English Football

AI Football Tips: EFL League One round 10

While the international break pauses much of the footballing calendar, the relentless action of EFL League One pushes forward with a highly anticipated, albeit reduced, slate of fixtures this Saturday, October 10. For the clubs taking the pitch this weekend, the stakes remain incredibly high. The absence of a full schedule offers a golden opportunity for these teams to gain vital ground in the grueling 2026/27 promotion race, meaning every tackle and every goal could make a massive difference in the standings.

This Saturday’s spotlight shines brightly on a pair of compelling lunchtime kickoffs that promise plenty of drama. Notts County will be desperate to secure all three points as they welcome a dangerous Oxford United side to Meadow Lane in what is sure to be a fiery encounter. Simultaneously on the south coast, Plymouth Argyle will look to thrill the Home Park faithful as they square off against a resolute AFC Wimbledon. With the spotlight entirely on these crucial matchups, fans can expect fierce, uncompromising football. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for these monumental League One clashes.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL League One round 10. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-10-10 EFL League One Notts County Oxford United H 0
2026-10-10 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle AFC Wimbledon H 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League One Stockport County Barnsley H No bet
2026-10-10 EFL League One Cambridge United Blackpool H 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League One Bradford City Leyton Orient H 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League One Mansfield Town Bromley H 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League One Doncaster Rovers Burton Albion H 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League One Huddersfield Town Sheffield Wednesday H 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League One Leicester City Peterborough United H 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League One Wycombe Wanderers Luton Town A 0
2026-10-10 EFL League One Milton Keynes Dons Reading A -0.25
2026-10-10 EFL League One Stevenage Wigan Athletic A +0.25

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-10 Notts County Oxford United 67 67 1.77 2.31
2026-10-10 Plymouth Argyle AFC Wimbledon 25 50 1.66 2.51
2026-10-10 Stockport County Barnsley 75 33 1.98 2.02
2026-10-10 Cambridge United Blackpool 100 100 1.64 2.56
2026-10-10 Bradford City Leyton Orient 33 33 1.64 2.57
2026-10-10 Mansfield Town Bromley 67 67 2.78 1.56
2026-10-10 Doncaster Rovers Burton Albion 67 50 1.89 2.13
2026-10-10 Huddersfield Town Sheffield Wednesday 67 100 1.44 3.28
2026-10-10 Leicester City Peterborough United 33 25 1.95 2.05
2026-10-10 Wycombe Wanderers Luton Town 100 100 2.51 1.66
2026-10-10 Milton Keynes Dons Reading 67 67 1.38 3.66
2026-10-10 Stevenage Wigan Athletic 100 33 2.37 1.73

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-10 EFL League One Notts County Oxford United 2.20 1.83
2026-10-10 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle AFC Wimbledon 1.97 2.03
2026-10-10 EFL League One Stockport County Barnsley 1.88 2.13
2026-10-10 EFL League One Cambridge United Blackpool 2.14 1.88
2026-10-10 EFL League One Bradford City Leyton Orient 2.21 1.82
2026-10-10 EFL League One Mansfield Town Bromley 2.74 1.57
2026-10-10 EFL League One Doncaster Rovers Burton Albion 1.78 2.29
2026-10-10 EFL League One Huddersfield Town Sheffield Wednesday 1.93 2.08
2026-10-10 EFL League One Leicester City Peterborough United 1.58 2.74
2026-10-10 EFL League One Wycombe Wanderers Luton Town 3.34 1.43
2026-10-10 EFL League One Milton Keynes Dons Reading 1.53 2.89
2026-10-10 EFL League One Stevenage Wigan Athletic 1.88 2.14

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Notts County Oxford United 0.69 2.01 1.99 6.61 1.18
Plymouth Argyle AFC Wimbledon 1.30 1.37 3.68 2.67 1.60
Stockport County Barnsley 1.46 1.30 4.32 2.33 1.75
Cambridge United Blackpool 1.01 1.57 2.75 3.73 1.37
Bradford City Leyton Orient 0.93 1.65 2.54 4.17 1.31
Mansfield Town Bromley 1.58 1.26 4.88 2.13 1.89
Doncaster Rovers Burton Albion 0.87 1.72 2.39 4.62 1.28
Huddersfield Town Sheffield Wednesday 1.67 1.23 5.33 2.01 1.99
Leicester City Peterborough United 1.37 1.34 3.94 2.51 1.66
Wycombe Wanderers Luton Town 1.70 1.22 5.46 1.98 2.02
Milton Keynes Dons Reading 0.74 1.92 2.09 5.91 1.20
Stevenage Wigan Athletic 0.76 1.88 2.14 5.65 1.21

