The biggest rivalry in French football takes center stage as Ligue 1 delivers a colossal Matchday 5 from September 18–20. All eyes are transfixed on the southern coast as defending champions Paris Saint-Germain travel to the boiling cauldron of the Orange Vélodrome to confront bitter enemies Olympique de Marseille in an electric edition of Le Classique, highlighting an explosive weekend across the French top flight.
The marquee action gets underway on Friday, September 18, as AS Monaco welcomes RC Lens to the Stade Louis-II. Saturday, September 19, features Olympique Lyonnais hosting Stade Rennais FC in an evening battle between European hopefuls, while newly promoted Paris FC meets RC Strasbourg. Sunday, September 20, builds towards a climax as OGC Nice battles LOSC at the Allianz Riviera, setting the stage for Sunday night’s epic showdown between Olympique de Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain. Explore our AI-driven match predictions and tactical breakdowns for every fixture this week.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Ligue 1 round 5. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Ligue 1 | Monaco | Lens | A | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Paris | Strasbourg | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Angers SCO | Troyes | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse | Le Havre | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Le Mans | Lorient | H | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | Rennes | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Ligue 1 | Auxerre | Brest | A | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-20 | Ligue 1 | Nice | Lille | H | +0.25 |
| 2026-09-20 | Ligue 1 | Olympique Marseille | PSG | A | No bet |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Monaco | Lens | 0 | 100 | 1.95 | 2.06 |
| 2026-09-19 | Paris | Strasbourg | 0 | 50 | 2.63 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-19 | Angers SCO | Troyes | 50 | 50 | 2.70 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-19 | Toulouse | Le Havre | 0 | 100 | 1.94 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-19 | Le Mans | Lorient | 100 | 0 | 3.77 | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-19 | Olympique Lyonnais | Rennes | 100 | 100 | 1.69 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-20 | Auxerre | Brest | 50 | 100 | 1.14 | 8.31 |
| 2026-09-20 | Nice | Lille | 50 | 0 | 4.69 | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-20 | Olympique Marseille | PSG | 50 | 67 | 1.48 | 3.09 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Ligue 1 | Monaco | Lens | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Paris | Strasbourg | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Angers SCO | Troyes | 20.39 | 1.05 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse | Le Havre | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Le Mans | Lorient | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | Rennes | 1.83 | 2.20 |
| 2026-09-20 | Ligue 1 | Auxerre | Brest | 1.04 | 27.72 |
| 2026-09-20 | Ligue 1 | Nice | Lille | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | Ligue 1 | Olympique Marseille | PSG | 1.18 | 6.62 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 1.50 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Rennes | 2.00 | 1.33 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Lens | 2.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Le Mans | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Lille | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Brest | 1.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Monaco | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Olympique Lyonnais | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Olympique Marseille | 3.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| PSG | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Paris | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Auxerre | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 4.00 |
| Angers SCO | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Toulouse | 0.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Troyes | 1.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Lorient | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Le Havre | 0.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Nice | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Ligue 1 | Monaco | Lens | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Paris | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Angers SCO | Troyes | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse | Le Havre | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Le Mans | Lorient | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ligue 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | Rennes | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Ligue 1 | Auxerre | Brest | 3 | 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | Ligue 1 | Nice | Lille | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Ligue 1 | Olympique Marseille | PSG | 1 | 3 |
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