The thrilling unpredictability of England’s second tier is back in full force as the EFL Championship returns from the international break with a spectacular slate of fixtures over the weekend of October 10–11. As the 2026/27 campaign settles into its grueling autumn rhythm, clubs across the division are desperate to build momentum. With the margins between automatic promotion, the playoff places, and the relegation zone remaining incredibly tight, every point is a precious commodity in one of the world’s most fiercely competitive leagues.
The weekend’s schedule is nothing short of breathtaking, headlined by an absolute blockbuster on Sunday as fierce rivals Southampton and Portsmouth collide in a highly anticipated South Coast Derby. The action begins on Saturday with a massive Midlands clash between West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City, while Swansea City welcomes Norwich City to Wales. Elsewhere, Watford squares off against Burnley at Vicarage Road, and Charlton Athletic tests their mettle against Bristol City. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter across this phenomenal Championship round.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL Championship round 9. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | EFL Championship | West Ham United | Queens Park Rangers | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | West Bromwich Albion | Birmingham City | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Charlton Athletic | Bristol City | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Swansea City | Norwich City | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Blackburn Rovers | Cardiff City | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Bolton Wanderers | Stoke City | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Watford | Burnley | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Derby County | Wrexham | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Sheffield United | Lincoln City | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Middlesbrough | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Preston North End | Millwall | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-11 | EFL Championship | Southampton | Portsmouth | H | 1X2 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | West Ham United | Queens Park Rangers | 50 | 75 | 1.44 | 3.28 |
| 2026-10-10 | West Bromwich Albion | Birmingham City | 75 | 75 | 1.69 | 2.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | Charlton Athletic | Bristol City | 25 | 100 | 1.43 | 3.33 |
| 2026-10-10 | Swansea City | Norwich City | 25 | 50 | 1.53 | 2.88 |
| 2026-10-10 | Blackburn Rovers | Cardiff City | 100 | 50 | 1.44 | 3.28 |
| 2026-10-10 | Bolton Wanderers | Stoke City | 50 | 100 | 1.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | Watford | Burnley | 100 | 100 | 1.35 | 3.88 |
| 2026-10-10 | Derby County | Wrexham | 50 | 25 | 1.68 | 2.48 |
| 2026-10-10 | Sheffield United | Lincoln City | 50 | 25 | 1.62 | 2.63 |
| 2026-10-10 | Middlesbrough | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 100 | 75 | 1.51 | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-10 | Preston North End | Millwall | 75 | 75 | 1.42 | 3.40 |
| 2026-10-11 | Southampton | Portsmouth | 100 | 67 | 1.26 | 4.80 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | EFL Championship | West Ham United | Queens Park Rangers | 1.12 | 9.17 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | West Bromwich Albion | Birmingham City | 1.43 | 3.34 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Charlton Athletic | Bristol City | 1.74 | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Swansea City | Norwich City | 1.98 | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Blackburn Rovers | Cardiff City | 1.79 | 2.27 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Bolton Wanderers | Stoke City | 1.81 | 2.23 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Watford | Burnley | 2.32 | 1.76 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Derby County | Wrexham | 1.64 | 2.57 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Sheffield United | Lincoln City | 1.37 | 3.68 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Middlesbrough | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1.28 | 4.63 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Preston North End | Millwall | 1.94 | 2.07 |
| 2026-10-11 | EFL Championship | Southampton | Portsmouth | 1.17 | 6.73 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham United | Queens Park Rangers | 1.62 | 1.25 | 5.07 | 2.07 | 1.93 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Birmingham City | 1.20 | 1.43 | 3.33 | 2.96 | 1.51 |
| Charlton Athletic | Bristol City | 0.70 | 1.98 | 2.02 | 6.39 | 1.19 |
| Swansea City | Norwich City | 1.74 | 1.21 | 5.71 | 1.92 | 2.08 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Cardiff City | 1.24 | 1.41 | 3.46 | 2.84 | 1.54 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Stoke City | 1.50 | 1.29 | 4.47 | 2.27 | 1.79 |
