English Football

AI Football Tips: EFL League Two round 8

The gritty, unrelenting action of England’s fourth tier is back in the spotlight as EFL League Two prepares for a compelling slate of fixtures on the weekend of September 26. As the season begins to find its rhythm, the battlelines are already being drawn for clubs harboring ambitions of climbing up the football pyramid, pushing for promotion spots, or simply fighting to secure their Football League status in a division where any team can beat another on their day.

Saturday’s packed schedule delivers a wealth of intriguing matchups, headlined by an exciting late kickoff as Oldham Athletic takes on regional rivals Salford City. The afternoon offers plenty of drama elsewhere, featuring a fierce West Country clash between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City, alongside Rotherham United hosting Crewe Alexandra and Cheltenham Town welcoming Chesterfield. With newly returned York City also taking on Gillingham, there is no shortage of compelling storylines. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter across this thrilling League Two round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL League Two round 8. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Swindon Town Accrington Stanley H 1X2
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Bristol Rovers Exeter City H 1X2
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Cheltenham Town Chesterfield A 1X2
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Shrewsbury Town Colchester United H -0.25
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Rotherham United Crewe Alexandra H 1X2
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Fleetwood Town Rochdale H 1X2
2026-09-26 EFL League Two York City Gillingham H 1X2
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Newport County Grimsby Town A 1X2
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Tranmere Rovers Walsall H -0.25
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Oldham Athletic Salford City H -0.25

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-09-26 Swindon Town Accrington Stanley 100 67 2.39 1.72
2026-09-26 Bristol Rovers Exeter City 33 33 1.78 2.28
2026-09-26 Cheltenham Town Chesterfield 100 67 1.38 3.62
2026-09-26 Shrewsbury Town Colchester United 33 67 2.52 1.66
2026-09-26 Rotherham United Crewe Alexandra 100 33 1.31 4.22
2026-09-26 Fleetwood Town Rochdale 33 0 1.78 2.28
2026-09-26 York City Gillingham 67 67 1.23 5.33
2026-09-26 Newport County Grimsby Town 67 67 1.61 2.65
2026-09-26 Tranmere Rovers Walsall 33 33 1.31 4.21
2026-09-26 Oldham Athletic Salford City 33 67 2.31 1.76

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Swindon Town Accrington Stanley 3.06 1.49
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Bristol Rovers Exeter City 1.66 2.51
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Cheltenham Town Chesterfield 1.42 3.41
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Shrewsbury Town Colchester United 4.07 1.33
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Rotherham United Crewe Alexandra 1.31 4.22
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Fleetwood Town Rochdale 2.18 1.85
2026-09-26 EFL League Two York City Gillingham 1.32 4.08
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Newport County Grimsby Town 1.70 2.42
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Tranmere Rovers Walsall 1.72 2.38
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Oldham Athletic Salford City 3.41 1.42

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Swindon Town Accrington Stanley 2.36 1.10 10.63 1.46 3.16
Bristol Rovers Exeter City 0.95 1.63 2.58 4.07 1.33
Cheltenham Town Chesterfield 1.18 1.44 3.26 3.02 1.49
Shrewsbury Town Colchester United 1.97 1.16 7.19 1.70 2.42
Rotherham United Crewe Alexandra 0.63 2.13 1.88 7.53 1.15
Fleetwood Town Rochdale 0.32 3.69 1.37 24.60 1.04
York City Gillingham 0.75 1.90 2.12 5.78 1.21
Newport County Grimsby Town 1.90 1.18 6.67 1.77 2.30
Tranmere Rovers Walsall 0.00 999.00 1.00 999.00 1.00
Oldham Athletic Salford City 1.18 1.44 3.26 3.02 1.49

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Swindon Town Accrington Stanley 28.6 57.1 43.5
Bristol Rovers Exeter City 14.3 28.6 13.3
Cheltenham Town Chesterfield 57.1 28.6 43.5
Shrewsbury Town Colchester United 28.6 14.3 13.3
Rotherham United Crewe Alexandra 28.6 14.3 13.3
Fleetwood Town Rochdale 28.6 28.6 24.9
York City Gillingham 42.9 14.3 19.3
Newport County Grimsby Town 28.6 42.9 34.9
Tranmere Rovers Walsall 14.3 14.3 6.9
Oldham Athletic Salford City 14.3 28.6 13.3

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Swindon Town Accrington Stanley 8.96 2.45 1.69
Bristol Rovers Exeter City 10.21 1.79 2.26
Cheltenham Town Chesterfield 2.47 1000.00 1.00
Shrewsbury Town Colchester United 8.98 2.44 1.69
Rotherham United Crewe Alexandra 4.80 28.78 1.04
Fleetwood Town Rochdale 9.37 2.18 1.84
York City Gillingham 15.95 1.06 17.96
Newport County Grimsby Town 13.54 1.18 6.63
Tranmere Rovers Walsall 14.44 1.12 9.43
Oldham Athletic Salford City 9.81 1.96 2.05

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Barnet 2.50 1.25 2.33 1.67
Cheltenham Town 2.33 1.67 1.75 1.50
York City 3.00 1.00 1.00 1.75
Bristol Rovers 2.67 1.00 1.00 2.00
Gillingham 1.50 1.00 1.67 0.67
Grimsby Town 1.75 0.50 1.33 1.33
Walsall 1.25 0.50 1.67 0.67
Rotherham United 2.00 1.67 1.00 1.25
Accrington Stanley 1.75 1.50 1.00 2.33
Chesterfield 1.50 1.25 1.33 1.00
Newport County 2.00 1.00 1.00 2.00
Tranmere Rovers 2.00 0.67 0.75 1.25
Fleetwood Town 1.00 0.33 1.25 1.50
Oldham Athletic 2.00 0.67 0.50 1.75
Colchester United 1.25 0.75 1.00 2.33
Salford City 1.00 0.50 1.33 2.33
Swindon Town 2.67 1.00 0.00 2.00
Crewe Alexandra 1.25 1.00 0.67 0.33
Rochdale 1.75 1.50 0.00 1.33
Crawley Town 0.33 2.00 1.25 1.75
Shrewsbury Town 1.33 1.00 0.25 2.00
Exeter City 0.75 0.25 0.33 1.33
Northampton Town 0.50 0.50 0.33 1.33
Port Vale 0.67 0.33 0.25 2.00

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Swindon Town Accrington Stanley 4 4
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Bristol Rovers Exeter City 2 0
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Cheltenham Town Chesterfield 1 3
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Shrewsbury Town Colchester United 2 1
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Rotherham United Crewe Alexandra 1 1
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Fleetwood Town Rochdale 1 0
2026-09-26 EFL League Two York City Gillingham 2 2
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Newport County Grimsby Town 2 1
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Tranmere Rovers Walsall 1 1
2026-09-26 EFL League Two Oldham Athletic Salford City 2 1


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