The flair, drama, and tactical mastery of Spanish football are back in full force as La Liga EA Sports prepares for a captivating Matchday 8 across the weekend of October 10–11. With the autumn schedule settling into a grueling rhythm, the 2026/27 campaign is already producing immense fireworks. The historic giants are desperately trying to build unassailable leads in the title race, while newly promoted clubs and ambitious challengers are eager to prove they can mix it with the world’s elite in Spain’s illustrious top flight.
Saturday’s colossal slate features the traditional heavyweights, with Atlético Madrid facing a tricky away test at Deportivo Alavés, before Barcelona looks to secure all three points at home against a gritty Getafe side. The Saturday schedule reaches its climax with a prime-time blockbuster at the Santiago Bernabéu, where defending champions Real Madrid take on Villarreal. The drama continues beautifully into Sunday with a fantastic schedule, featuring iconic returning clubs as Real Sociedad welcomes Deportivo de A Coruña, and a monumental clash at El Sardinero where Racing de Santander hosts Valencia. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter across this thrilling La Liga round.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for La Liga round 8. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | La Liga | Málaga CF | RCD Espanyol | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano | Athletic Club Bilbao | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | La Liga | Deportivo Alavés | Atlético Madrid | H | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-10 | La Liga | FC Barcelona | Getafe CF | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-10 | La Liga | Real Madrid | Villarreal | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-11 | La Liga | Elche CF | Celta de Vigo | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-11 | La Liga | Real Sociedad | Deportivo La Coruña | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-11 | La Liga | Real Betis | CA Osasuna | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-11 | La Liga | Racing Santander | Valencia CF | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-12 | La Liga | Levante UD | Sevilla FC | H | 0 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Málaga CF | RCD Espanyol | 67 | 67 | 1.45 | 3.21 |
| 2026-10-10 | Rayo Vallecano | Athletic Club Bilbao | 100 | 0 | 1.42 | 3.37 |
| 2026-10-10 | Deportivo Alavés | Atlético Madrid | 25 | 33 | 1.64 | 2.56 |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Barcelona | Getafe CF | 67 | 0 | 1.91 | 2.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid | Villarreal | 67 | 75 | 1.35 | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-11 | Elche CF | Celta de Vigo | 67 | 33 | 1.19 | 6.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | Real Sociedad | Deportivo La Coruña | 33 | 100 | 1.42 | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-11 | Real Betis | CA Osasuna | 0 | 67 | 3.76 | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-11 | Racing Santander | Valencia CF | 100 | 33 | 1.43 | 3.34 |
| 2026-10-12 | Levante UD | Sevilla FC | 100 | 67 | 1.16 | 7.36 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | La Liga | Málaga CF | RCD Espanyol | 2.13 | 1.89 |
| 2026-10-10 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano | Athletic Club Bilbao | 1.45 | 3.21 |
| 2026-10-10 | La Liga | Deportivo Alavés | Atlético Madrid | 1.51 | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-10 | La Liga | FC Barcelona | Getafe CF | 1.52 | 2.94 |
| 2026-10-10 | La Liga | Real Madrid | Villarreal | 1.28 | 4.61 |
| 2026-10-11 | La Liga | Elche CF | Celta de Vigo | 1.24 | 5.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | La Liga | Real Sociedad | Deportivo La Coruña | 1.77 | 2.30 |
| 2026-10-11 | La Liga | Real Betis | CA Osasuna | 3.23 | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-11 | La Liga | Racing Santander | Valencia CF | 1.61 | 2.65 |
| 2026-10-12 | La Liga | Levante UD | Sevilla FC | 1.15 | 7.87 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF | RCD Espanyol | 2.12 | 1.14 | 8.37 | 1.60 | 2.68 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Athletic Club Bilbao | 1.74 | 1.21 | 5.71 | 1.92 | 2.08 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Atlético Madrid | 0.75 | 1.90 | 2.12 | 5.77 | 1.21 |
