The intensity of South American football continues to grip fans as the Chilean Primera División enters a pivotal weekend of late-season action from October 9–11. As the grueling 2026 Campeonato Nacional marches toward its conclusion, the stakes could not be higher. Teams are locked in fierce battles across the table, fighting desperately to claim the title, secure vital Copa Libertadores qualification spots, or scrape together enough points to avoid the devastating drop to the Primera B.
This weekend’s compelling slate of fixtures is headlined by a heavy-hitting Saturday clash in the capital, where heavyweights Universidad Católica host Audax Italiano in a match with massive postseason implications. The Saturday schedule also features a gritty battle in the north as Cobresal welcomes Universidad de Concepción, while Huachipato takes on O’Higgins in a crucial test in Talcahuano. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter across this thrilling round of Chilean football.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Primera Chile round 24. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Primera División – Chile | Cobresal | Univ. Concepción | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-10 | Primera División – Chile | Huachipato | O’Higgins | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | Primera División – Chile | Universidad Católica | Audax Italiano | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primera División – Chile | Everton | La Serena | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primera División – Chile | Coquimbo Unido | Colo-Colo | H | +0.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primera División – Chile | Concepción | Unión La Calera | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primera División – Chile | Deportes Limache | Palestino | H | -0.25 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Cobresal | Univ. Concepción | 36 | 58 | 1.79 | 2.26 |
| 2026-10-10 | Huachipato | O’Higgins | 82 | 58 | 2.11 | 1.90 |
| 2026-10-10 | Universidad Católica | Audax Italiano | 82 | 36 | 1.89 | 2.13 |
| 2026-10-11 | Everton | La Serena | 50 | 55 | 1.55 | 2.80 |
| 2026-10-11 | Coquimbo Unido | Colo-Colo | 50 | 64 | 1.73 | 2.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | Concepción | Unión La Calera | 33 | 36 | 2.25 | 1.80 |
| 2026-10-11 | Deportes Limache | Palestino | 36 | 55 | 1.78 | 2.29 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Primera División – Chile | Cobresal | Univ. Concepción | 1.66 | 2.51 |
| 2026-10-10 | Primera División – Chile | Huachipato | O’Higgins | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-10 | Primera División – Chile | Universidad Católica | Audax Italiano | 1.45 | 3.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primera División – Chile | Everton | La Serena | 1.91 | 2.09 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primera División – Chile | Coquimbo Unido | Colo-Colo | 1.76 | 2.31 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primera División – Chile | Concepción | Unión La Calera | 1.93 | 2.07 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primera División – Chile | Deportes Limache | Palestino | 1.46 | 3.17 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal | Univ. Concepción | 1.33 | 1.36 | 3.79 | 2.60 | 1.62 |
| Huachipato | O’Higgins | 1.23 | 1.41 | 3.43 | 2.86 | 1.54 |
| Universidad Católica | Audax Italiano | 1.54 | 1.27 | 4.66 | 2.20 | 1.83 |
| Everton | La Serena | 1.47 | 1.30 | 4.34 | 2.32 | 1.76 |
| Coquimbo Unido | Colo-Colo | 1.03 | 1.55 | 2.81 | 3.62 | 1.38 |
| Concepción | Unión La Calera | 1.17 | 1.45 | 3.23 | 3.05 | 1.49 |
| Deportes Limache | Palestino | 1.19 | 1.43 | 3.30 | 2.98 | 1.50 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal | Univ. Concepción | 47.8 | 30.4 | 36.8 |
| Huachipato | O’Higgins | 36.4 | 39.1 | 36.2 |
| Universidad Católica | Audax Italiano | 39.1 | 43.5 | 41.5 |
| Everton | La Serena | 30.4 | 21.7 | 18.8 |
| Coquimbo Unido | Colo-Colo | 18.2 | 34.8 | 18.1 |
| Concepción | Unión La Calera | 30.4 | 30.4 | 25.3 |
| Deportes Limache | Palestino | 43.5 | 17.4 | 21.2 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal | Univ. Concepción | 12.73 | 1.26 | 4.92 |
| Huachipato | O’Higgins | 11.00 | 1.55 | 2.81 |
| Universidad Católica | Audax Italiano | 9.73 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| Everton | La Serena | 10.55 | 1.68 | 2.48 |
| Coquimbo Unido | Colo-Colo | 9.76 | 1.98 | 2.02 |
| Concepción | Unión La Calera | 9.20 | 2.29 | 1.78 |
| Deportes Limache | Palestino | 8.29 | 3.06 | 1.48 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica | 2.64 | 1.45 | 1.75 | 1.42 |
| Colo-Colo | 2.33 | 0.83 | 1.82 | 1.09 |
| Deportes Limache | 2.09 | 1.18 | 1.67 | 1.83 |
| Palestino | 2.17 | 1.08 | 0.91 | 1.82 |
| Universidad Chile | 1.91 | 0.82 | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Everton | 1.08 | 1.25 | 1.91 | 1.00 |
| La Serena | 1.58 | 1.50 | 1.36 | 1.82 |
| Coquimbo Unido | 1.30 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| Huachipato | 1.91 | 2.00 | 0.91 | 1.55 |
| Cobresal | 1.64 | 1.45 | 1.17 | 2.58 |
| O’Higgins | 1.00 | 1.27 | 1.42 | 1.83 |
| Ñublense | 1.25 | 1.33 | 1.18 | 1.36 |
| Audax Italiano | 1.58 | 1.08 | 0.64 | 1.64 |
| Concepción | 1.33 | 1.08 | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| Unión La Calera | 1.42 | 1.25 | 0.55 | 1.82 |
| Univ. Concepción | 0.73 | 1.09 | 0.75 | 2.25 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Primera División – Chile | Cobresal | Univ. Concepción | 1 | 1 | 13.8 |
| 2026-10-10 | Primera División – Chile | Huachipato | O’Higgins | 1 | 1 | 14.5 |
| 2026-10-10 | Primera División – Chile | Universidad Católica | Audax Italiano | 1 | 1 | 13.9 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primera División – Chile | Everton | La Serena | 1 | 1 | 13.7 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primera División – Chile | Coquimbo Unido | Colo-Colo | 1 | 1 | 12.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primera División – Chile | Concepción | Unión La Calera | 1 | 1 | 15.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primera División – Chile | Deportes Limache | Palestino | 1 | 1 | 12.9 |


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