AI Football Tips: La Liga round 11

Spanish top-flight football returns with high drama and fierce regional pride as LaLiga EA Sports prepares for its next upcoming slate of fixtures in Matchday 11, running from Friday, October 30 to Monday, November 2. Coming directly off the seismic fallout of El Clásico, the championship race and the battle for European qualification places enter a critical autumn phase where momentum and squad depth will be tested across Spain.

Sunday night delivers the marquee spectacle of the round at San Mamés as Athletic Club collides with arch-rivals Real Sociedad in a passionate, high-stakes edition of the Euskal Derbia (Basque Derby). Earlier on Sunday, title contenders Real Madrid face a testing trip to El Sardinero against Racing Santander, while Elche hosts Valencia and Getafe welcomes Sevilla. Saturday’s action sees FC Barcelona host Deportivo Alavés, Atlético Madrid visit Levante UD, and Real Betis battle Málaga CF, following Friday’s curtain-raiser between Villarreal and Espanyol and ahead of Monday’s clash between Deportivo de La Coruña and Osasuna. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every upcoming encounter in La Liga.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for La Liga round 11. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-30 La Liga Villarreal RCD Espanyol 0.7281 0.2108 0.0610 H No bet
2026-10-31 La Liga Levante UD Atlético Madrid 0.2145 0.3170 0.4685 A 1X2
2026-10-31 La Liga Rayo Vallecano Celta de Vigo 0.5623 0.2891 0.1486 H -0.25
2026-10-31 La Liga Real Betis Málaga CF 0.6321 0.2605 0.1074 H No bet
2026-10-31 La Liga FC Barcelona Deportivo Alavés 0.7459 0.2003 0.0538 H No bet
2026-11-01 La Liga Getafe CF Sevilla FC 0.3647 0.3324 0.3030 H +0.25
2026-11-01 La Liga Racing Santander Real Madrid 0.3308 0.3333 0.3359 A No bet
2026-11-01 La Liga Elche CF Valencia CF 0.5479 0.2942 0.1579 H -0.25
2026-11-01 La Liga Athletic Club Bilbao Real Sociedad 0.6362 0.2586 0.1052 H 1X2
2026-11-02 La Liga Deportivo La Coruña CA Osasuna 0.5464 0.2947 0.1590 H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-30 Villarreal RCD Espanyol 75 80 1.45 3.22
2026-10-31 Levante UD Atlético Madrid 100 40 1.41 3.44
2026-10-31 Rayo Vallecano Celta de Vigo 75 25 1.39 3.58
2026-10-31 Real Betis Málaga CF 40 40 1.80 2.25
2026-10-31 FC Barcelona Deportivo Alavés 60 75 1.72 2.39
2026-11-01 Getafe CF Sevilla FC 60 80 1.40 3.48
2026-11-01 Racing Santander Real Madrid 100 80 1.47 3.13
2026-11-01 Elche CF Valencia CF 50 50 1.85 2.17
2026-11-01 Athletic Club Bilbao Real Sociedad 40 80 2.10 1.91
2026-11-02 Deportivo La Coruña CA Osasuna 80 60 2.49 1.67

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-30 La Liga Villarreal RCD Espanyol 1.76 2.31
2026-10-31 La Liga Levante UD Atlético Madrid 1.10 10.58
2026-10-31 La Liga Rayo Vallecano Celta de Vigo 1.57 2.75
2026-10-31 La Liga Real Betis Málaga CF 2.01 1.99
2026-10-31 La Liga FC Barcelona Deportivo Alavés 1.48 3.07
2026-11-01 La Liga Getafe CF Sevilla FC 1.94 2.07
2026-11-01 La Liga Racing Santander Real Madrid 1.23 5.33
2026-11-01 La Liga Elche CF Valencia CF 2.08 1.93
2026-11-01 La Liga Athletic Club Bilbao Real Sociedad 1.66 2.51
2026-11-02 La Liga Deportivo La Coruña CA Osasuna 2.08 1.93