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Notts County Oxford United 14.3 33.3 14.7
Plymouth Argyle AFC Wimbledon 22.2 25.0 16.9
Stockport County Barnsley 37.5 42.9 41.5
Cambridge United Blackpool 25.0 42.9 30.0
Bradford City Leyton Orient 25.0 37.5 26.8
Mansfield Town Bromley 0.0 57.1 0.0
Doncaster Rovers Burton Albion 14.3 11.1 5.2
Huddersfield Town Sheffield Wednesday 50.0 28.6 37.9
Leicester City Peterborough United 57.1 12.5 21.2
Wycombe Wanderers Luton Town 50.0 28.6 37.9
Milton Keynes Dons Reading 28.6 37.5 30.0
Stevenage Wigan Athletic 0.0 42.9 0.0

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Notts County Oxford United 9.72 2.00 2.00
Plymouth Argyle AFC Wimbledon 9.77 1.98 2.02
Stockport County Barnsley 10.82 1.60 2.67
Cambridge United Blackpool 11.32 1.48 3.10
Bradford City Leyton Orient 9.72 2.00 2.00
Mansfield Town Bromley 10.82 1.60 2.67
Doncaster Rovers Burton Albion 8.85 2.54 1.65
Huddersfield Town Sheffield Wednesday 11.13 1.52 2.92
Leicester City Peterborough United 11.60 1.42 3.37
Wycombe Wanderers Luton Town 9.93 1.90 2.11
Milton Keynes Dons Reading 11.69 1.40 3.47
Stevenage Wigan Athletic 12.47 1.29 4.50

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Oxford United 2.00 1.00 2.33 1.33
Stockport County 2.50 1.75 1.75 0.75
Reading 2.80 1.20 1.00 1.33
Blackpool 2.25 1.75 1.33 2.00
Sheffield Wednesday 1.75 0.75 2.00 1.00
Plymouth Argyle 1.50 1.00 2.00 1.40
Huddersfield Town 2.33 0.67 1.40 1.00
Luton Town 1.25 1.00 2.33 3.33
Wycombe Wanderers 1.75 2.00 1.50 2.00
Cambridge United 1.75 1.50 1.50 1.25
Leyton Orient 1.00 2.00 2.67 0.33
Stevenage 1.67 1.67 1.50 0.75
Burton Albion 2.00 1.80 1.00 1.50
Mansfield Town 2.33 1.00 0.75 2.50
Leicester City 1.00 2.00 1.50 1.25
Milton Keynes Dons 0.67 0.67 1.50 2.00
Doncaster Rovers 1.00 1.33 1.25 1.25
Bromley 0.75 2.25 1.67 3.00
Notts County 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.50
Barnsley 1.00 2.00 1.00 1.33
Bradford City 1.33 0.67 0.80 0.60
AFC Wimbledon 0.50 0.00 1.00 2.00
Wigan Athletic 0.75 2.00 0.67 1.33
Peterborough United 0.75 1.25 0.25 2.00

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-10 EFL League One Notts County Oxford United 1 1 12.5
2026-10-10 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle AFC Wimbledon 1 1 12.5
2026-10-10 EFL League One Stockport County Barnsley 0 1 18.6
2026-10-10 EFL League One Cambridge United Blackpool 1 1 12.9
2026-10-10 EFL League One Bradford City Leyton Orient 1 1 12.6
2026-10-10 EFL League One Mansfield Town Bromley 1 1 14.8
2026-10-10 EFL League One Doncaster Rovers Burton Albion 1 1 11.0
2026-10-10 EFL League One Huddersfield Town Sheffield Wednesday 0 0 18.4
2026-10-10 EFL League One Leicester City Peterborough United 1 1 11.7
2026-10-10 EFL League One Wycombe Wanderers Luton Town 1 0 26.9
2026-10-10 EFL League One Milton Keynes Dons Reading 1 1 11.3
2026-10-10 EFL League One Stevenage Wigan Athletic 1 1 11.9


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