English Football

AI Football Tips: EFL League One round 9

The intensity of England’s third tier takes center stage once again as EFL League One enters a pivotal weekend of action this October 3. As the grueling autumn schedule begins to separate the true promotion contenders from the rest of the pack, the stakes are rising. Every point fought for on the pitch is vital for historic clubs aiming to return to former glories, as well as ambitious underdogs eager to climb the Football League pyramid.

This Saturday’s slate offers a fantastic array of matchups across the country, highlighted by Luton Town hosting Doncaster Rovers and a compelling clash between Reading and Bradford City. Promotion hopefuls Barnsley will look to secure crucial points at Oakwell against MK Dons, while Peterborough United welcomes Notts County. Elsewhere, Bromley continues their third-tier campaign against Wycombe Wanderers, and Leyton Orient takes on Plymouth Argyle. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every unpredictable encounter across this gripping League One round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL League One round 9. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-10-03 EFL League One Reading Bradford City H -0.25
2026-10-03 EFL League One Bromley Wycombe Wanderers A 1X2
2026-10-03 EFL League One Burton Albion Huddersfield Town A 1X2
2026-10-03 EFL League One Luton Town Doncaster Rovers H 1X2
2026-10-03 EFL League One Leyton Orient Plymouth Argyle A 1X2
2026-10-03 EFL League One Peterborough United Notts County H 1X2
2026-10-03 EFL League One AFC Wimbledon Stevenage A -0.25
2026-10-10 EFL League One Notts County Oxford United H 0
2026-10-10 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle AFC Wimbledon H No bet
2026-10-10 EFL League One Stockport County Barnsley H No bet
2026-10-10 EFL League One Cambridge United Blackpool H 1X2
2026-10-10 EFL League One Bradford City Leyton Orient H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-03 Reading Bradford City 50 0 1.42 3.37
2026-10-03 Bromley Wycombe Wanderers 50 75 1.79 2.27
2026-10-03 Burton Albion Huddersfield Town 100 75 1.69 2.45
2026-10-03 Luton Town Doncaster Rovers 50 50 1.58 2.71
2026-10-03 Leyton Orient Plymouth Argyle 75 75 2.11 1.90
2026-10-03 Peterborough United Notts County 50 75 2.62 1.62
2026-10-03 AFC Wimbledon Stevenage 0 50 1.44 3.26
2026-10-10 Notts County Oxford United 67 67 1.69 2.45
2026-10-10 Plymouth Argyle AFC Wimbledon 25 50 1.77 2.29
2026-10-10 Stockport County Barnsley 75 33 2.09 1.92
2026-10-10 Cambridge United Blackpool 100 100 1.58 2.72
2026-10-10 Bradford City Leyton Orient 33 33 1.61 2.65

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-03 EFL League One Reading Bradford City 1.53 2.89
2026-10-03 EFL League One Bromley Wycombe Wanderers 1.80 2.26
2026-10-03 EFL League One Burton Albion Huddersfield Town 1.77 2.29
2026-10-03 EFL League One Luton Town Doncaster Rovers 1.83 2.20
2026-10-03 EFL League One Leyton Orient Plymouth Argyle 2.12 1.89
2026-10-03 EFL League One Peterborough United Notts County 1.68 2.48
2026-10-03 EFL League One AFC Wimbledon Stevenage 1.65 2.53
2026-10-10 EFL League One Notts County Oxford United 1.96 2.04
2026-10-10 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle AFC Wimbledon 1.83 2.21
2026-10-10 EFL League One Stockport County Barnsley 1.80 2.24
2026-10-10 EFL League One Cambridge United Blackpool 2.12 1.89
2026-10-10 EFL League One Bradford City Leyton Orient 1.84 2.19

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Reading Bradford City 0.93 1.65 2.54 4.18 1.31
Bromley Wycombe Wanderers 1.40 1.33 4.07 2.44 1.69
Burton Albion Huddersfield Town 1.60 1.25 4.97 2.10 1.91
Luton Town Doncaster Rovers 1.15 1.46 3.16 3.14 1.47
Leyton Orient Plymouth Argyle 1.49 1.29 4.45 2.27 1.79
Peterborough United Notts County 0.91 1.67 2.50 4.29 1.30
AFC Wimbledon Stevenage 0.61 2.18 1.85 7.90 1.14
Notts County Oxford United 0.65 2.08 1.92 7.14 1.16
Plymouth Argyle AFC Wimbledon 1.28 1.38 3.60 2.73 1.58
Stockport County Barnsley 1.47 1.30 4.34 2.32 1.76
Cambridge United Blackpool 0.97 1.61 2.65 3.93 1.34
Bradford City Leyton Orient 0.90 1.68 2.47 4.37 1.30