| Watford | Burnley | 1.61 | 1.25 | 4.98 | 2.10 | 1.91 |
| Derby County | Wrexham | 1.72 | 1.22 | 5.56 | 1.95 | 2.05 |
| Sheffield United | Lincoln City | 0.75 | 1.89 | 2.12 | 5.74 | 1.21 |
| Middlesbrough | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1.77 | 1.20 | 5.90 | 1.89 | 2.13 |
| Preston North End | Millwall | 1.35 | 1.35 | 3.86 | 2.56 | 1.64 |
| Southampton | Portsmouth | 1.75 | 1.21 | 5.76 | 1.91 | 2.09 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham United | Queens Park Rangers | 50.0 | 25.0 | 26.2 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Birmingham City | 12.5 | 25.0 | 7.3 |
| Charlton Athletic | Bristol City | 37.5 | 12.5 | 10.8 |
| Swansea City | Norwich City | 62.5 | 62.5 | 61.4 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Cardiff City | 37.5 | 37.5 | 29.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Stoke City | 50.0 | 62.5 | 53.3 |
| Watford | Burnley | 50.0 | 50.0 | 45.6 |
| Derby County | Wrexham | 25.0 | 37.5 | 20.4 |
| Sheffield United | Lincoln City | 37.5 | 25.0 | 20.4 |
| Middlesbrough | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 50.0 | 42.9 | 40.7 |
| Preston North End | Millwall | 75.0 | 25.0 | 36.7 |
| Southampton | Portsmouth | 50.0 | 42.9 | 40.7 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham United | Queens Park Rangers | 10.77 | 1.61 | 2.63 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Birmingham City | 10.66 | 1.64 | 2.55 |
| Charlton Athletic | Bristol City | 11.01 | 1.55 | 2.82 |
| Swansea City | Norwich City | 9.56 | 2.08 | 1.93 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Cardiff City | 10.18 | 1.81 | 2.24 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Stoke City | 9.55 | 2.08 | 1.92 |
| Watford | Burnley | 10.66 | 1.64 | 2.55 |
| Derby County | Wrexham | 10.81 | 1.60 | 2.67 |
| Sheffield United | Lincoln City | 12.38 | 1.30 | 4.36 |
| Middlesbrough | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 10.40 | 1.73 | 2.38 |
| Preston North End | Millwall | 12.14 | 1.33 | 4.02 |
| Southampton | Portsmouth | 11.58 | 1.43 | 3.35 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham United | 3.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Southampton | 3.75 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2.33 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Middlesbrough | 2.75 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Norwich City | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Millwall | 2.25 | 1.25 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Swansea City | 1.25 | 0.25 | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Stoke City | 2.00 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Birmingham City | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Blackburn Rovers | 1.75 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Bolton Wanderers | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Bristol City | 0.75 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Portsmouth | 1.25 | 1.75 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Queens Park Rangers | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| West Bromwich Albion | 1.50 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Cardiff City | 1.75 | 1.25 | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Sheffield United | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Burnley | 1.25 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.75 |
| Wrexham | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Preston North End | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Lincoln City | 0.75 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Derby County | 0.75 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Charlton Athletic | 0.75 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Watford | 1.50 | 1.25 | 0.25 | 1.25 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | EFL Championship | West Ham United | Queens Park Rangers | 2 | 1 | 7.5 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | West Bromwich Albion | Birmingham City | 1 | 1 | 14.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Charlton Athletic | Bristol City | 1 | 1 | 14.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Swansea City | Norwich City | 1 | 1 | 12.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Blackburn Rovers | Cardiff City | 1 | 1 | 12.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Bolton Wanderers | Stoke City | 1 | 1 | 12.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Watford | Burnley | 0 | 1 | 18.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Derby County | Wrexham | 1 | 1 | 14.6 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Sheffield United | Lincoln City | 1 | 1 | 14.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Middlesbrough | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1 | 1 | 9.6 |
| 2026-10-10 | EFL Championship | Preston North End | Millwall | 1 | 1 | 13.4 |
| 2026-10-11 | EFL Championship | Southampton | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 7.5 |


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