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Villarreal RCD Espanyol 1.47 1.30 4.35 2.31 1.76
Levante UD Atlético Madrid 1.46 1.30 4.31 2.33 1.75
Rayo Vallecano Celta de Vigo 1.22 1.42 3.38 2.90 1.53
Real Betis Málaga CF 1.04 1.55 2.82 3.60 1.38
FC Barcelona Deportivo Alavés 1.08 1.51 2.96 3.39 1.42
Getafe CF Sevilla FC 0.77 1.86 2.16 5.54 1.22
Racing Santander Real Madrid 1.51 1.28 4.52 2.25 1.80
Elche CF Valencia CF 1.19 1.44 3.27 3.01 1.50
Athletic Club Bilbao Real Sociedad 1.00 1.58 2.71 3.80 1.36
Deportivo La Coruña CA Osasuna 1.32 1.36 3.75 2.63 1.61

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Villarreal RCD Espanyol 10.0 60.0 18.0
Levante UD Atlético Madrid 40.0 10.0 12.4
Rayo Vallecano Celta de Vigo 66.7 10.0 19.7
Real Betis Málaga CF 20.0 30.0 18.0
FC Barcelona Deportivo Alavés 70.0 0.0 0.0
Getafe CF Sevilla FC 20.0 40.0 23.2
Racing Santander Real Madrid 50.0 20.0 28.1
Elche CF Valencia CF 30.0 30.0 25.7
Athletic Club Bilbao Real Sociedad 11.1 40.0 13.6
Deportivo La Coruña CA Osasuna 10.0 40.0 12.4

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Villarreal RCD Espanyol 10.69 1.63 2.58
Levante UD Atlético Madrid 11.31 1.48 3.08
Rayo Vallecano Celta de Vigo 9.13 2.33 1.75
Real Betis Málaga CF 10.43 1.72 2.40
FC Barcelona Deportivo Alavés 10.29 1.76 2.31
Getafe CF Sevilla FC 9.14 2.33 1.75
Racing Santander Real Madrid 10.99 1.55 2.80
Elche CF Valencia CF 8.99 2.43 1.70
Athletic Club Bilbao Real Sociedad 9.87 1.93 2.07
Deportivo La Coruña CA Osasuna 10.52 1.69 2.45

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
FC Barcelona 3.60 1.20 4.40 1.00
Real Madrid 3.40 0.60 1.60 1.40
Atlético Madrid 2.20 0.60 1.80 1.00
Real Sociedad 1.40 1.40 2.40 2.20
Sevilla FC 1.40 1.40 1.80 1.80
Real Betis 2.00 1.40 1.20 1.40
Levante UD 3.25 2.50 0.50 1.50
Villarreal 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.33
Racing Santander 2.20 1.60 0.80 3.60
Deportivo Alavés 1.83 1.00 0.75 1.25
Elche CF 1.00 2.75 1.67 1.00
Rayo Vallecano 1.50 1.75 1.20 2.60
Athletic Club Bilbao 1.80 0.80 0.75 1.25
Deportivo La Coruña 1.20 1.00 1.40 1.60
RCD Espanyol 1.20 1.40 1.20 1.40
Celta de Vigo 1.50 1.00 0.25 0.25
CA Osasuna 0.80 0.60 1.20 3.40
Valencia CF 0.50 1.83 1.00 1.50
Málaga CF 1.00 2.00 0.40 1.80
Getafe CF 1.00 0.60 0.00 2.40

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-30 La Liga Villarreal RCD Espanyol 1 1 14.6
2026-10-31 La Liga Levante UD Atlético Madrid 1 1 9.6
2026-10-31 La Liga Rayo Vallecano Celta de Vigo 0 0 15.3
2026-10-31 La Liga Real Betis Málaga CF 1 1 14.2
2026-10-31 La Liga FC Barcelona Deportivo Alavés 1 1 13.5
2026-11-01 La Liga Getafe CF Sevilla FC 1 1 11.7
2026-11-01 La Liga Racing Santander Real Madrid 1 1 10.6
2026-11-01 La Liga Elche CF Valencia CF 1 1 14.5
2026-11-01 La Liga Athletic Club Bilbao Real Sociedad 1 1 8.1
2026-11-02 La Liga Deportivo La Coruña CA Osasuna 1 1 13.1


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