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Reading Bradford City 28.6 14.3 12.8
Bromley Wycombe Wanderers 57.1 50.0 61.6
Burton Albion Huddersfield Town 12.5 57.1 21.3
Luton Town Doncaster Rovers 28.6 14.3 12.8
Leyton Orient Plymouth Argyle 42.9 25.0 30.1
Peterborough United Notts County 12.5 14.3 5.8
AFC Wimbledon Stevenage 25.0 0.0 0.0
Notts County Oxford United 14.3 33.3 14.7
Plymouth Argyle AFC Wimbledon 25.0 25.0 18.9
Stockport County Barnsley 37.5 42.9 41.6
Cambridge United Blackpool 25.0 42.9 30.1
Bradford City Leyton Orient 14.3 42.9 18.5

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Reading Bradford City 10.42 1.72 2.39
Bromley Wycombe Wanderers 10.25 1.78 2.28
Burton Albion Huddersfield Town 9.33 2.21 1.83
Luton Town Doncaster Rovers 12.17 1.33 4.05
Leyton Orient Plymouth Argyle 11.95 1.36 3.78
Peterborough United Notts County 10.06 1.85 2.18
AFC Wimbledon Stevenage 9.34 2.20 1.83
Notts County Oxford United 9.66 2.03 1.97
Plymouth Argyle AFC Wimbledon 9.82 1.95 2.05
Stockport County Barnsley 10.72 1.63 2.59
Cambridge United Blackpool 11.37 1.47 3.14
Bradford City Leyton Orient 9.59 2.06 1.94

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Reading 3.25 1.25 1.00 1.33
Oxford United 2.00 1.00 2.33 1.33
Stockport County 2.50 1.75 1.75 0.75
Blackpool 2.25 1.75 1.33 2.00
Sheffield Wednesday 1.75 0.75 2.00 1.00
Leyton Orient 1.25 2.00 2.67 0.33
Plymouth Argyle 1.50 1.00 2.00 1.75
Luton Town 1.25 1.00 2.33 3.33
Wycombe Wanderers 1.75 2.00 1.50 2.00
Burton Albion 2.25 1.50 1.00 1.50
Cambridge United 1.75 1.50 1.50 1.25
Stevenage 1.67 1.67 1.50 0.75
Huddersfield Town 2.33 0.67 1.00 1.00
Mansfield Town 2.33 1.00 0.75 2.50
Leicester City 1.00 2.00 1.50 1.25
Milton Keynes Dons 0.67 0.67 1.50 2.00
Doncaster Rovers 1.00 1.33 1.25 1.25
Bromley 0.75 2.25 1.67 3.00
Notts County 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.50
Barnsley 1.00 2.00 1.00 1.33
Bradford City 1.33 0.67 0.75 0.50
AFC Wimbledon 0.50 0.00 1.00 2.00
Wigan Athletic 0.75 2.00 0.67 1.33
Peterborough United 0.75 1.25 0.25 2.00

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-03 EFL League One Reading Bradford City 0 2 12.2
2026-10-03 EFL League One Bromley Wycombe Wanderers 1 1 11.1
2026-10-03 EFL League One Burton Albion Huddersfield Town 1 1 12.4
2026-10-03 EFL League One Luton Town Doncaster Rovers 1 1 13.3
2026-10-03 EFL League One Leyton Orient Plymouth Argyle 2 0 15.0
2026-10-03 EFL League One Peterborough United Notts County 1 1 13.4
2026-10-03 EFL League One AFC Wimbledon Stevenage 0 2 15.8
2026-10-10 EFL League One Notts County Oxford United 1 1 12.1
2026-10-10 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle AFC Wimbledon 1 1 12.4
2026-10-10 EFL League One Stockport County Barnsley 0 1 17.2
2026-10-10 EFL League One Cambridge United Blackpool 1 1 12.7
2026-10-10 EFL League One Bradford City Leyton Orient 1 1 12.0


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