle Huddersfield Town 1.61 2.65
2026-10-17 EFL League One Wycombe Wanderers Notts County 1.86 2.16
2026-10-17 EFL League One Wigan Athletic Reading 1.61 2.65
2026-10-17 EFL League One Sheffield Wednesday AFC Wimbledon 1.67 2.49

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Mansfield Town Oxford United 0.87 1.72 2.40 4.58 1.28
Peterborough United Burton Albion 0.76 1.88 2.13 5.69 1.21
Milton Keynes Dons Luton Town 1.44 1.31 4.21 2.37 1.73
Barnsley Cambridge United 0.92 1.67 2.50 4.28 1.30
Leyton Orient Blackpool 0.80 1.81 2.23 5.19 1.24
Bradford City Stevenage 0.60 2.21 1.82 8.17 1.14
Stockport County Bromley 1.97 1.16 7.20 1.70 2.42
Leicester City Doncaster Rovers 1.72 1.22 5.58 1.95 2.05
Plymouth Argyle Huddersfield Town 1.35 1.35 3.86 2.55 1.64
Wycombe Wanderers Notts County 1.37 1.34 3.92 2.52 1.66
Wigan Athletic Reading 0.95 1.63 2.58 4.08 1.32
Sheffield Wednesday AFC Wimbledon 1.09 1.50 2.99 3.34 1.43

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Mansfield Town Oxford United 0.0 28.6 0.0
Peterborough United Burton Albion 22.2 10.0 7.5
Milton Keynes Dons Luton Town 25.0 25.0 19.7
Barnsley Cambridge United 50.0 22.2 32.3
Leyton Orient Blackpool 33.3 37.5 35.6
Bradford City Stevenage 22.2 0.0 0.0
Stockport County Bromley 44.4 50.0 54.2
Leicester City Doncaster Rovers 62.5 12.5 24.0
Plymouth Argyle Huddersfield Town 20.0 44.4 26.8
Wycombe Wanderers Notts County 44.4 12.5 17.7
Wigan Athletic Reading 37.5 33.3 35.6
Sheffield Wednesday AFC Wimbledon 25.0 22.2 17.7

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Mansfield Town Oxford United 9.34 2.20 1.83
Peterborough United Burton Albion 9.42 2.15 1.87
Milton Keynes Dons Luton Town 9.81 1.96 2.04
Barnsley Cambridge United 12.13 1.33 4.00
Leyton Orient Blackpool 12.95 1.23 5.32
Bradford City Stevenage 9.80 1.96 2.04
Stockport County Bromley 12.32 1.31 4.27
Leicester City Doncaster Rovers 13.23 1.20 5.90
Plymouth Argyle Huddersfield Town 11.17 1.51 2.96
Wycombe Wanderers Notts County 10.49 1.70 2.43
Wigan Athletic Reading 9.87 1.93 2.07
Sheffield Wednesday AFC Wimbledon 10.80 1.60 2.66

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Reading 2.80 1.20 2.00 1.25
Stockport County 2.60 1.60 1.75 0.75
Oxford United 2.00 1.00 2.25 1.25
Luton Town 1.25 1.00 2.75 2.75
Sheffield Wednesday 1.75 0.75 2.00 1.25
Plymouth Argyle 1.60 1.00 2.00 1.40
Huddersfield Town 2.25 1.00 1.40 1.00
Blackpool 2.25 1.75 1.00 1.75
Wycombe Wanderers 1.60 2.40 1.50 2.00
Cambridge United 1.60 1.20 1.50 1.25
Stevenage 1.50 1.25 1.50 0.75
Mansfield Town 2.25 1.00 0.75 2.50
Leyton Orient 1.00 2.00 2.00 0.25
Burton Albion 2.00 1.80 0.80 1.40
Leicester City 1.00 2.25 1.50 1.25
Milton Keynes Dons 0.75 1.75 1.50 2.00
Doncaster Rovers 1.00 1.00 1.25 1.25
Bromley 0.75 2.25 1.50 2.75
Barnsley 1.00 2.00 1.00 1.75
Notts County 1.00 1.25 1.00 1.50
Bradford City 1.00 0.50 0.80 0.60
Peterborough United 0.75 1.25 0.80 1.80
AFC Wimbledon 0.50 0.00 1.00 2.00
Wigan Athletic 0.75 2.00 0.50 1.25

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-15 EFL League One Mansfield Town Oxford United 1 1 14.9
2026-10-17 EFL League One Peterborough United Burton Albion 1 1 12.6
2026-10-17 EFL League One Milton Keynes Dons Luton Town 1 0 15.5
2026-10-17 EFL League One Barnsley Cambridge United 1 1 13.7
2026-10-17 EFL League One Leyton Orient Blackpool 1 1 10.9
2026-10-17 EFL League One Bradford City Stevenage 0 1 15.2
2026-10-17 EFL League One Stockport County Bromley 1 1 15.0
2026-10-17 EFL League One Leicester City Doncaster Rovers 1 1 12.0
2026-10-17 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle Huddersfield Town 1 1 12.8
2026-10-17 EFL League One Wycombe Wanderers Notts County 1 1 13.1
2026-10-17 EFL League One Wigan Athletic Reading 1 1 13.1
2026-10-17 EFL League One Sheffield Wednesday AFC Wimbledon 1 2 10.0


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