The **wait is over**! Round 23 of the magnificent Primeira Liga is upon us, and the excitement for high-stakes **football action** is palpable. Did you know the Primeira Liga boasts the highest average attendance in Europe? This league is where **legends are made** and upsets redefine the **title race**.
At AI-Odds.com, we’ve tasked our **state-of-the-art machine learning models** to dissect every variable for this weekend’s fixtures. Get ready to leverage the **power of prediction** with our full breakdown of **AI-generated statistics** and probabilities.
Remember: Responsible **betting** is key. All **predictions** are based on statistical probability and do not guarantee results. Gamble responsibly.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Primeira Liga round 23. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Primeira Liga | Vitória Guimarães | Moreirense FC | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-01-31 | Primeira Liga | Santa Clara | GD Estoril Praia | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-01-31 | Primeira Liga | Rio Ave FC | FC Arouca | A | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Primeira Liga | Alverca | Estrela Amadora | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-02-01 | Primeira Liga | Gil Vicente | Famalicão | H | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Primeira Liga | Sporting CP | CD Nacional | H | No bet |
| 2026-02-01 | Primeira Liga | CD Tondela | Benfica | A | No bet |
| 2026-02-02 | Primeira Liga | AVS | Sporting Braga | A | No bet |
| 2026-02-02 | Primeira Liga | Casa Pia | Porto | A | No bet |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Vitória Guimarães | Moreirense FC | 55 | 36 | 2.20 | 1.83 |
| 2026-01-31 | Santa Clara | GD Estoril Praia | 36 | 50 | 2.32 | 1.76 |
| 2026-01-31 | Rio Ave FC | FC Arouca | 40 | 50 | 2.22 | 1.82 |
| 2026-01-31 | Alverca | Estrela Amadora | 36 | 50 | 2.32 | 1.76 |
| 2026-02-01 | Gil Vicente | Famalicão | 30 | 30 | 3.33 | 1.43 |
| 2026-02-01 | Sporting CP | CD Nacional | 30 | 64 | 2.14 | 1.88 |
| 2026-02-01 | CD Tondela | Benfica | 30 | 30 | 3.33 | 1.43 |
| 2026-02-02 | AVS | Sporting Braga | 45 | 60 | 1.90 | 2.12 |
| 2026-02-02 | Casa Pia | Porto | 60 | 27 | 2.29 | 1.77 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Goal Avg. | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Vitória Guimarães | Moreirense FC | 2.60 | 2.08 | 1.93 |
| 2026-01-31 | Santa Clara | GD Estoril Praia | 2.90 | 1.80 | 2.24 |
| 2026-01-31 | Rio Ave FC | FC Arouca | 3.15 | 1.64 | 2.56 |
| 2026-01-31 | Alverca | Estrela Amadora | 2.68 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| 2026-02-01 | Gil Vicente | Famalicão | 2.15 | 2.75 | 1.57 |
| 2026-02-01 | Sporting CP | CD Nacional | 2.89 | 1.81 | 2.23 |
| 2026-02-01 | CD Tondela | Benfica | 2.10 | 2.85 | 1.54 |
| 2026-02-02 | AVS | Sporting Braga | 2.82 | 1.87 | 2.15 |
| 2026-02-02 | Casa Pia | Porto | 2.73 | 1.95 | 2.06 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 3.20 | 0.40 | 2.20 | 0.70 |
| Benfica | 2.30 | 0.70 | 1.90 | 0.40 |
| GD Estoril Praia | 2.10 | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Porto | 2.11 | 0.22 | 2.00 | 0.36 |
| Sporting Braga | 2.11 | 0.78 | 1.80 | 1.10 |
| Gil Vicente | 1.70 | 0.70 | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| CD Nacional | 1.78 | 1.89 | 1.00 | 1.18 |
| Moreirense FC | 1.56 | 1.22 | 1.09 | 1.45 |
| FC Arouca | 1.22 | 1.89 | 1.20 | 2.30 |
| Estrela Amadora | 1.30 | 1.70 | 1.10 | 2.00 |
| Famalicão | 1.60 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| Rio Ave FC | 1.00 | 1.80 | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Casa Pia | 1.20 | 1.90 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Vitória Guimarães | 1.36 | 1.27 | 0.67 | 1.44 |
| Alverca | 0.91 | 1.36 | 1.11 | 2.11 |
| Santa Clara | 0.82 | 1.09 | 0.78 | 1.44 |
| AVS | 0.64 | 2.09 | 0.78 | 3.11 |
| CD Tondela | 0.60 | 1.30 | 0.60 | 2.00 |
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