South American football braces for one of the most explosive weekends in recent memory as the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A delivers a truly historic Round 30 over the weekend of October 10–11. As the 2026 title race enters its agonizing final stages, the battle for the championship, Copa Libertadores qualification, and relegation survival will be contested on the biggest possible stages, with a staggering lineup of legendary rivalry matches ready to bring the entire country to a standstill.
Sunday’s jaw-dropping slate features an unprecedented triad of Brazil’s fiercest derbies. In Porto Alegre, Grêmio and Internacional collide in a blood-and-thunder Grenal. Simultaneously in São Paulo, local pride and vital points are on the line in the iconic Derby Paulista between Palmeiras and Corinthians, while Rio de Janeiro hosts the world-famous Fla-Flu as Flamengo squares off against Fluminense. The weekend also boasts heavyweights Atlético Mineiro hosting Santos and São Paulo taking on Vitória. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every monumental encounter across this unmissable Brasileirão round.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Campeonato Brasileiro round 29. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino | Mirassol | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Internacional | Corinthians | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo | Grêmio | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória | Chapecoense | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo | Vasco da Gama | A | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-08 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro | São Paulo | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-08 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos | Flamengo | H | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético PR | Atlético Mineiro | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-09 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras | Bahia | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-09 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense | Coritiba | H | No bet |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Bragantino | Mirassol | 46 | 62 | 1.58 | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-07 | Internacional | Corinthians | 57 | 69 | 1.81 | 2.24 |
| 2026-10-07 | Remo | Grêmio | 64 | 50 | 1.56 | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-07 | Vitória | Chapecoense | 21 | 64 | 1.83 | 2.21 |
| 2026-10-07 | Botafogo | Vasco da Gama | 71 | 69 | 1.47 | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-08 | Cruzeiro | São Paulo | 71 | 57 | 1.65 | 2.54 |
| 2026-10-08 | Santos | Flamengo | 64 | 57 | 1.49 | 3.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | Atlético PR | Atlético Mineiro | 57 | 29 | 1.57 | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-09 | Palmeiras | Bahia | 62 | 64 | 1.73 | 2.38 |
| 2026-10-09 | Fluminense | Coritiba | 71 | 43 | 1.84 | 2.20 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino | Mirassol | 1.77 | 2.31 |
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Internacional | Corinthians | 1.84 | 2.20 |
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo | Grêmio | 1.80 | 2.25 |
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória | Chapecoense | 1.79 | 2.27 |
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo | Vasco da Gama | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-08 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro | São Paulo | 1.86 | 2.16 |
| 2026-10-08 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos | Flamengo | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-08 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético PR | Atlético Mineiro | 1.84 | 2.19 |
| 2026-10-09 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras | Bahia | 2.06 | 1.95 |
| 2026-10-09 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense | Coritiba | 2.04 | 1.96 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bragantino | Mirassol | 1.24 | 1.41 | 3.45 | 2.85 | 1.54 |
| Internacional | Corinthians | 1.07 | 1.52 | 2.91 | 3.46 | 1.41 |
| Remo | Grêmio | 0.85 | 1.75 | 2.33 | 4.80 | 1.26 |
| Vitória | Chapecoense | 1.07 | 1.52 | 2.91 | 3.46 | 1.41 |
| Botafogo | Vasco da Gama | 0.85 | 1.75 | 2.33 | 4.80 | 1.26 |
| Cruzeiro | São Paulo | 1.21 | 1.43 | 3.35 | 2.94 | 1.52 |
| Santos | Flamengo | 1.19 | 1.44 | 3.29 | 2.99 | 1.50 |
| Atlético PR | Atlético Mineiro | 1.10 | 1.50 | 3.01 | 3.32 | 1.43 |
| Palmeiras | Bahia | 1.12 | 1.49 | 3.06 | 3.25 | 1.44 |
| Fluminense | Coritiba | 1.06 | 1.53 | 2.88 | 3.50 | 1.40 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bragantino | Mirassol | 21.4 | 21.4 | 16.3 |
| Internacional | Corinthians | 25.0 | 25.0 | 21.5 |
| Remo | Grêmio | 25.0 | 14.3 | 12.9 |
| Vitória | Chapecoense | 14.3 | 18.5 | 9.7 |
| Botafogo | Vasco da Gama | 42.9 | 18.5 | 26.5 |
| Cruzeiro | São Paulo | 35.7 | 21.4 | 25.7 |
| Santos | Flamengo | 17.9 | 46.4 | 27.5 |
| Atlético PR | Atlético Mineiro | 46.4 | 21.4 | 32.0 |
| Palmeiras | Bahia | 28.6 | 28.6 | 27.1 |
| Fluminense | Coritiba | 21.4 | 21.4 | 16.3 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bragantino | Mirassol | 11.37 | 1.47 | 3.14 |
| Internacional | Corinthians | 9.80 | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| Remo | Grêmio | 10.31 | 1.76 | 2.32 |
| Vitória | Chapecoense | 9.76 | 1.98 | 2.02 |
| Botafogo | Vasco da Gama | 9.72 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Cruzeiro | São Paulo | 9.43 | 2.15 | 1.87 |
| Santos | Flamengo | 10.00 | 1.88 | 2.14 |
| Atlético PR | Atlético Mineiro | 10.32 | 1.75 | 2.33 |
| Palmeiras | Bahia | 11.25 | 1.49 | 3.03 |
| Fluminense | Coritiba | 10.81 | 1.60 | 2.66 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | 2.00 | 0.71 | 1.93 | 0.93 |
| Palmeiras | 1.77 | 0.69 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Fluminense | 1.71 | 1.00 | 1.43 | 1.57 |
| Bahia | 1.57 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Santos | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.64 | 1.64 |
| Atlético PR | 1.79 | 0.79 | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| Cruzeiro | 1.71 | 1.14 | 1.29 | 1.71 |
| Botafogo | 1.71 | 1.43 | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| Atlético Mineiro | 1.71 | 1.14 | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| Coritiba | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.29 | 1.71 |
| Vasco da Gama | 1.50 | 1.29 | 1.00 | 1.77 |
| Mirassol | 1.40 | 1.40 | 0.92 | 1.62 |
| Bragantino | 1.46 | 1.08 | 0.93 | 1.20 |
| São Paulo | 1.57 | 0.86 | 0.79 | 1.43 |
| Remo | 1.29 | 1.36 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Grêmio | 1.57 | 1.14 | 0.57 | 1.57 |
| Internacional | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.00 | 1.43 |
| Chapecoense | 1.38 | 2.23 | 0.79 | 1.71 |
| Corinthians | 1.00 | 1.07 | 1.08 | 1.23 |
| Vitória | 1.29 | 0.86 | 0.71 | 2.14 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 14.8 |
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Internacional | Corinthians | 1 | 1 | 13.2 |
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo | Grêmio | 1 | 1 | 12.6 |
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória | Chapecoense | 1 | 1 | 13.5 |
| 2026-10-07 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo | Vasco da Gama | 1 | 1 | 12.7 |
| 2026-10-08 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro | São Paulo | 1 | 1 | 14.9 |
| 2026-10-08 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos | Flamengo | 1 | 1 | 13.9 |
| 2026-10-08 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético PR | Atlético Mineiro | 1 | 1 | 14.2 |
| 2026-10-09 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras | Bahia | 1 | 1 | 13.6 |
| 2026-10-09 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense | Coritiba | 1 | 1 | 14.3 |


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