| FC Barcelona | Getafe CF | 1.79 | 1.20 | 6.01 | 1.87 | 2.15 |
| Real Madrid | Villarreal | 2.31 | 1.11 | 10.05 | 1.49 | 3.04 |
| Elche CF | Celta de Vigo | 1.12 | 1.48 | 3.08 | 3.23 | 1.45 |
| Real Sociedad | Deportivo La Coruña | 0.95 | 1.63 | 2.58 | 4.09 | 1.32 |
| Real Betis | CA Osasuna | 1.18 | 1.45 | 3.24 | 3.04 | 1.49 |
| Racing Santander | Valencia CF | 1.97 | 1.16 | 7.19 | 1.71 | 2.42 |
| Levante UD | Sevilla FC | 1.31 | 1.37 | 3.72 | 2.65 | 1.61 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF | RCD Espanyol | 14.3 | 71.4 | 29.7 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Athletic Club Bilbao | 71.4 | 16.7 | 33.7 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Atlético Madrid | 0.0 | 14.3 | 0.0 |
| FC Barcelona | Getafe CF | 71.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Real Madrid | Villarreal | 28.6 | 14.3 | 13.1 |
| Elche CF | Celta de Vigo | 42.9 | 14.3 | 19.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Deportivo La Coruña | 28.6 | 14.3 | 13.1 |
| Real Betis | CA Osasuna | 0.0 | 28.6 | 0.0 |
| Racing Santander | Valencia CF | 42.9 | 28.6 | 34.5 |
| Levante UD | Sevilla FC | 33.3 | 42.9 | 38.9 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF | RCD Espanyol | 9.28 | 2.24 | 1.81 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Athletic Club Bilbao | 12.55 | 1.28 | 4.62 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Atlético Madrid | 9.14 | 2.33 | 1.75 |
| FC Barcelona | Getafe CF | 9.87 | 1.93 | 2.07 |
| Real Madrid | Villarreal | 13.08 | 1.22 | 5.59 |
| Elche CF | Celta de Vigo | 8.25 | 3.11 | 1.47 |
| Real Sociedad | Deportivo La Coruña | 10.96 | 1.56 | 2.78 |
| Real Betis | CA Osasuna | 9.27 | 2.25 | 1.80 |
| Racing Santander | Valencia CF | 11.40 | 1.46 | 3.17 |
| Levante UD | Sevilla FC | 9.36 | 2.19 | 1.84 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 4.67 | 1.33 | 4.25 | 0.75 |
| Real Madrid | 4.00 | 0.67 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Atlético Madrid | 2.50 | 0.75 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Villarreal | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 2.25 | 0.75 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Elche CF | 1.33 | 3.67 | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Racing Santander | 2.33 | 1.67 | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 2.00 | 1.33 | 1.25 | 3.00 |
| Sevilla FC | 1.25 | 1.75 | 1.67 | 0.67 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| RCD Espanyol | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Levante UD | 3.50 | 3.00 | 0.25 | 1.50 |
| Real Betis | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Real Sociedad | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| Athletic Club Bilbao | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Celta de Vigo | 1.75 | 1.25 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| CA Osasuna | 0.50 | 0.75 | 1.33 | 3.33 |
| Getafe CF | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.67 |
| Valencia CF | 0.50 | 2.25 | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Málaga CF | 0.67 | 1.33 | 0.25 | 2.00 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | La Liga | Málaga CF | RCD Espanyol | 1 | 1 | 13.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano | Athletic Club Bilbao | 1 | 1 | 11.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | La Liga | Deportivo Alavés | Atlético Madrid | 1 | 1 | 11.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | La Liga | FC Barcelona | Getafe CF | 1 | 0 | 14.8 |
| 2026-10-10 | La Liga | Real Madrid | Villarreal | 1 | 1 | 8.6 |
| 2026-10-11 | La Liga | Elche CF | Celta de Vigo | 1 | 1 | 11.7 |
| 2026-10-11 | La Liga | Real Sociedad | Deportivo La Coruña | 1 | 1 | 10.4 |
| 2026-10-11 | La Liga | Real Betis | CA Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 18.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | La Liga | Racing Santander | Valencia CF | 1 | 1 | 13.3 |
| 2026-10-12 | La Liga | Levante UD | Sevilla FC | 2 | 1 | 9.8 |


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