AI Football Tips: Eliteserien round 24

As the brisk Scandinavian chill tightens its grip across Norway, the high-stakes drama of the Eliteserien intensifies with a crucial Round 24 scheduled across the weekend of October 17–18. With the 2026 season rapidly approaching its November conclusion, the championship battle, the fight for European qualification, and the desperate scrap against relegation have reached a critical juncture. There is no longer any room for error, and every point earned or squandered could define a club’s destiny.

Saturday’s action is headlined by reigning forces and title chasers Bodø/Glimt making a testing road trip to face a resilient HamKam side. Later that evening, fireworks are expected at the Lyse Arena as high-flying Viking FK clashes with a stubborn Fredrikstad FK. The drama carries seamlessly into Sunday, featuring historic giants Rosenborg BK looking for a vital away victory against Sarpsborg 08, while Sandefjord Fotball locks horns with Lillestrøm SK in a gritty survival showdown. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought battle across this thrilling Eliteserien weekend.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Eliteserien round 24. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-10-17 Eliteserien HamKam FK Bodo – Glimt A No bet
2026-10-17 Eliteserien Kristiansund Aalesund H -0.25
2026-10-17 Eliteserien Viking Fredrikstad H No bet
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg H 0
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Molde Start H No bet
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Sandefjord Lillestrøm H 0
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Vålerenga Brann H 0
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Tromsø KFUM H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-17 HamKam FK Bodo – Glimt 70 55 1.45 3.24
2026-10-17 Kristiansund Aalesund 60 80 1.59 2.69
2026-10-17 Viking Fredrikstad 70 55 1.66 2.52
2026-10-18 Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg 70 30 1.32 4.15
2026-10-18 Molde Start 64 64 1.40 3.51
2026-10-18 Sandefjord Lillestrøm 27 27 2.01 1.99
2026-10-18 Vålerenga Brann 64 70 1.63 2.58
2026-10-18 Tromsø KFUM 27 70 1.49 3.04

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-17 Eliteserien HamKam FK Bodo – Glimt 1.63 2.60
2026-10-17 Eliteserien Kristiansund Aalesund 1.49 3.04
2026-10-17 Eliteserien Viking Fredrikstad 1.24 5.19
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg 1.59 2.70
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Molde Start 1.24 5.15
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Sandefjord Lillestrøm 2.01 1.99
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Vålerenga Brann 1.59 2.70
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Tromsø KFUM 1.50 3.00

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
HamKam FK Bodo – Glimt 1.21 1.42 3.36 2.92 1.52
Kristiansund Aalesund 1.55 1.27 4.69 2.19 1.84
Viking Fredrikstad 1.66 1.23 5.26 2.02 1.98
Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg 1.72 1.22 5.57 1.95 2.05
Molde Start 1.29 1.38 3.65 2.70 1.59
Sandefjord Lillestrøm 0.76 1.88 2.13 5.69 1.21
Vålerenga Brann 1.51 1.28 4.54 2.24 1.81
Tromsø KFUM 1.78 1.20 5.92 1.88 2.13

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
HamKam FK Bodo – Glimt 22.7 13.6 7.6
Kristiansund Aalesund 36.4 54.5 39.7
Viking Fredrikstad 63.6 31.8 40.3
Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg 22.7 54.5 27.1
Molde Start 50.0 31.8 33.4
Sandefjord Lillestrøm 36.4 45.5 34.4
Vålerenga Brann 40.9 45.5 37.8
Tromsø KFUM 31.8 45.5 30.9

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
HamKam FK Bodo – Glimt 9.79 1.97 2.03
Kristiansund Aalesund 11.65 1.41 3.43
Viking Fredrikstad 12.78 1.25 5.01
Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg 11.16 1.51 2.95
Molde Start 9.94 1.90 2.11
Sandefjord Lillestrøm 10.35 1.74 2.35
Vålerenga Brann 11.88 1.37 3.69
Tromsø KFUM 10.17 1.81 2.24

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
FK Bodo – Glimt 3.09 0.64 2.00 1.18
Viking 3.80 1.00 1.50 0.83
Molde 2.18 1.18 2.00 1.91
Tromsø 1.91 0.82 1.82 1.91
Rosenborg 2.33 1.17 1.20 1.70
Brann 1.67 1.50 1.90 1.60
Aalesund 2.00 2.50 1.10 2.00
Vålerenga 1.82 1.73 1.36 2.36
HamKam 1.70 1.90 1.33 2.25
Lillestrøm 1.73 1.55 1.00 1.27
Sarpsborg 08 1.20 1.20 1.33 1.58
KFUM 1.25 1.17 1.20 2.20
Fredrikstad 1.27 1.09 1.09 1.91
Start 1.27 1.73 0.91 2.64
Kristiansund 1.30 1.40 0.75 2.42
Sandefjord 0.91 0.91 1.09 1.64

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-17 Eliteserien HamKam FK Bodo – Glimt 2 0 10.8
2026-10-17 Eliteserien Kristiansund Aalesund 1 1 12.9
2026-10-17 Eliteserien Viking Fredrikstad 1 2 8.3
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg 1 1 11.4
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Molde Start 1 2 9.1
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Sandefjord Lillestrøm 1 1 14.8
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Vålerenga Brann 1 1 10.3
2026-10-18 Eliteserien Tromsø KFUM 0 2 11.3


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