The breathless tempo, fierce passion, and high-wire drama of Mexican football reach fever pitch as Liga MX dives into a crucial Jornada 14 of the Apertura 2026 over the weekend of October 23–25. Following an exhausting midweek double round, the tournament charges into its decisive homestretch with only three fixtures remaining before the postseason. The scramble to claim a direct ticket to the Liguilla quarterfinals, avoid the treacherous Play-In route, and secure vital home-field advantage has become completely uncompromising.
Saturday’s action delivers explosive marquee battles, headlined by a colossal clash at the Estadio BBVA where Monterrey welcomes Guadalajara (Chivas) in a heavyweight duel with massive top-four ramifications. The Saturday drama reaches its peak under the lights in the capital as Pumas UNAM goes head-to-head with powerhouse Tigres UANL at the Estadio Olímpico Universitario, while León battles Toluca. Sunday keeps the intensity soaring with Club América hosting modern rivals Pachuca in a tactical masterclass, alongside table-topping contenders Cruz Azul traveling to face Querétaro and Tijuana clashing with Santos Laguna. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every electrifying encounter across this premier Liga MX round.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Liga MX round 13. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | P(H) | P(D) | P(A) | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Liga MX | Guadalajara | Necaxa | 0.7765 | 0.1812 | 0.0423 | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-21 | Liga MX | Juárez | Atlante | 0.2190 | 0.3183 | 0.4627 | A | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-21 | Liga MX | Atlético San Luis | Querétaro | 0.5927 | 0.2774 | 0.1299 | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-21 | Liga MX | Tigres UANL | León | 0.5785 | 0.2830 | 0.1385 | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Atlas | América | 0.2593 | 0.3274 | 0.4134 | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Puebla | Monterrey | 0.2701 | 0.3290 | 0.4008 | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Toluca | Tijuana | 0.7144 | 0.2187 | 0.0669 | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Pachuca | Cruz Azul | 0.3350 | 0.3333 | 0.3317 | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Santos Laguna | Pumas UNAM | 0.6115 | 0.2696 | 0.1189 | H | -0.25 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Guadalajara | Necaxa | 33 | 100 | 1.59 | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-21 | Juárez | Atlante | 50 | 67 | 1.49 | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-21 | Atlético San Luis | Querétaro | 67 | 33 | 1.63 | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-21 | Tigres UANL | León | 60 | 83 | 1.29 | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-22 | Atlas | América | 83 | 83 | 2.05 | 1.95 |
| 2026-10-22 | Puebla | Monterrey | 80 | 60 | 1.37 | 3.70 |
| 2026-10-22 | Toluca | Tijuana | 83 | 75 | 1.64 | 2.55 |
| 2026-10-22 | Pachuca | Cruz Azul | 100 | 80 | 1.66 | 2.50 |
| 2026-10-22 | Santos Laguna | Pumas UNAM | 17 | 67 | 1.50 | 2.99 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Liga MX | Guadalajara | Necaxa | 1.68 | 2.46 |
| 2026-10-21 | Liga MX | Juárez | Atlante | 1.92 | 2.08 |
| 2026-10-21 | Liga MX | Atlético San Luis | Querétaro | 2.07 | 1.94 |
| 2026-10-21 | Liga MX | Tigres UANL | León | 1.46 | 3.17 |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Atlas | América | 3.46 | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Puebla | Monterrey | 1.56 | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Toluca | Tijuana | 2.33 | 1.75 |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Pachuca | Cruz Azul | 3.91 | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Santos Laguna | Pumas UNAM | 1.56 | 2.80 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | Necaxa | 1.55 | 1.27 | 4.70 | 2.18 | 1.85 |
| Juárez | Atlante | 0.90 | 1.69 | 2.45 | 4.43 | 1.29 |
| Atlético San Luis | Querétaro | 1.23 | 1.41 | 3.42 | 2.88 | 1.53 |
| Tigres UANL | León | 0.99 | 1.59 | 2.69 | 3.84 | 1.35 |
| Atlas | América | 1.88 | 1.18 | 6.58 | 1.78 | 2.28 |
| Puebla | Monterrey | 1.29 | 1.38 | 3.64 | 2.70 | 1.59 |
| Toluca | Tijuana | 1.37 | 1.34 | 3.94 | 2.51 | 1.66 |
| Pachuca | Cruz Azul | 1.90 | 1.18 | 6.69 | 1.77 | 2.31 |
| Santos Laguna | Pumas UNAM | 1.19 | 1.44 | 3.28 | 3.00 | 1.50 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | Necaxa | 33.3 | 33.3 | 32.5 |
| Juárez | Atlante | 33.3 | 25.0 | 25.5 |
| Atlético San Luis | Querétaro | 33.3 | 27.3 | 27.5 |
| Tigres UANL | León | 41.7 | 8.3 | 11.5 |
| Atlas | América | 41.7 | 9.1 | 12.5 |
| Puebla | Monterrey | 16.7 | 45.5 | 23.5 |
| Toluca | Tijuana | 33.3 | 9.1 | 10.2 |
| Pachuca | Cruz Azul | 41.7 | 33.3 | 38.8 |
| Santos Laguna | Pumas UNAM | 16.7 | 25.0 | 13.7 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | Necaxa | 11.84 | 1.38 | 3.64 |
| Juárez | Atlante | 10.58 | 1.67 | 2.50 |
| Atlético San Luis | Querétaro | 8.38 | 2.97 | 1.51 |
| Tigres UANL | León | 9.02 | 2.41 | 1.71 |
| Atlas | América | 11.32 | 1.48 | 3.09 |
| Puebla | Monterrey | 11.39 | 1.46 | 3.16 |
| Toluca | Tijuana | 11.55 | 1.43 | 3.32 |
| Pachuca | Cruz Azul | 10.22 | 1.79 | 2.27 |
| Santos Laguna | Pumas UNAM | 10.98 | 1.56 | 2.80 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América | 2.20 | 0.60 | 2.67 | 1.83 |
| Cruz Azul | 2.43 | 1.71 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Toluca | 2.67 | 1.50 | 1.67 | 1.17 |
| Monterrey | 2.17 | 1.17 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Atlas | 1.00 | 1.50 | 2.17 | 1.50 |
| Guadalajara | 1.67 | 1.17 | 1.50 | 0.83 |
| Pachuca | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.43 | 0.71 |
| Pumas UNAM | 1.50 | 1.83 | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| León | 2.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Santos Laguna | 1.33 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.17 |
| Querétaro | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Tijuana | 1.43 | 0.86 | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Atlético San Luis | 1.17 | 1.67 | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| Necaxa | 1.14 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Tigres UANL | 1.80 | 1.00 | 0.71 | 1.57 |
| Atlante | 1.17 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Puebla | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Juárez | 0.83 | 1.83 | 0.50 | 3.33 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Liga MX | Guadalajara | Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 12.8 |
| 2026-10-21 | Liga MX | Juárez | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 14.8 |
| 2026-10-21 | Liga MX | Atlético San Luis | Querétaro | 1 | 1 | 11.5 |
| 2026-10-21 | Liga MX | Tigres UANL | León | 1 | 1 | 11.9 |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Atlas | América | 1 | 1 | 14.2 |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Puebla | Monterrey | 1 | 1 | 11.5 |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Toluca | Tijuana | 1 | 1 | 14.1 |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Pachuca | Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 15.5 |
| 2026-10-22 | Liga MX | Santos Laguna | Pumas UNAM | 1 | 1 | 12.7 |


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